Posted on 09/09/2012 8:40:57 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
PPP's first post-conventions poll in Ohio finds Barack Obama with a 5 point lead over Mitt Romney, 50-45. This is the largest lead PPP has found for Obama in an Ohio poll since early May. Last month Obama led 48-45.
Both candidates have seen their images improve with Ohio voters in the wake of the conventions. Obama now breaks even in his approval rating at 48%, after being under water with 46% of voters approving and 51% disapproving of him a month ago. Romney's numbers are up from a 41/52 favorability rating a month ago as well, but he still remains unpopular. Only 44% see him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion.
Romney actually leads 46-44 with independents but Obama has the overall advantage thanks to a more unified party base. He leads 86/11 with Democrats, compared to Romney's 83/13 advantage with Republicans. Obama's 75 point lead within his own party is up from 70 points a month ago, suggesting that his party has coalesced around him a little bit more in the wake of a successful convention. By a 47/35 margin Ohio voters say they think the Democrats had a better convention than the Republicans.
Obama's leading in Ohio because he's not as weak there with some large voter blocs as he is in other states. He trails only 48-46 with men and 50-46 with whites, and actually leads 49-47 with seniors. His performance with those groups is far better than it is nationally- Romney would need much wider leads with them if he was going to take Ohio.
Despite chatter that Obama's convention speech was not up to his normal standards Ohio voters still say by a 60-31 margin that Obama gives better speeches than Romney. His position in the state may also be helped by the fact that the folks who gave the major convention speeches Tuesday night are more popular than he is: Bill Clinton has a 57/34 favorability rating and Michelle Obama's is 57/35. Romney's wife is an asset for him too- 54% of voters see Ann Romney favorably with 28% holding an unfavorable opinion. But Mrs. Obama wins out in the more popular wife category by a 49/41 margin. Out of the other Democrats who gave primetime speeches last week Julian Castro made the most positive impression and has a 28/17 favorability rating. Voters are split on Elizabeth Warren at 23/23 and Martin O'Malley doesn't seem to have attracted much attention with 86% of Ohioans saying they have no opinion about him one way or the other.
It's hard to see a path to victory for Mitt Romney without Ohio, and Obama continues to be in a strong position there with eight weeks to go.
Silver linings:
“Romney actually leads 46-44 with independents”
So it has to be at least D +5 to give Obama that 5 pt edge.
What SHOULD Ohio be?
Do you work for Politico, or just spout their crap?
I don’t know about ‘Right wing’, but your definite ‘Ho’ material.
You are delusional if you think Ron Paul activists are the GOP base. They are not even the Tea Party. This is a BIG misconception. you would never catch Tea Party folks cheering on Paul as he heralded Bradley Manning as a hero and blamed American imperialism for 9/11, as he did in his Tampa "rally".
“Kasich failed at nothing “
I apologize for not being more clear. I did not mean to say Kasich had failed over all. I meant that Kasich had failed to win popular support for his union and pension reforms unlike Scott Walker. I know his approval had slipped into the mid 30% range. Has that changed? What do you see out there that make you confident Romney will win OH?
polls are polls...
lets not be discouraged...
sure, we have our own people here on FR who will vote obama back in, they like to be sly about it, but we know who they are...and they indeed are ensuring the re election of that dictator obama...
its early....Romney will pick up steam....he's a better speaker...
I am praying that he suceeds....
Just don't listen. ;)
Look, there's no doubt about the full-court press on in the media - they dare not report the truth about the jobs numbers from Friday, so they had to capitalize on a slender convention bounce for Barry by calling the election over already.
Romney needs to tighten up his message, and I believe he will. As he gets back on the campaign trail (from which he's been absent for a few days) his large ad buys kick in, and Barry's bounce erodes, he'll be in fine shape heading into the debates.
Time for the ole “troll-away” spray.
I agree. Should have spent at least some time at the convention reminding people of what an aboslute far left radical BO is and given examples. Should have talked about his going around congress and making up laws as he goes. There was so much. I would have loved to hear Herman Cain. He was ahead until the media made up those stories about him. Where was Newt? It was a love fest without much meat and a great loss to remind people how dangerous BO is to our country.
The Ron Paul activists worked for Code Pink.
People are stupid.
We are at depression levels of unemployment. Average income has dropped almost 10% in 3 years whle food and energy prices have “necessarily skyrocket”ed
The MSM and Public schools are powerful enough to get this bum re-elected??
Maybe we are indeed heading for a civil war.
Stop being a bedwetter.
Romney may be behind but its a few points at most and it post DNC bounce is all
...
JUST LIKE 1980.
?
.
If America only knew....
Will America be lost because noone had the guts to
tell expose Obama?
The best Obama exposure site on the net:
The Obama File
http://theobamafile.com/
The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html
Just a few of the pages:
http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_politics.html
http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_personal.html
http://www.theobamafile.com/BarackObama.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/_family/FamilyPage.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaEducation.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaPsychology.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaReligion.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaWife.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/_associates/ObamaAssociates.htm
http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaIconography.htm
.
.
He’s a punk at a minimim ...
Stop being a bedwetter.
Romney may be behind but its a few points at most and it post DNC bounce is all
...
JUST LIKE 1980.
44 months of unemployment over 8%
Gasoline that costs nearly $4.00 a gallon
The most left-wing President in history
Obamacare forcing Catholics (like me) to pay for abortions - the most common yard sign in Ohio right now isn't for Romney or Obama: it says, "Protect Religious Freedom"
Coal plants and oil and gas exploration being blocked by the EPA - Ohio is the next energy boom state once Barry is gone
We turned out Ted Strickland and a Democrat House in 2010, and those same voters still live in Ohio
That's just a portion. :) Romney is in a good postion in Ohio, if slightly behind - I think he can close the gap and pull it out.
That actually works in his favor, they know the Democrats will keep extending unemployment and other welfare bennies, the Democrats have them convinced the Republicans will take them away.
Guess alot of people here have forgotten about the Republican wipe-out of 2010. BO won in ‘08 with alot of stupid Republicans voting for him and that ain’t gonna happen this time around. I think many dems will vote for Romney too, including BJ Clinton. These polls are trying to demoralize Romney voters when they actually make us more determined to get to the voting booth to prove them wrong and as a previous poster suggested, it may be time to watch a few reruns of Gunsmoke for a few days.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.