Posted on 09/10/2012 12:52:53 PM PDT by madprof98
With unemployment still over 8 percent, household income continuing to fall and trillion-dollar deficits stretching out as far as the eye can see, the 2012 presidential race shouldn’t even be close. In fact, economic-based political models suggest that Mitt Romney ought to be strolling to an easy victory.
And yet Romney is losing. When your campaign pollster is forced to release an “OK, Nobody Panic!” memo, as Neil Newhouse did today, it’s never a good sign.
The same is true of the race to control the U.S. Senate. Of the 33 seats being contested this year, only 10 are held by the Republicans. That means that going into this election cycle, the GOP had 23 chances to pick up the four additional seats they need to claim a Senate majority. Given the public’s deep disenchantment with Congress and the willingness of wealthy conservatives to pump big money into those races, the GOP had every reason to be confident that Mitch McConnell would replace Harry Reid as Senate majority leader come January.
And yet that dream may also be slipping away.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.ajc.com ...
Mona Charen had it right this morning on Bill Bennett’s show. The GOP never fought back against the meme that Bush ruined the economy in 2007 and 2008 and most people believe it. Even though it was a 2006 democrat Congress led by Frank and Dodd that caused the housing bubble which burst to threaten our financial system. Bush’s economy was 5.5% unemployment and 3.5% growth before that election. This is the BIG LIE in politics today and the media trumpets it still...that Bush ruined the economy. That’s why Willard can’t get any traction against the “failed policies of the past” propaganda.
Don’t forget the tens of thousands of lawyers The Won’s regime has hired to contest elections in all 50 states.
I don’t think this county has a clue of what time it is, or where we have arrived.
Everyone is putting their faith in a man, a party and a Cook County election process gone national.
The media and the polls are doing exactly what it does for the Machine that runs Chicago. Add half the population on welfare; most blacks on Obama’s plantation; a culture that is immersed in abortion, sexual sin and murder and disregard or openly boo God - and an avowed Marxist who was voted into power by the same - hellbent on ‘transforming’ us by ignoring the rule of law and reinterpreting the Constitution to suit his fancy.
The math here is not that hard.
And yes, of course the media is going to try to shape the election and public opinion. It’s what Propaganda Officials do for Dear Leaders of Leftist regimes.
Lucky for them, a majority of this people no longer think - but emote.
That fact takes on still more relevance when you consider that going all the way back to 1992, the Republicans have won a plurality of the national presidential vote exactly once. That once-in-20-years moment came in 2004, when George W. Bush rode the post-9/11 wave of patriotic fervor to a very narrow victory over John Kerry.
This statement could easily be revised. how about:
That fact takes on still more relevance when you consider that going all the way back to 1968, the Democrats have won a plurality of the national presidential vote exactly twice. Those twice-in-40-years moments came in 1976 and 2008. Clinton didn’t get pluralties either time he won.
^ THIS ^
There's a technical term for the sad, inevitable tendency -- every four years, like clockwork -- applicable to the side in any presidential contest whose adherents are forced to chant, idiotically: "... donnnnnnnnn't belieeeeeeeeeve the polllllllllllllssssssssss... donnnnnnnnn't belieeeeeeeeeve the polllllllllllllssssssssss...," over and over and over again.
That term; losers.
Four years ago, Team McCain's sycophants were mumbling the same insistent, zombie drone, all the way up to Election Day. Just sayin'.
Romney isn’t winning because the media says he isn’t winning. Romney will win if his voters get mad and not discouraged.
A lot of people don’t think they need a job these days.
Those gov’t checks, ie, borrowed money, keep coming in.
Of course, that’ll stop and pretty soon.
You, sir, just won post of the day.
A-Men, sir. A-men.
Rush said about the same thing .... predicting that the only polls not skewed for political effect will be the ones fabricated a few days before the election, when the pollsters will have to look to their reputations and start moving some numbers toward reality.
Which doesn't mean anything unless it is welfare related, people on SS, or military pay, or military retirement, are the most conservative of voters.
He is. The media lies, and there are plenty of people out there like me who don’t want to answer surveys on the phone. The obamanation who is causing desolation WILL lose!
Maybe because Progressive Facists like this author ignore these sort of polls to pimp the polls that tell them what they want to hear
President Obama’s lead over Governor Romney shrinks from 7 points in August to 2 points in September, according to the latest Investor’s Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll. Romney gains support from men, southern, rural, and Hispanic voters this month.
