This result looks about right. There is ZERO chance that the guy 14% ahead with independents would be behind by 6
Keep in mind it’s registered voters, not likely voters.
but I just sent in $100 bucks to Romney....
the time is NOW people....we either get this done or we don't...
Romney has more money and is better connected than McCain, he's in a better situation, he's a better candidate.....he can do this....
come on folks...unite and conquer!
Ignore the polls and work to defeat 0bama as if that jug eared freak was 10 percent ahead, and Romney & Ryan were 15 percent behind. The only poll that counts is the one on Election Day, and the 0bamunist Ministry of Information (aka the lamestream media) is going to toe the mark and walk the line per Axelrod & Company right up to Election Night, believe that. Those media whores have been bought and paid for by the White House.
Looks like Drudge is pushing back against the libmedia push poll strategy, aka Operation Demoralize.
Some stat guy/gal could become real popular if s/he set up a blog specifically to re-skew bogus poll data.
While I strongly agree that the poll is skewed, I wouldn’t go so far as to say Romney is up significantly. Most reasonable polls over time have shown about a 4-point Dem edge. That means that the surveys based on a 10-point Dem edge are way off, but I’m skeptical that there’s an actual 1-point GOP edge.
Furthermore, extrapolating a small sample size 54-40 Romney lead among a handful of independents is questionable.
I’m not saying this to be a fly in the ointment. As my name and start date imply, I registered and started posting to debunk some of the Gore mumbo jumbo 12 years ago in Florida. The poll is definitely skewed. I just don’t think it’s as skewed as the Examiner thinks. My read is that it’s a 1-point Obama lead, which is totally margin of error.
It's not because a lead in the polls can energize voting, it is because (I suspect) that their CHEATING plans are so monstrous in scope and magnitude, that a bogus win will be easier to sell if the polls showed a (bogus, of course) lead.
It's (I suspect) planned cover for a Big Con.
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It’s simple math, yet the pollsters refuse to budge. Take the mix of how people identify themselves, whether they voted in either of the last two elections, multiply by 80%. If independent, then apply the poll, only if they live in the 10 states that matter.
Sheesh.
According to the article there were 800+ voters polled and only 37 indies. Now that’s clearly skewed for Bombo but there’s no statistical way for the article’s author to take the Ras numbers on party self ID and apply them to this poll and come up with Romney by 8. You just don’t have enough responses from indies to make any kind of statistical guess. What can be said is as Allah said on HA that Gallup is forcing their respondees to choose D or R,OR the poll is completely unreliable.
I would probably skew it slightly just in case Ras is a bit too GOP-generous in the party ID, but I would still see a slight Romney lead, 2-3 points right now. I don’t hear many talk about supporting him really at all, including many former Dems. Only my die-hard Dem friends have expressed any enthusiasm at all.
I would probably skew it slightly just in case Ras is a bit too GOP-generous in the party ID, but I would still see a slight Romney lead, 2-3 points right now. I don’t hear many talk about supporting him really at all, including many former Dems. Only my die-hard Dem friends have expressed any enthusiasm at all.
If you want to know the state of a presidential campaign, look to where the campaign is spending their money and time. If Romney/Ryan spend a lot of time in Ohio, North Carolina and Florida over the next few weeks, that's a bad sign. If they are in Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico and New Hampshire, that's a good sign. If they are in places like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Colorado and New Jersey, that's a fantastic sign.