Posted on 08/20/2012 9:50:52 AM PDT by MNJohnnie
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 44% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
Today’s update matches the president’s lowest level of support since May. Yesterday was the lowest level of support for Romney since March. On a combined basis, today shows the lowest level of combined support for the two major party candidates since January 27. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I thought they were 3 points different last week with Romney being ahead. Since neither get over 50 percent, let’s have a complete do over. Santorum vs Biden would be interesting. We would have Rasmussen having Santorum 90 percent to Bidens 4 percent with 6 percent undecided.
I’m trying to understand why Obama still polls greater than 5%. I cannot fathom how close this is.
Actully I think the Romney lead reached 4 for a day or two but over the weekend it was Obama by 2. For some reason the "some other candidate" and "undecided" numbers are increasing. Probably just sampling noise. In any case it is still close.
Weekend polls pick up more dems than GOP and independents. We have stuff to do on weekends. They are couch potatoes................
Ras had a mysterious Obama surge over the weekend that is now gone. Probabaly just a flawed weekend sample.
Margin of error implies that a legitimate poll will bounce around.
You assume that they were reported in the MSM. They were not. ABCNNBCBS ignores the gaffs. If they do not report them, they didn't happen.............
“Sometimes it is helpful to look at the numbers on a full-week basis rather than day-to-day basis. This eliminates some statistical noise and gives a broader perspective on the race. Doing so gives a sense of how little the race has changed over the past two months. In six of the past eight weeks, Romney has been ahead by one or two points. Once he had a larger lead, and once the candidates were tied.”
Today’s number represents a 3-day moving average encompassing polling taken on Friday, Saturday and Sunday nights. It’s summer. My impression is that weekend polling tends to shift to the Democrats, probably because Republicans tend to have families and take vacations and spend weekends away from home, and so are more difficult to contact on weekends. Or during the summer. Democrats tend to be single and to stay at home.
I don’t believe Barry is even at 20%. Even the Liberals in CA aren’t putting their God’s stickers on their little cars.
I have a couple of tips on polling. Daily tracking polls favor democrats on weekends, because most Republicans are not home on weekends. Also, late summer polls in general favor democrats because most Republicans are on vacation. This has been a fact for a long time. So these polls that have Romney only up a little in August dont bother me at all. Watch his numbers go up on daily tracking in the middle of the week. Its like clockwork.
Check my post out below. You are totally right.
I thought it was the opposite. GOP members tend to be working through the week and are available on the weekends. At least that is how I remember the poll fluctuations being.
No, last week O was ahead, this week Romney is. That is the problem with Daily Tracking polls, they wobble all over the place.
Backwards. weekdays we work and so underpoll.
*"All Rasmussen Reports' survey questions are digitally recorded and fed to a calling program that determines question order, branching options, and other factors. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation. Typically, calls are placed from 5 pm to 9 pm local time during the week. Saturday calls are made from 11 am to 6 pm local time and Sunday calls from 1 pm to 9 pm local time."
The methodology would tend to undercount soccer moms and soccer dads, and undercount churchgoers in the fall. But he polls a good number of respondents so that makes up for a lot of the flaws. There really is no perfect way to take poll.
Obama should be polling in the low 30% range. Once again, the RNC is snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Where are the ads about Obama saying he should be judged by the unemployment numbers? Where the ads on his $5 T deficits in 4 years? Where are the ads on calling large deficits unpatriotic? Where the rapid response ads on Republican War Against Women? That Obama and Romney are dead even just goes to show how utterlly useless the RNC machinery is.
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