Posted on 08/21/2012 6:07:25 AM PDT by Perdogg
Here’s a message to the GOP from Vacationland: Maine is not lost!
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
ping
I have been feeling this way for a few months now.
I have no doubt that a lot of hard work could make Maine competitive, but is it worth the resources it would take. Would rather use those stretched resources on MN, WI, PA and MI, where there are many more electoral votes and overlapping media markets (MI and PA also overlap with Ohio).
Is this just a “feeling” or is there actual polling data stating something other than Maine being firmly under the Obama jackboot? Here’s what RCP has up ‘til now.
RCP Average, 3/31 - 6/25
O - 50.7, R - 35.3 Obama +15.4
Critical Insights, 6/20 - 6/25, 615 RV
O - 49, R - 35 Obama +14
WBUR/MassINC, 6/13 - 6/14, 506 LV
O - 48, R - 34 Obama +14
MPRC (D), 3/31 - 4/2, 993 RV
O - 55, R - 37 Obama +18
Ah... we’re talking about the Senate race.. Disregard my previous.
Some folks should read the article before commenting. The writer is talking about the Senate seat, not the presidential election. He makes a great case.
Republicans should have decent shot at 1 electoral vote there.
With the ongoing, and as yet, unresolved fiasco in Missouri, we'll need all the Republican Senators we can gather!
Perhaps the poster could have added a few words of clarification either parenthetically in the title, or as a comment.
I think that the Maine race is far from over, but I’m not sure if the author is as knowledgeable about Maine as he claims to be. He wrote:
“he won statewide in 2010 when he was elected Maine’s secretary of state.”
But Charlie Summers has never been elected statewide: in Maine, the Secretary of State and other such positions are elected by the state legislature, not by the voters.
(Liberal) King 46
(Republican) Summers 28
(Democrat) Dill 8
There's no reason Summers couldn't get in the low 40's. The question then will be how much support Dill will pull.
Three way races in Maine with independent candidates can change quickly and unpredictably (... like the weather?) This would be a good race for the Club for Growth to drop a couple mil (they have nothing better to spend it on judging by some of the odd funding choices they made in primaries this year).
I agree. we don’t want to get bogged down in difficult races if we don’t have to and, so far, we don’t have to. That doesn’t mean we should abandon our candidates in tough races though, especially since Mr. Akin has probably turned all of our races into tough races. He has certainly changed the dynamics of every battle and our prospects for good fortunes.
The hell King DOESN’T know who he’s “going to caucus with.”
48 GOP (MO included for the GOP) and 46 Rats, 6 seats up in the air:
Here is my count:
GOP Solid pick ups (3):
Nebraska, North Dakota, Missouri
GOP pick up Leans (3):
Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin
GOP Good chance (1):
Ohio
GOP wishlist (2):
Hawaii, Connecticut
GOP Surprise (1):
Maryland (Bongino)
GOP probable loss (1):
Maine
GOP Toss Up (1)
Massachusetts
My final count is GOP-52 Dems/Libs-48
And yet, according to Gallup, Obama’s approval in Maine is 47.2 percent.
See table here:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/125066/State-States.aspx?ref=interactive
That garbage in MO NEEDS TO PULL OUT NOW!!! “Torch-NJ” him NOW!!!
Also, Brown will win in MA.
errata: GOP pick up Leans (4):
Florida, Virgina, Montana, and Wisconsin
Speaking for WI, Thompson is in a stronger position than a “lean”. Tammy Baldwin is a competant candidate, but she hasn’t run outside of the Madison are for a reason.
TT won’t lose in WI.
NJ and PA are more likely than CT IMO.
I’m using lots of acronyms here.
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