Posted on 09/10/2012 6:20:15 AM PDT by Perdogg
The Romney campaign just distributed this open memo from the campaign’s in-house pollster, Neil Newhouse
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
I think this is quite damaging, considering that the convention WAS in NC.
They can’t even keep the state that all the hoopla was going on in.
It will cause a panic among our more complacent and among the independents. It will motivate ABO voters and lull the Obamabots into sleep.”
That ‘could’ be right. I hope so, and sort of think so. However, among conservatives who are inclined to pessimism, this could start the trend to depression and de-motivation. Just look at the FR posts. The “all is lost” crowd might well do double time to make sure that, in fact, all is lost.
Which means, ironically, that the determined independents who are just ticked off at obama might end up beating him, while conservatives who grumble will stand on the sidelines and moan.
I just want obama gone, and I’m sickened with the polls right now. The next two months ore going to be difficult, to say the least.
“Rasmussen has Obama up 5 this morning over Romney. Also Rasmussen shows Obama with a 52% approval rating, the most in a very long time.”
All this tells me is that there are a number of people out there that do not have a firm commitment to either candidate at this time, even when they profess that they have made up their minds.
There are enough fluid voters out there to swing this election either way and with the campaign just getting started, its way too early to start throwing in the towel.
I thought Republicans needed a bump more than the Democrats..
Here’s the easiest way to look at polls from here until election day and maybe it has more to do with dealing with fraudulent polling here in WI for three straight years.
No poll (even Ras) is worth a damned thing right now. The day in day out ups and downs over polls/trolls here at Free Republic actually is making this place a complete buzzkill to come to.
Trolls are having a field day with everyone here!
Have faith in the electorate! Walker, Prosser, Walker again, recalls galore all had one thing in common, polls that they all were going to lose or not win by margins they thought...but a motivated electorate came out and proved polls wrong.
All of these polls and trolls are here to do one thing...lower the huge numbers of motivated right leaning people from going to the polls because they think all is lost.
The “If we would have just did this or just did that” BS isn’t helping a thing. Instead do what we did here in WI, get two conservative people to the polls to vote for our candidate, one “I’m not voting for either” and one former Obama voter to do the same. Its what caused all polling to be embarrassed by the margins in the Walker recall.
And if at the end of the day Obama wins...? It wouldn’t have mattered who we ran...the moochers had taken over the country anyways.
Believe me...its liberating to deal with it.
Only political junkies like us pay any attention to the conventions, and most of “us” watched the NFL instead.
I didn’t check this myself, but I heard a host on the radio this morning saying that at this point in the 1988 campaign, Dukkakis had a 17 point lead in national polls over George H.W. Bush. Take these polls now with a grain of salt; there’s still a lot of campaign left.
I saw an ad in VA that addressed both of those issues as you speak.
Of course, it is obviously too early to throw in the towel. Saying that, Obama is clearly winning at this point in the race. The problem is that a majority of Americans still WANT to like Obama. All he has to do is continue giving them reasons to maintain their emotional attachment to him. Those reasons will be theatric, razzle dazzle stuff as Laura Ingraham talks about on her radio program. It is a huge, huge advantage to any politician when the public WANTS to like you.
It looks pretty obvious that the Romney campaign has been ineffective so far. Obama has the same lead, if not larger, that he's had all along. R/R have tried the soft, gentle "it's really okay to vote against Obama" strategy and it just isn't working. But it appears their polling and focus groups are telling them that people are still emotionally attached to Obama and that a direct assault on him just turns people off. So they are kinda stuck with no real strategy they can really get behind aggressively. On top of that, Romney is a boring candidate. It is just not possible to get excited about him for most people. So the campaign is just kinda spinning its wheels right now and is on pace to lose.
This surprises me. Civitas is a conservative group here in NC that does polling and their polls are not that bad for the Kenyan. In fact at a recent AFP event here in Raleigh it was said to be 50% split on some approvals—I remember wanting to cry!
This surprises me. Civitas is a conservative group here in NC that does polling and their polls are not that bad for the Kenyan. In fact at a recent AFP event here in Raleigh it was said to be 50% split on some approvals—I remember wanting to cry!
Exactly, against all odds. The MSM would have us believe that trends from the past 75 years don't matter when it comes to Obama. He'll be the ONE to overcome the staggering deficit and crippling unemployment. He'll be the ONE to overcome the doubling of gas prices and higher food and energy prices. He'll be the ONE to overcome low consumer confidence.
FRiends, take a breath and stay focused. We knew the MSM were in the tank for Obama and it's really beginning to kick in now. Stay on message. We're less than two months away!
Yes. No doubt. They chose that state for their convention for a very good reason. They thought they could win NC again. There is no way they would have done it otherwise. This is a good thing. We are battling in the top 3 red-leaning swing states and in blue states right now, not traditional red states. R/R are committing resources to CO, NV, IA, and WI. If we are in the running in those states, the field is stretched in our favor. We have a battle on our hands for OH, and VA...those are the only ones I believe are must-wins and still up in the air. FL looks good, but could slip if R/R doesn’t get aggressive.
2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, NE1, NV (*or CO), IA, WI = 270EV (*or 273EV)
So much has been made of what Mittens must do to win, when really (a) Bobo's cadre has already admitted they're playing off the Kerry map to lose; and (b) any inroads Mittens makes into the Rust Belt and/or Intermountain West cripples Bobo's path to victory.
Because reapportionment gives Mittens team so many angles of attack at 270, states like WI and NV are must-win for Bobo.
But I see the handwringing bedwetters are in full shrill elsewhere on this thread. FU Freetards you should be ashamed of yourselves.
Well, what else is he going to say? “Panic has struck the Romney campaign, and we’re in BIG trouble!”?
FLASHBACK: GALLUP HAD CARTER UP 4 PTS OVER REAGAN IN SEPT 1980 [+8 IN OCT]...
FLASHBACK: DUKAKIS +17 OVER BUSH AFTER DNC 1988...
Uh huh. What conservative even watches that show.
Oh you might wanna check out this thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2928916/posts
POST #12
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.