wow- another poll where Romney has double digit advantage from independents...terrific...
Some have asked “Why the oversampling of Dems?”
Biased reasons aside (and they’re a lot of those) many in the biz think the voting turnout will be similar to the 2008 models (jazzed up DEM base). They COMPLETELY ignore the 2010 results and current enthusiasm polls.
Anyone remember the PPP MO Senate poll weeks ago that showed Akin ahead of McCaskill by one point AFTER his major gaffe? Pew oversampled Republicans by nine points. Akin took the bait and stayed and whammo, Pew released an “update” shortly thereafter showing him down by ten.
If Romney is ONLY down by one, and they oversampled DEMS by +10, then you know it’s not good for Obama.
Either these pollsters see something we don’t or they’re tossing out BS like a farmer fertilizing the field.