Breaking News! Micheal Dukakis up by 17 points!
More propaganda on stilts.
Democrats are oversampled by +5 so there ya go
CNN = Communist Network News aka PRAVDA West
I was following mark hemingway on twitter and somebody that follows him figured it 37% (D) 31.5 (R) and 31.5 (I).. Polls states it is +14 for independents going for Romney.. poll is fishy.
Obama “up” in polls? I doubt it. My guess would be that the other pollsters just don’t want to get a Justice Department proctology exam like Gallup’s about to enjoy.
Heavily skewed. NRO said Romney led among independents by 14 points. That’s a 5-point advantage there, which means Obama had an 11 point advantage among the R’s and D’s. Which means the poll probably had 10% more Dems than Republicans (not every R or D goes with the party of course). That’s probably at least 5 points out of whack from reality. Therefore this poll is skewed and Obama “might” have a 1-point lead in reality.
This whole “Obama’s got it in the bag” thing is starting to smell like high heaven.
President Obama’s lead over Governor Romney shrinks from 7 points in August to 2 points in September, according to the latest Investor’s Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll. Romney gains support from men, southern, rural, and Hispanic voters this month.
Q: If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote?
46% Democrat Barack Obama
44% Republican Mitt Romney
8% Not sure
2% Refused
Category Obama Romney Not sure Refused
Overall 46% 44% 8% 2%
Region
Northeast 53% 35% 9% 2%
Midwest 49% 42% 8% 1%
South 39% 51% 8% 2%
West 45% 43% 8% 4%
Age
18-44 49% 39% 9% 3%
45-64 45% 47% 6% 2%
65+ 41% 47% 9% 3%
Gender
Male 40% 48% 10% 2%
Female 51% 40% 6% 2%
Race
White 37% 52% 8% 2%
Black/Hispanic 80% 12% 4% 4%
Income
Under 30K 50% 36% 7% 6%
30K-50K 47% 43% 10% 0%
50-75K 41% 48% 9% 1%
75K+ 47% 47% 5% 1%
Party
Democrats 85% 9% 3% 3%
Republicans 6% 88% 4% 2%
Ind./Other 41% 41% 17% 1%
Investor Class
Yes 44% 48% 6% 2%
No 47% 40% 10% 3%
Area Type
Urban 61% 29% 10% 0%
Suburban 48% 40% 9% 4%
Rural 34% 58% 6% 2%
White
White men 30% 57% 12% 1%
White women 44% 48% 5% 2%
Black/Hispanic
Black 88% 6% 2% 4%
Hispanic 62% 27% 8% 4%
Women
Single women 57% 30% 10% 4%
Married women 45% 50% 4% 1%
Education
High School 51% 39% 8% 2%
Some College 33% 52% 11% 4%
College Degree or more 50% 42% 6% 2%
Ideology
Conservative 21% 70% 7% 3%
Moderate 56% 34% 8% 1%
Liberal 88% 3% 9% 1%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 38% 53% 6% 3%
Middle 47% 44% 7% 1%
Working 42% 46% 9% 2%
Lower 54% 28% 11% 8%
Religion
Protestant 36% 55% 6% 3%
Catholic 46% 44% 7% 2%
Other Christian 43% 47% 8% 3%
Jewish 59% 35% 6% 0%
Other 38% 47% 15% 0%
None 73% 17% 8% 2%
Union Household
Yes 53% 34% 10% 3%
No 44% 46% 7% 2%
2008 Vote
Obama 82% 9% 7% 2%
McCain 4% 90% 5% 1%
The TIPP Poll was conducted from September 4 to September 9 using traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples; sample Size: 808 Registered Voters nationwide, Margin of error - plus/minus 3.5 percentage points.
Party ID of sample: In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else? Democrat(36%), Republican (31%), Independent/Other(30%), Not sure/Refused(3%)
TIPP Poll Past Performance
The TIPP Poll was the most accurate presidential poll having come in #1 in both the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. An article summarizing the results is available here. The official election results compiled by the Federal Election Commission for 2008 is available here and for 2004 is available here. Readers may note that some analysis of results and pollster performance ranking on the Internet are obsolete because they analyze accuracy based on election night results, which are significantly different from the final results when all votes were counted.
