Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Ras: Romney 44, Obama 43)

Rassmussen ^ | 08-20-2012 | Scott Rassmussen

[Red Badger]

Being in a swing state, Florida, I have been polled a couple of times already this year. It’s like this every election. They call in the evening time when everybody is supposedly home from work, and usually eating supper. If they polled exclusively during the day, all they would get would be housewives, retired, elderly and unemployed parasites. On the weekends, people of means go out to dinner, a movie or some other outside interest. The ones who are home are the same as during the week days............

[commonguymd]

Ok, well he had Obama up one during the week last week and Romney came back and leads by one now as the weekend passed. It’s all a margin of error thing perhaps. I don’t think Ras plays games with his numbers like others do.

[Red Badger]

Forget the daily absolute numbers. Look at the trend over the past few weeks. They are more of an indication of voter sentiment........

[commonguymd]

That trend is pretty much deadlocked. Lots of stupid in this country. Lots.

[Graewoulf]

” - - - Mitt Romney attracting support from 44% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.”

HEY! ROMNEY! YEAH, YOU!

Throw away your sissy Mittens and fight like the WARRIOR that you need to be to convince us that you really do want to be President of the United States of America.

What on Earth are you waiting for ?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It is almost Labor Day and 12 % of the voters have no idea why they should vote for you.

Lead or get out of the way! It is way to late to “follow.”

Tick-Tock.

[Red Badger]

[Red Badger]

....That or a lot of people are lying to pollsters........like ME!.......;^)

[SamAdams76]

Here are more factors to consider. Many affluent households are discarding landlines altogether. Everybody in the household has a smartphone, making a landline superfluous. In my own household, we ditched the landline in favor of a faster internet connection. Anybody I wanted to speak to had my cellphone number. That meant everybody else was either a telemarketer, a wrong number or somebody I definitely do not want to talk to (or they would have had my cell number).

Caller ID is another factor. I won't even answer my cellphone unless I know who it is that is calling. If they aren't in my address book, they go to voicemail.

Pollsters may have been trying to contact me but they will never be successful.

[InterceptPoint]

Ras had a mysterious Obama surge over the weekend that is now gone. Probabaly just a flawed weekend sample.

I never understood the logic of weekend samples being any different than any other sample. The methodology Rasmussen uses requires that he count the "votes" of a fixed percentage of Rs, Ds and Is mixed in with other secret sauce demographic categories. So it really shouldn't matter that more Dems are home and fewer Pubbies are home than during the week.

Plus, as I understand it, Rasmussen is presenting a three moving average poll. That in itself will smooth out any weekend effect.

More importantly, Romney's move in one day from 2 behind to 1 ahead means a very big jump, much greater than 3 points for the actual Sunday tally. This is due to the 3 day averaging where he was down 2 on Saturday and Sunday and amazingly up by 1 on Monday. And Obama at 43!!! That's an average of three days. This most recent poll must have him down in the 39 to 40 range.

Maybe good news, maybe statistical noise.

[jmaroneps37]

Okay now Scott take your thumb all the way off the scale.