(Liberal) King 46
(Republican) Summers 28
(Democrat) Dill 8
There's no reason Summers couldn't get in the low 40's. The question then will be how much support Dill will pull.
Three way races in Maine with independent candidates can change quickly and unpredictably (... like the weather?) This would be a good race for the Club for Growth to drop a couple mil (they have nothing better to spend it on judging by some of the odd funding choices they made in primaries this year).
48 GOP (MO included for the GOP) and 46 Rats, 6 seats up in the air:
Here is my count:
GOP Solid pick ups (3):
Nebraska, North Dakota, Missouri
GOP pick up Leans (3):
Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin
GOP Good chance (1):
Ohio
GOP wishlist (2):
Hawaii, Connecticut
GOP Surprise (1):
Maryland (Bongino)
GOP probable loss (1):
Maine
GOP Toss Up (1)
Massachusetts
My final count is GOP-52 Dems/Libs-48