[profit_guy]

On Sept 10th Gallup showed Obama with a 5 point lead. Today they show Obama with a 4 point lead, which would mean using unskewed data that Romney now leads by 6...

[annieokie]

You ain't scaring me you idiots. I have waited 4 years now to VOTE AGAINST OBAMA, nothing is going to stop me or my very large family,friends and acquaintances. NOTHING hear me????

We are the ones YOU NEVER POLL and we are legion all over this UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. Have pencil, WILL VOTE.

I have a bottle of champagne ready to celebrate the end of the OBAMA administration and his CZARS. Trust me, it will happen.

[dalebert]

it only counts in battle ground and close states.

[Ryan_Rubio_2016]

no wonder bambi went to vegas when all hell breaks loose in cairo/mideast,,apparently the internals have him down by 10 points in nevada.

[muawiyah]

"The seven day tracking poll of 3050 registered voters,..." ~ said Registered Voters, not Likely Voters.

There's your difference ~ has nothing to do with oversampling of Democrats.

Here's the Republican problem ~ we are a minority party about barely a third of the electorate. We can win when our BASE is motivated to go out and vote in large numbers, and when the Democrat BASE is not motivated to do anything but sit around smoking cigarettes and drinking beer.

This is exactly why I cannot understand the GOP-e ~ every action they take looks like they have no idea how to win an election and it's pretty obvious they are doing a lot of magical thinking about it.

We still have to campaign ~ and we still need a major voter registration operation (Republicans have a higher velocity of relocation than Democrats so this turns out to be more important for us than them), and we need some serious 'get out the vote' operations planned so that our people actually vote!

These things do not appear to be part of the campaign.

[cookcounty]

Not to drop a fly in the ointment, but how do we actually KNOW that an 8% lean toward Democrats is not accurate?

Yes lots of folks express dissatisfaction with Obama, but not many of them are exactly enthralled with Romney. And unfortunately, I have come across lots of self-professed conservatives that would rather have the US become a Stalinist State than see Mitt Romney in the White House.

Dem turnout will be down, but it’s possible that GOP stay-homes will match Obama’s. And give him 4 more years.

[lovesdogs]

My volunteer assignment today was to knock on doors in Ft Lauderdale in neighborhoods right next to 95 (section 8 galore with lots of pit bulls). Romney did better than The Won among those who opened the door. I saw not one O bumper sticker or yard sign. This is not 2008.

[patriot08]

.

If America only knew....

Will America be lost because noone had the guts to expose Obama?

The best Obama exposure site on the net:
(by our own FReeper, Beckwith)

The Obama File
http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_personal.html

The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html

Just a few of the pages:

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_politics.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/BarackObama.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_family/FamilyPage.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaEducation.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaPsychology.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaReligion.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaWife.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_associates/ObamaAssociates.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaIconography.htm

.

.

[SoFloFreeper]

who the heck is Dean Chambers?

[Ryan_Rubio_2016]

lets try this scenario. if Romney gets 100% of the White Vote, he wins 70/30. even if Romney gets 60% of the White Vote(which is what is expected) Romney wins hands down!!!

[WOSG]

The problem with this thinking is that Gallup doesnt do the secret sauce thing like the other polls. It’s a random sample. and if it came up more Dem, that may mean there are more Dems in the universe of voters.

It’s not been skewed to start with. That said, they do RV, not LV polls, and there is a skew from that.

[garjog]

I hope O loses big, but remember in 2008 when the polls were showing McCain down? The polls turned out about right.

[trebb]

Gallup may be in the tank for Obama now, but Obama will be very disappointed when he wfinds out that just because the mirror on the wall kept telling him he was the grandest of them all didn’t make it so...

[LS]

You're right. It will be bigger. The GOP advantage will be immense, not because people like Romney but because they are terrified of Obama.

I already personally know a half-dozen people who voted for Obama who are voting Romney. I can tell from my college students that the number who turn out will be WAY down, perhaps 35%, maybe more. There is no interest out there at all among da "yuts" to vote. On the other hand, SE OH, where there is a big demand for oil drilling and the pipeline will go heavily for Romney this time.