As AUh2o stated this poll is not exactly shocking nor does it indicate Romney is poised to win the state. Osama ran far ahead of normal rat percentages in Illinois, I always expected him to come back down to Earth this time.
It is a good sign though and good news for RINO freshman Bob Dold who can’t afford big Osama coatails.
6 competitive House races here so holding Osama’s numbers down is helpful even though I doubt Romney could do any better than a 10 point loss at best.
If Romney wins Illinois it would be electoral votes 390-410 or something like that.
“If Romney wins Illinois it would be electoral votes 390-410 or something like that.”
If that happens, I’m buying blow for everyone!!!
Impy is almost exactly right. If Romney carries IL, he would carry 412 electoral votes:
McCain states + Omaha CD + IN + NC = 206
+ FL = 235
+ VA = 248
+ OH = 266
+ IA = 272 (victory)
+ CO = 281
+ NH = 285
+ WI = 295
+ NV = 301
+ MI = 317
+ PA = 337
+ NM = 342
+ MN = 352
+ NJ = 366
+ OR = 373
+ ME-02 = 374
+ WA = 385
+ CT = 392
+ IL = 412
http://www.cookcountyclerk.com/elections/2012Elections/Pages/AllCandidates.aspx
First off, four presidential tickets made it on the ballot in Illinois: Barack Obama & Joe Biden, Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan, Gary Johnson & James P. Gray, and Jill Stein & Howie Hawkins. No Constitution Party nominees or "American Independence" Party, which I believe freeper & Alan Keyes activist EternalVilance is running for President under this year. This makes it less likely that disgruntled conservatives will vote "third party" in Illinois, since the only alternatives on the ballot is the marxist Greens or the socially liberal Gary Johnson. IL Constitution Party Chairman Randy Stufflebeam has been bashing Romney for his flip-flops lately, so I asked Randy on facebook if he was planning to mount a write-in campaign for Virgil Goode due to the fact they didn't get on the ballot in Illinois. (I know in Crook County, "write-in" voters are not counted unless the candidate files an "Intent to be a Write-In Candidate" form) No reply from Randy. Hmmm.
Illinois' 4th Congressional District GOP candidate Hector Concepcion appears to have clawed his way back onto the ballot for the general election, after having to run a write-in the primary. He's ballot spot #12. I believe Impy lives in IL-4, so congrats Impy, you have a GOP candidate on the ballot to vote for over the socialist Luis Gutierrez. ;-)
I endorse all the GOP congressional candidates from Illinois this year, with two notable exceptions: Rita Zak in IL-7, who appears to be on the ballot but is running an invisible campaign and is quite possibly a RINO (our own freeper Phil Collins is running a write-in campaign as the only conservative actively campaigning against Davis. Since Davis is a shoo-in, might as well cast a vote for someone decent we can trust, and that's not Zak). The second is Mark Kirk Jr., er, I mean Robert Dold in IL-10. The "I'm a socially moderate" guy who voted with the Dems in favor of allowing abortion for gender selection. I've had it to hear with elitist RINOs from that district lying to get conservatives to support them. If I lived in IL-10, I'd leave it blank. Screw Dold. (though since Phil Collins is being paid to help him out, I can see why he'd take the money in this economy)
We actually have three qualified candidates for county offices in Crook, and they're all making an effort to actually campaign this year! (a rarity since Crook is a 1-party Democrat county. It's all female vs. female races too. Please vote for Diane S. Shapiro for Clerk of the Circuit Court, Sherri Griffith for Cook County Recorder, and Lori S. Yokoyama for State's Attorney.
Mike Madigan (state house district 22) has a REAL Republican opponent for the first time in YEARS (rather than a Democrat plant who is paid by him to stay home). His opponent is Robert Handzik and he's making a real effort to fight. It would still take a miracle for him to win, though.
Soon-to-be-imprisoned State Rep. Derrick Smith is way ahead of his opponent in polls, and I don't see a party affiliation listed so Lance Tyson must have filed as an independent with no party. Still, we know the RAT bosses would prefer Tyson as they're both black marxists but Smith is damaged goods. I actually hope Smith wins, another criminal elected in Illinois will embarrass the RATs and he probably won't even last long enough to cast any votes before he's sentenced.
The Crook County sample ballot has a section for "Superintendent, Kane County Regional Office of Education". Huh? Why would Cook County voters be selecting the school board superintendent of another county? Weird stuff. Can the suburban residents vote for Mayor of Chicago? (if we could, Rahm would have probably been forced into a runoff at least)
For the first time in YEARS, we also have a Republican candidate for Illinois Supreme Court justice from Crook County. They'll elected countywide (which means all city residents choose whoever they want and no Republican has a snowball's chance in hell of winning), but at least Impy will have a GOP judge on his ballot now. It's James Gerard Riley, ballot number #72
Shockingly, Carl Segvich made it on the ballot as the Republican nominee for Metropolitan Water Reclamation District. I'm shocked, since it takes like 10,000 signatures and he gathered them in one week and threw it together so he'd be slated. Apparently, no one bothered to challenge him. We also have another "Republican", Harold "Noonie" Ward. He's a former gang leader and twice convicted felon (just got out of prison) who ran as a "Republican" because the Dem primary field was too crowded. His "endorsements" include Jesse Jackson Jr. and Bobby Rush (see, this why I don't mindlessly vote for every "R" on the ballot and research my candidates). I could just bullet vote for Carl, but since we're allowed up to three candidates, I think I will also vote for two Green Party nominees, Dave Ehrlich and 46 Nasrin R. Khalili, and hope they get future ballot access to embarrass the RATs. (one of the RAT nominees is Mayor Daley's nephew!) Surprisingly, the Greens ran well qualified candidates: http://greens4mwrd.org/?page_id=2
Finally, I haven't decided who I'm voting for in the judicial retention section of the ballot (since all judges are elected in Illinois, about 60 judges are up for retention this year in Crook County alone), aside from Robert Lopez Cepero , ballot number #223. If you remember from news stories, he's the judge who struck down Quinn's Internet tax as unconstitutional. Way to go, judge! I'll wait and see who the Chicago papers endorse for judge when it comes to all the other judicial names, and vote AGAINST whoever they endorse.