Posted on 10/10/2012 9:59:34 PM PDT by Steelfish
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: Romney Gains In Key Swing States By Domenico Montanaro A week after President Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance, Republican challenger Mitt Romney has made some gains in three key swing states among those most likely to vote, according to the latest round of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.
Romney and Obama remain in a virtual tie in Virginia and Florida, and the Democratic incumbent maintains a slight advantage in Ohio.
Romney saw his largest gain in Virginia, where he now edges the president 48 percent to 47 percent, a 3-point reversal from last week’s poll, released the day of the first presidential debate. The spread is within the poll’s margin of error.
In Florida, before the debate, it was a 1-point race with Obama leading 47 percent to 46 percent. Now, it is still a 1-point race with Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent.
In Ohio, where there has been a renewed focus by the Romney campaign after the former Massachusetts governor’s strong debate performance, Obama leads 51 percent to 45 percent. That’s a 2-point uptick for Romney.
But the Ohio poll also included an 11-point advantage for self-described Democrats --- 40 percent to 29 percent for Republicans. Last week’s poll had a narrower 5-point advantage for Democrats. . (In 2008, the party identification split was 39 percent Democrat and 31 percent Republican, according to exit polls.)
One factor that may have pulled the party ID more heavily toward Democrats in this poll was early voting. One-in-five respondents (18 percent) said they have already voted, and, of those, almost two-thirds (63 percent) said they voted for Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.nbcnews.com ...
Yesterday, we heard that Romney was ahead in early vote returns in every state that started voting.
Romney is ahead everywhere, now, even in PA, as of tonight and they are still oversampling Democrats by 8 points.
Yeah, really.
If I’d looked at who started the thread, I never would’ve clicked on it.
Same old tiresome crap.
The march Forward to early voting, taken to its natural extreme, leads to “one man one vote” where you vote once for all future elections.
So the Florida vote they over sampled the Dems by 2 points’ with 20% independents!!!
Ohio they over sampled the Dems by 12% with 29% independents!
Virginia they over sampled by 2% However there are 40% independents..
Marist has been producing pro Obama outliers all year long.
What they didn't tell you is Cleveland schools loaded Senior High students on buses and took them to register to vote and vote this past week. During the recent early voting, you could register and vote on the same day. How much illegal voting has happened is anyone's guess and how many Seniors voted democrat to raise the taxes on the school levy is a good question too.
While I am all for teaching kids about voting, they clearly have no idea about the ramifications of voting on the school tax levy. I have no problem with them being encouraged to register to vote either, but since the schools are often closed on election day...they can find their own motivation to get to the polls.
Hundreds Register to Vote Before Deadline
http://fox8.com/2012/10/09/hundreds-register-to-vote-before-deadline/
About 200 Cleveland school students who just turned 18 organized a trip to the Board of Elections to register.
“It felt real good to know that I could vote for the first time, 18 and that’s what I consider myself of being proud of, really proud that I voted,” said one student.
My county co-chair said that early voting in Montgomery Co was a huge bust. The Dems had three full floors ready for the register and vote crowd. They expected thousand. Got 1400. That’s not enough.
Romney up 8 points over O in indies in OH, a +R state, and trails? Not plausible.
In ABSENTEES in OH, I think total Ds are up-—but you can look at the OH absentee thread and add I up. But few realiz that McCain won OH and most battleground states on Election Day. It is just a matter of keeping it close til them.
You can repeal the 26th Amendment right along with the 19th.
Maybe so they can vote 3 or 4 times before the election.
Any relation to the Marxist Poll that's been dominating the airwaves of late?
Most accurate final polls in 2008 election
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
Thanks. Where did you get this list? My SIL (a hopeless lefty) sent me another ranking showing Rasmussen much lower, but I think that was based on all polls conducted in 2008, not just the final week’s polls etc. The point is I’ve always thought Rasmussen had very accurate polls, so was taken aback by a ranking that suggested a very different picture.
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