Posted on 09/10/2012 1:45:07 PM PDT by nhwingut
(CNN) – A new survey indicates President Barack Obama moved up four points following the Democratic National Convention last week, and now has a six point advantage over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday, 52% of likely voters nationwide back the president, compared to 46% for Romney. Just before the convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, Obama was tied with Romney 48%-48%.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...
Breaking News! Micheal Dukakis up by 17 points!
More propaganda on stilts.
Democrats are oversampled by +5 so there ya go
CNN = Communist Network News aka PRAVDA West
The numbers cruncher on twitter is checking out the demographics of this poll and says that it makes no sense so this poll stinks to high heaven
I was following mark hemingway on twitter and somebody that follows him figured it 37% (D) 31.5 (R) and 31.5 (I).. Polls states it is +14 for independents going for Romney.. poll is fishy.
Anyone know what Rasmussen’s partisan breakdown is? He seems to have changed the numbers over the past few weeks.
I aint buying it!
Obama “up” in polls? I doubt it. My guess would be that the other pollsters just don’t want to get a Justice Department proctology exam like Gallup’s about to enjoy.
It also says that Dems are more engaged than Repubs. Which would be the first time ever. I do believe Zero got a bump bu this poll is suspect.
If independents are going for Romney by 15 points, this race will not be close.
Heavily skewed. NRO said Romney led among independents by 14 points. That’s a 5-point advantage there, which means Obama had an 11 point advantage among the R’s and D’s. Which means the poll probably had 10% more Dems than Republicans (not every R or D goes with the party of course). That’s probably at least 5 points out of whack from reality. Therefore this poll is skewed and Obama “might” have a 1-point lead in reality.
This whole “Obama’s got it in the bag” thing is starting to smell like high heaven.
President Obama’s lead over Governor Romney shrinks from 7 points in August to 2 points in September, according to the latest Investor’s Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll. Romney gains support from men, southern, rural, and Hispanic voters this month.
Q: If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote?
46% Democrat Barack Obama
44% Republican Mitt Romney
8% Not sure
2% Refused
Category Obama Romney Not sure Refused
Overall 46% 44% 8% 2%
Region
Northeast 53% 35% 9% 2%
Midwest 49% 42% 8% 1%
South 39% 51% 8% 2%
West 45% 43% 8% 4%
Age
18-44 49% 39% 9% 3%
45-64 45% 47% 6% 2%
65+ 41% 47% 9% 3%
Gender
Male 40% 48% 10% 2%
Female 51% 40% 6% 2%
Race
White 37% 52% 8% 2%
Black/Hispanic 80% 12% 4% 4%
Income
Under 30K 50% 36% 7% 6%
30K-50K 47% 43% 10% 0%
50-75K 41% 48% 9% 1%
75K+ 47% 47% 5% 1%
Party
Democrats 85% 9% 3% 3%
Republicans 6% 88% 4% 2%
Ind./Other 41% 41% 17% 1%
Investor Class
Yes 44% 48% 6% 2%
No 47% 40% 10% 3%
Area Type
Urban 61% 29% 10% 0%
Suburban 48% 40% 9% 4%
Rural 34% 58% 6% 2%
White
White men 30% 57% 12% 1%
White women 44% 48% 5% 2%
Black/Hispanic
Black 88% 6% 2% 4%
Hispanic 62% 27% 8% 4%
Women
Single women 57% 30% 10% 4%
Married women 45% 50% 4% 1%
Education
High School 51% 39% 8% 2%
Some College 33% 52% 11% 4%
College Degree or more 50% 42% 6% 2%
Ideology
Conservative 21% 70% 7% 3%
Moderate 56% 34% 8% 1%
Liberal 88% 3% 9% 1%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 38% 53% 6% 3%
Middle 47% 44% 7% 1%
Working 42% 46% 9% 2%
Lower 54% 28% 11% 8%
Religion
Protestant 36% 55% 6% 3%
Catholic 46% 44% 7% 2%
Other Christian 43% 47% 8% 3%
Jewish 59% 35% 6% 0%
Other 38% 47% 15% 0%
None 73% 17% 8% 2%
Union Household
Yes 53% 34% 10% 3%
No 44% 46% 7% 2%
2008 Vote
Obama 82% 9% 7% 2%
McCain 4% 90% 5% 1%
The TIPP Poll was conducted from September 4 to September 9 using traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples; sample Size: 808 Registered Voters nationwide, Margin of error - plus/minus 3.5 percentage points.
Party ID of sample: In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else? Democrat(36%), Republican (31%), Independent/Other(30%), Not sure/Refused(3%)
TIPP Poll Past Performance
The TIPP Poll was the most accurate presidential poll having come in #1 in both the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. An article summarizing the results is available here. The official election results compiled by the Federal Election Commission for 2008 is available here and for 2004 is available here. Readers may note that some analysis of results and pollster performance ranking on the Internet are obsolete because they analyze accuracy based on election night results, which are significantly different from the final results when all votes were counted.
Rasmussen had just announced that Republicans took the lead in his breakdown (by about 2%) when Romney tanked on Rasmussen. My theory, for what it’s worth, is that they have more “I don’t want to talk to you” responses from Republicans. It is either that or all the play the, “I want to keep parts of Obamacare” message is getting.
People are starting to get confused. Romney believes in parts of Obamacare which makes sense since Romneycare was originator. He is going to the Global Initiative Seminar on Global Warming to express his disgust over Americans Driving cars. He clearly is for gays in the military/gay marriage and gay adoption. He is for killing babies. No wonder people are having a hard time figuring this guy out.
If you go on twitter follow this guy @NumbersMuncher
He is dissecting this CNN poll and showing why its absolutely RIDICULOUS. All this is is an attempt to make Republicans not show up at the polls because they think the election is already over. This worked for the Dems in 2008, I hope to God it wont work again
Found it: 441 Registered Democrats; 397 Registered Republicans. 53% Dem / 47% Rep. D+6 = IGNORE.
I doubt if they had a choice in what they reported but it had better make Hussein look good...
The White House control them..just watch wolff for a short period and you will see that is true..
the entire MSM lie for Obama...and don't even give a fair report or positive article on Romney..I refuse to watch them..and their web page is crummy...
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