Posted on 09/16/2012 10:06:31 PM PDT by GR_Jr.
PPP's newest Virginia poll finds Barack Obama leading by 5 points, 51- 46. Obama's lead is unchanged from a month ago when we found him leading 50-45 in the state. He may not be seeing a bump from the convention in the state at this point, but he was in a pretty good position to begin with. Virginia continues to look like it may be something of a firewall state for Obama. PPP has now polled it 9 times this cycle, and President Obama has led by at least 4 points on all 9 of the polls. He's been ahead by 5 points, 5 points, 8 points, and 8 points over the course of the four surveys we've conducted in 2012. “Barack Obama continues to look like the definite favorite in Virginia,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “And it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Obama would win Virginia but lose the election.” Obama has a slight advantage over Romney (49-47) in terms of who voters trust more on the economy and a wider (51-45) edge over Romney on foreign policy. Only 41% of voters say they approve of how Romney reacted to the situation in Libya this week while 48% express disapproval. Obama's leading 56-42 with women, 91-7 with African Americans, 63-30 with other nonwhite voters, and 56-37 with young voters. Romney has a 51-45 advantage with men, a 57-40 one with whites, and a 54-43 lead with seniors. Romney is slightly ahead with independents, 47-45, but Obama's party is more unified with Democrats supporting him 95-4 while Republicans go for Romney by a slightly weaker 92-7 margin. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility of Virgil Goode tipping the election
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
I am going to conclude that you are not including military in mooches, it’s just a mistype or read.
What’s worse is that if Obama wins, he is likely to have a stronger Dem Senate and some pickups in the House to work with.
Even Baldwin could win WI in such a scenario, and that scares me.
“According to Pat Caddell, Romney is running the worst of any campaign in history, worse than McCain.”
Remember, although more moderate, Pat Caddell is still a Dem. In fact he was a Carter team Dem, ugh.
Rasmussen did a survey of 15000 likely voters at the end of August and it broke down like this 37.7 consider themselves Rep 33.3 Dem and 29.5 other!!!
obama has not one iota of hope for another 4. Don’t doubt it for a second, media spin aside.
Does anyone else have a problem with this poll when the pollster’s numbers don’t add up?
Look at the question regarding being liberal or conservative.
11% very liberal, 17% somewhat liberal, 32% moderate, 25% somewhat conservative, 16% very conservative.
11+17+32+25+16=101 percent. Would a serious pollster make a mistake like this?
Possibly there was some rounding up done with the numbers, in order to make them whole and not have fractional parts, which then led to more than 100 when totaled.
The difference is quite negligible and doesn’t concern me.
If I were to critique PPP polling, I would look at other aspects to criticize.
How much would you bet on it ?
Worse then when McCain quit the campaign and went back to Washington in order to look like a jackass?
That is hard to believe
Virginia’s beltway employees would never admit to being Republican. However, many are quite aware of the writing on the wall.
It’s Bob Dole all over again.
PPP Partisan Pravda Polling?
I’m afraid you are right . As much as I despise Obama and his regime , I can’t raise even a modicum of excitement or interest in R/R .
Obama is going to get trounced.
Clearly, this poll has that wrong.
The Military will not support Obama.
Eight point over count of Democrats. Rasmussen has self ID registed Republican at 37.6% highest ever. Democrats 33.3% less than one point above their loqwest ever. Carville and CNN have Indep. going 54/40 Romney.
misread
Party affiliation in the sample is 35% D, 32% R, 33% I. The sample is pretty close on the white/black and male/female ratios (according to the 2010 census).
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