Q: If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote?
46% Democrat Barack Obama
44% Republican Mitt Romney
8% Not sure
2% Refused
Category Obama Romney Not sure Refused
Overall 46% 44% 8% 2%
Region
Northeast 53% 35% 9% 2%
Midwest 49% 42% 8% 1%
South 39% 51% 8% 2%
West 45% 43% 8% 4%
Age
18-44 49% 39% 9% 3%
45-64 45% 47% 6% 2%
65+ 41% 47% 9% 3%
Gender
Male 40% 48% 10% 2%
Female 51% 40% 6% 2%
Race
White 37% 52% 8% 2%
Black/Hispanic 80% 12% 4% 4%
Income
Under 30K 50% 36% 7% 6%
30K-50K 47% 43% 10% 0%
50-75K 41% 48% 9% 1%
75K+ 47% 47% 5% 1%
Party
Democrats 85% 9% 3% 3%
Republicans 6% 88% 4% 2%
Ind./Other 41% 41% 17% 1%
Investor Class
Yes 44% 48% 6% 2%
No 47% 40% 10% 3%
Area Type
Urban 61% 29% 10% 0%
Suburban 48% 40% 9% 4%
Rural 34% 58% 6% 2%
White
White men 30% 57% 12% 1%
White women 44% 48% 5% 2%
Black/Hispanic
Black 88% 6% 2% 4%
Hispanic 62% 27% 8% 4%
Women
Single women 57% 30% 10% 4%
Married women 45% 50% 4% 1%
Education
High School 51% 39% 8% 2%
Some College 33% 52% 11% 4%
College Degree or more 50% 42% 6% 2%
Ideology
Conservative 21% 70% 7% 3%
Moderate 56% 34% 8% 1%
Liberal 88% 3% 9% 1%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 38% 53% 6% 3%
Middle 47% 44% 7% 1%
Working 42% 46% 9% 2%
Lower 54% 28% 11% 8%
Religion
Protestant 36% 55% 6% 3%
Catholic 46% 44% 7% 2%
Other Christian 43% 47% 8% 3%
Jewish 59% 35% 6% 0%
Other 38% 47% 15% 0%
None 73% 17% 8% 2%
Union Household
Yes 53% 34% 10% 3%
No 44% 46% 7% 2%
2008 Vote
Obama 82% 9% 7% 2%
McCain 4% 90% 5% 1%
The TIPP Poll was conducted from September 4 to September 9 using traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples; sample Size: 808 Registered Voters nationwide, Margin of error - plus/minus 3.5 percentage points.
Party ID of sample: In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else? Democrat(36%), Republican (31%), Independent/Other(30%), Not sure/Refused(3%)
TIPP Poll Past Performance
The TIPP Poll was the most accurate presidential poll having come in #1 in both the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. An article summarizing the results is available here. The official election results compiled by the Federal Election Commission for 2008 is available here and for 2004 is available here. Readers may note that some analysis of results and pollster performance ranking on the Internet are obsolete because they analyze accuracy based on election night results, which are significantly different from the final results when all votes were counted.
There is no doubt that government dependency is the Demonrats’ silver bullet. With it they nullify every argument against them. No wonder they having been expanding it for decades.
I’m hoping that the left leaning polls will suppress the ‘rat fraud and cheating efforts (since they think they have it in the bag anyway).
It is not going to get much better because Romney agreed to participate in debates hosted and moderated by leftist. They will pull out all the stops to make Romney look bad in the debates. I would bet that Obama will get a list of the questions a couple weeks ahead of time to help him rehearse. Romney should have never have agreed to do a debate moderated by the MSM.
Yup. It's Groundhog Year. We keep waking up to 2008, over and over again.
Liberal Democrat candidate hand-picked by the Ruling Class, and the 'toss-the-dogs-a-bone' Conservative running mate to hold the base while playing nice with the Marxist - because the Ruling Class says the election will be decided by 'moderates' who will vote for Obama anyway.
Judging from Mitt’s behavior, I’ve long thought perhaps he doesn’t want to win. When you compare his campaigning to Ryan’s it just doesn’t measure up in any category. Certainly not in fervor or passion. And Ryan, good as he is, can’t win on his own.
What is a "co-exist sign"?
You got it. If you’re on the public teat, the only thing that matters is who is going to give you more. The recession doesn’t matter because you don’t plan on getting a job anyway.
That is the supreme irony. Obamanites on the dole will be voting against their own long-run interests.
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