People are starting to get confused. Romney believes in parts of Obamacare which makes sense since Romneycare was originator. He is going to the Global Initiative Seminar on Global Warming to express his disgust over Americans Driving cars. He clearly is for gays in the military/gay marriage and gay adoption. He is for killing babies. No wonder people are having a hard time figuring this guy out.
Found it: 441 Registered Democrats; 397 Registered Republicans. 53% Dem / 47% Rep. D+6 = IGNORE.
Probably true the way Romney’s campaigning or not campaigning. Then he plays word games with Obamacare and calls Obama a nice guy.
I swear I’ve tried my best to support him but I think the bottom line is, Romney only learns from his failures. First Newt nailed him big in GA, then Santorum in a number of states. Sure he bounced back but here’s the news flash, Romney:
No do-overs in the general.
If the +14 independents going for Romney is accurate, Obama is toast. Well, worse than toast, toast is tasty.
CNN/ORC Actually Surveyed the DNC This Time Showing Obama +6 Nationally
CNN/ORC Actually Surveyed the DNC This Time Showing Obama +6 Nationally
Today CNN released a poll showing a sizable Obama bounce. We’ve blogged CNN’s biased polls before and this survey has all the hallmarks of a truly unrealistic sampling of America. I made a joke about this previously, but it looks like CNN surveyed the floor of the Democrat Convention for it latest poll. They won’t reveal the party ID of voters but look at how their representative sample views the two parties:
•Democrat Party Favorability +8 at 51 to 43
•Republican Party Favorability – 10 at 42 to 52.
There is a 0% chance America sees the two parties this way and will again deliver an overwhelming majority back to the House and no worse than 50/50 split in the Senate.
Here are my other examples demonstrating the bias in sampling. The first bullet is the most damning:
•Romney has a 14-point lead among Independents (54 to 40) and is down 6 in the poll. If Romney wins Independents by 14 points he wins the election in a blowout
•Obama’s favorability at 57% versus 42% unfavorable. Favorability is different from job approval but he’s never this high
•Obama is +1 on handling the economy 50 to 49. No survey EVER claims this
•Obama is +1 among men 48 to 47. Obama is typically down 6-8 points among men. He was +1 in 2008, not today
Silver linings:
•Even in this hugely biased poll Mitt Romney has a +1 on favorability 48 to 47.
•Romney is +2 with people over 50 on handling medicare 49 to 47
CNN and ORC International continue to show extreme bias in their polling. If the above statistics were representative of today’s electorate Obama would win re-election in a landslide, yet they can only find him with a six-point lead. Thankfully this survey is worth the same as you pay to read this blog: nothing.
Even if the poll is accurate (which I highly doubt since polls can be quite open to ‘meddling’), the fact still remains that a LOT can happen in the time remaining to the election. As long as Conservative and Republican voters get up and go vote there is nothing to worry about.
FUDGE THE POLLS!! I ain’t going down without a FIGHT!! Hell NO!! TOO MUCH at stake here! I KNOW what the mediaBASTARDS are trying to do and it ain’t gonna work....GET MAD NOT DEMORALIZED...FIGHT DAMN ITS...FIGHT!! I’M telling you I AIN’T GOING DOWN WITHOUT A GOOD FIGHT FOUGHT !! NO WAY AND NO HOW!! YES, I’m in a Red State, but I’m STILL gonna take my friends, family and WHOEVER to the polls!! FIGHT, FIGHT and then FIGHT some more...IT AIN’T OVER YET! ENUFF of the polls doomsayers...IF you can spare some bucks DONATE to R&R camp and last PRAY, PRAY that God would remove the blinders from the American folk. HE IS OUR ONLY SOURCE to a SUPERNATURAL VICTORY!! Obombo has the mediaWHORES, HELLywood, the HOMOS and the communist educators and unions in his pocket...WE on the other hand have only The ALMIGHTY and each other to fight them....JUST rewind the DNC anti-God and Israel fiasco to know...GOD IS ON OUR SIDE!!
Good! I hope that the msm keeps saying that Obemba is up 10 points, 20 even 50 points.
That’ll make most dims stay home and not vote.
If this is a national poll, I bet they’re oversampling blue states.
The question is where they are state by state.