Posted on 08/28/2012 7:16:54 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Last week, Ramussen showed Republican nominee Linda McMahon with a 3-point edge over her Democratic opponent in the US Senate race in Connecticut, Rep. Chris Murphy, 49/46. Six days later, Quinnipiac confirms that McMahon has a slight edge over Murphy — and in fact finds the exact same result:
Connecticut likely voters put Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon on the right side of a 49-46 percent too-close-to-call U.S. Senate race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. …
"The poll is good news for Linda McMahon. In our first likely voter poll in Connecticut, McMahon has a 3 point advantage in a too-close-to-call-race. Her edge is due to her double- digit lead among independent voters and being close among women, a group she struggled with in her 2010 run," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
McMahon’s draw comes from a surprisingly wide, if not deep, reach in the demos. She has a twelve-point lead among men, while Murphy only gets a within-the-MoE edge of four points among women. Murphy wins younger voters, but only by eight points, while McMahon wins the middle-age vote by twelve; the two split seniors evenly. McMahon also does better on lower and higher income brackets.
That may not be the only surprise cooking in the Nutmeg State. Barack Obama has a lead outside of the MoE, but not that far outside of it::
President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 – 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12 percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind.
The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 – 38 percent while men back Romney 53 – 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 – 49 percent split among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president.
Just as a reminder, Obama won Connecticut in 2008 by 23 points, 61/38. John Kerry won the state in 2004 by ten points, 54/44, over George W. Bush in a losing effort overall. Al Gore won Connecticut by 17 in 2000, again while losing overall to Bush.
A seven-point lead for an incumbent Democratic President in this state is a show of weakness. Combine that with a slight Republican lead in a US Senate race and it begins to look like Connecticut may be shifting out of the Safely Democratic column and edging toward swing-state status.
One can dream can't he?
Getting interesting!
I hope this holds true.
Must have been her atomic punch or her coco-butt!
1............2............3.........YOU WIN!............
“The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 – 38 percent”
OK Connecticut ladies (you 59%)... what is it...
The smile?
The offer by Michelle that Baraq can “be your husband, too?”
His offer of taxpayer-paid abortion?
Your aspirations of being “Julia?”
And Murphy is nobody.
And Romney has no shot.
Never-had-a-real-job Murphy needs to finally get kicked off the public payroll! Unfortunately the voters’ choice for Murphy’s vacated seat in CT’s 5th is either a Liberal Democrat or a Liberal Republican (Roraback). :(
This is good news, but, I’m wondering why the people of CT are leaning toward her this time when they rejected her last time when she ran against a doofus brain who lied about serving in Viet Nam? Just sayin’
But, hey, I hope like everything that she wins.
Great news. This is why you will never hear me criticize a “RINO” in a dark blue state like Maine, Massachusetts or Connecticut. RINO is as good as it gets in those states. McMahon is no true conservative, but she’ll be 100% better than the flaming Communist the Dems put up. Same with Massachusetts. Brown is 100% better than Warren. If we want a Senate majority, and some state Republican parties insist on running candidates like Akin, then we have to do it with McMahons and Browns.
Good observations. I think both McMahon and Romney/Ryan are pulling each other “up”. CT voters are mostly white and upper class. They don’t want Muslems running their lives.
Question: Does BO’S SS# give him the right to say he is from CT? I don’t think they want him.
Good observations. I think both McMahon and Romney/Ryan are pulling each other “up”. CT voters are mostly white and upper class. They don’t want Muslems running their lives.
Question: Does BO’S SS# give him the right to say he is from CT? I don’t think they want him.
Apparently Blumenthal was seen as some kind of sainted savior.. a caretaker of the "little people" as AG.
RE: CT has a lot of business people and white people, two groups the Democrats have been dead set on alienating, and moderate Republican women (tolerate ‘em or hate ‘em) have a good track record in New England.
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I live in NY, which is next door neighbor to CT. They sometimes joke that CT is the bedroom state of NY as many Wall Street types live and sleep in CT and commute to work in NYC ( a mere 30 minute train ride away via the Metro North ).
Because of the huge number of layoffs in Wall Street recently, the home prices in CT closest in NYC have FALLEN.
CT used to be the state with the highest per capita income in the nation. That number 1 status is now being challenged.
Must be accurate if Obama is leading in CT?
Brown & Obama lead in Mass.
Romney isn't behind by much in the polling IIRC. Rove has CT in the leaning for Obama, not solidly Obama.
Maybe they resent getting snookered the last time and are determined not to let it happen again.
As AG Blumenthal spent most of his time going after eeeeevil businesses for trig to “rip off” the popr, uneducated consumers and holding press confreres to tell every one how great he was.
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