CNN/ORC Actually Surveyed the DNC This Time Showing Obama +6 Nationally
CNN/ORC Actually Surveyed the DNC This Time Showing Obama +6 Nationally
Today CNN released a poll showing a sizable Obama bounce. We’ve blogged CNN’s biased polls before and this survey has all the hallmarks of a truly unrealistic sampling of America. I made a joke about this previously, but it looks like CNN surveyed the floor of the Democrat Convention for it latest poll. They won’t reveal the party ID of voters but look at how their representative sample views the two parties:
•Democrat Party Favorability +8 at 51 to 43
•Republican Party Favorability – 10 at 42 to 52.
There is a 0% chance America sees the two parties this way and will again deliver an overwhelming majority back to the House and no worse than 50/50 split in the Senate.
Here are my other examples demonstrating the bias in sampling. The first bullet is the most damning:
•Romney has a 14-point lead among Independents (54 to 40) and is down 6 in the poll. If Romney wins Independents by 14 points he wins the election in a blowout
•Obama’s favorability at 57% versus 42% unfavorable. Favorability is different from job approval but he’s never this high
•Obama is +1 on handling the economy 50 to 49. No survey EVER claims this
•Obama is +1 among men 48 to 47. Obama is typically down 6-8 points among men. He was +1 in 2008, not today
Silver linings:
•Even in this hugely biased poll Mitt Romney has a +1 on favorability 48 to 47.
•Romney is +2 with people over 50 on handling medicare 49 to 47
CNN and ORC International continue to show extreme bias in their polling. If the above statistics were representative of today’s electorate Obama would win re-election in a landslide, yet they can only find him with a six-point lead. Thankfully this survey is worth the same as you pay to read this blog: nothing.
You know there is a real problem when they won't reveal the party breakdown.
I suspect the next step will be they will lie about their breakdown. We'll get to the point where we'll be told there are more Republicans than Democrats in the sample, but Obamugabe is still winning by 5 points.
•Obama is +1 among men 48 to 47. Obama is typically down 6-8 points among men. He was +1 in 2008, not today
That SUCH BS. They expect us to believe that?
Very good analysis Perdogg. The best part of FR. Deconstructing the myths and polls of MSM.