[harpu]

Duhhhh!!!

[Viennacon]

Hahahaah! And the dims in the MSM say this campaign is over and we’ve lost.... yeah... right

[lasereye]

Anybody know what is the breakdown in OH by registered voters?

[ryan71]

Could it be that all these polls are weighted toward the democrats on accident?

LOL!!!

[Fester Chugabrew]

Why do the polls always oversample dems?

[God luvs America]

wow- another poll where Romney has double digit advantage from independents...terrific...

[Eccl 10:2]

Ohio Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 48% 47% 1% 4%

Democrats (42%) 90% 7% - 3%

Republicans (32%) 2% 95% - 3%

Independents (26%) 37% 53% 5% 5% $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ Besides the way-oversampled Dhim's, I think the money line here is the Independents. Sixteen point spread. Noice !!

[deport]

Are the results shown with ‘weighting factors’ applied or is this just raw data?

[tcrlaf]

2008 turnout model, plus...

I wonder how far Obama is behind in Ohio if they use the 2012 Wisconsin model, instead?

[SamAdams76]

Can't vouch for how accurate this link is, it's Wikipedia after all. However, the chart linked states political party strength in each state and shows Republicans at 37% and Democrats at 36% in the state of Ohio.

So if accurate, this poll oversamples Democrats by 11 percentage points.

[wardaddy]

what were party percentages in 2010 and 2008

I’d say this election will be in between but closer to 2010

even with Brylcreem

[MrChips]

Well, darn! I was getting it into my head that the only polls I could trust were Rasmussen and ARG. I guess no ARG anymore.

[Berlin_Freeper]

OIHO

[VanDeKoik]

Another poll 10% more Dems survey.

These guys must really not want to get contracts next year.

And Democrat DU’ers trolling FR today, you ought to be the ones “worried” if it takes that many more Dems to get you a ones point advantage.

[VanDeKoik]

Another poll 10% more Dems survey.

These guys must really not want to get contracts next year.

And Democrat DU’ers trolling FR today, you ought to be the ones “worried” if it takes that many more Dems to get you a ones point advantage.

[Perdogg]

Romney up by 16 among Indies; Romney will take Ohio

[nhwingut]

Keep this sheet handy when reading the swing state polls...If they are not sampling close to this then it's bogus.

[nomad]

This Ohioan is about tapped out to conservative (Josh Mandel) candidates. Maybe next payday, somethings in the works but for now-no mas, baby, no mas. If any of you guys can help out http://joshmandel.com/contribute2/?creative=

[jokemoke]

I just received a tweet from Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted. One county in Ohio is already over 10,000 absentee ballot requests and it is only September 15th.

[Road Glide]

“ARG Ohio Poll: 0 48%, R 47%”

Looking better for Romney there than in past weeks, but still looks to be a VERY tough climb for him to win. Doable, but difficult.

48-47% leaves 5% “undecided”. Perhaps a small percentage of the undecideds will vote for other candidates, or not vote at all. So let’s figure that about 4.5-4.8% of the undecideds will contribute to the final tally.

Romney needs 3+% to slip over Obama. Can he get it?
He will need the undecideds to break roughly 2-to-1 in his direction.

Then again, perhaps the events in the Middle East, coupled with a good performance in the debates by Romney, will help him along.