Posted on 08/09/2012 3:54:49 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Mitt Romney has had a tough couple of weeks on the campaign trail -- and it shows in the latest Fox News poll. After a barrage of campaign ads, negative news coverage of his overseas trip and ongoing talk about his tax returns, Romney’s favorable rating and standing in the trial ballot have declined. As a result, President Obama has opened his biggest lead since Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee.
The president would take 49 percent of the vote compared to Romney's 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup if the election were held today, the poll found. Last month, Obama had a four percentage-point edge of 45 percent to 41 percent. This marks the second time this year the president has had a lead outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.
Obama’s advantage comes largely from increased support among independents, who now pick him over Romney by 11 percentage points. Some 30 percent of independents are undecided. Last month, Obama had a four-point edge among independents, while Romney had the advantage from April through early June.
There was also an uptick in support for Obama among women, blacks and Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Romney cannot spend any money until he is the official nominee.
It's all about money.
The poll assumes that on election day there will be +9 Dems voting, do you believe that? - Garbage poll.
Without looking, it likely even oversampled Independent voters over Repubs.
Go to any college, they are all merrily holding anti Jew rallies for the palestinians, calling Jews “nazis” and they think if you oppose gay marriage you are an evil hater. But we keep paying tuitions rather than circle the place and demand firings.
Plus it is Registered Voters where 1/2 of them won’t even vote...
Bit more, from wikipedia:
FOX News contributors Pat Caddell and Doug Schoen (a coauthor of Rasmussen) wrote that Rasmussen has an “unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.”[38]The Wall Street Journal stated that “Mr. Rasmussen is today’s leading insurgent pollster” and “a key player in the contact sport of politics.”[29] Slate Magazine and The Wall Street Journal reported that Rasmussen Reports was one of the most accurate polling firms for the 2004 United States presidential election and 2006 United States general elections.[37][49][not in citation given] In 2004 Slate magazine “publicly doubted and privately derided” Rasmussen’s use of recorded voices in electoral polls. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussen’s polls were among the most accurate in the 2004 presidential election.[37] According to Politico, Rasmussen’s 2008 presidential-election polls “closely mirrored the election’s outcome”.[50]
At the end of the 2008 presidential election, there were eight national tracking polls and many other polls conducted on a regular basis. Polling analyst Nate Silver reviewed the tracking polls and said that while none were perfect, and Rasmussen was “frequently reputed to have a Republican lean”, the “house effect” in their tracking poll was small and “with its large sample size and high pollster rating [it] would probably be the one I’d want with me on a desert island.”[51] After the election, Rasmussen’s poll was rated as the most accurate, when compared to various other final pre-election polls.
In the January 2010 special election for the Senate seat from Massachusetts, Rasmussen Reports was the first to show that Republican Scott Brown had a chance to defeat Martha Coakley. Just after Brown’s upset win, Ben Smith at Politico reported, “The overwhelming conventional wisdom in both parties until a Rasmussen poll showed the race in single digits in early January was that Martha Coakley was a lock. (It’s hard to recall a single poll changing the mood of a race quite that dramatically.)”[52] A few days later, Public Policy Polling released the first poll showing Brown in the lead, a result differing from Rasmussen’s by 10 points.[53] Rasmussen’s last poll on the race found Coakley with a 2-point lead, when she in fact lost by 5 points, a 7-point error.[54]
A quote from Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia posted on the Rasmussen homepage reads, “Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”[55]
Journalist Mickey Kaus said, “If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious New York Times, go with Rasmussen.”[8][56]
Cut off her inheritance.Let her get it from obama.
Note that all these polls over-sample Democrats. Their sole purpose is to disspirit Republicans.
And you're falling for it.
agreed...not only an over sample of Dems but ‘registered’ voters to boot. Pollsters are acting like the turnout will match 2008 of +8 Dem. No frigging way.
So, where did it go wrong? Seriously.
Courage, courage.
The election is NOT today, or even tomorrow, it is still 89 days out. Time enough for Mitt Romney to put on his big-boy pants and take the fight TO the slander machine of the Current Occupant in the White Hut.
We do not need another John McCain moment when it became obvious that the McCain campaign had no intention of winning the election, which occurred in about the first debate. We do expect more, much more, from Mitt Romney, and part of it will be when he and his VP choice stand up, and declare their only acceptable goal to be “Unconditional Surrender!” This is as much psychological as it is a financial operation, and it is really not much of an effort to cause Barack Hussein Obama to break out in a flop-sweat stutter response. Once he gets off-message, he simply does not think fast enough to regain the initiative.
Brett Baier on Special Report had no problem discussing this poll as gospel truth, knowing of the 9+ Democrat sample. Someone needs to tell him to look a little closer at the internals, no wait.......never mind, it’s a Fox News poll. Silly me.
Some of these people want Romney to lose so that they can say ‘I told you so’.
Obama is not leading in any group he lost last time and not doing better with any group he did win last time.
Fox over polling to begin with +9 which is rediculus given the enthusiasm numbers and then adding extra Hispanics makes this poll just another pile of dung from people you can’t trust. If we are to believe this we are to believe that last week’s CFA eat in was a fluke - it wasn’t. We are to believe that Obama doubling down on his attacks on the Catholic Church and his economy are making people wild about him. Final point this was registered voters who by definition will show at a 66% rateas best.
I gave up watch Fox long ago and it’s stuff like this that reminds me why I did.
I am very sorry....sincerely. It must be heartbreaking to have your own child spurn all the wisdom and principles you have tried to teach her.
Bullpoop
Obama, unfortunately, is a compelling orator who has a gift for speaking style over substance. All demagogic leaders have had it...Castro, Hitler, Mussolini, Hughy Long et al. Too much has been made by his critics of the teleprompter. He can off-the cuff-it, uses satire, humor, inflection, pose and get a crowd going. Mitt does not have this gift that Obama apparently knows that he has. He will win because history shows us that people, regardless of time and place, always fall for the man who captures their attention with gesture and oratory. Unfortunately.
Never fear! Dick "Condi versus Hillary is still available on Amazon.com" Morris will appear on TV tonight to tell us how all this bad polling really means Romney is winning. People just need to accept that what passes for the American public these days is far more left leaning than we like to think, and unfortunately they WANT to like Obama. It is very difficult to beat someone the electorate wants to like.
The fact that Romney lost to McCain makes absolutely no difference, 4 years later. 4 Years is an ETERNITY in politics.
You might recall that Reagan lost to Ford who lost to Carter, and then? REAGAN BEAT CARTER!!!
Romney was, btw, a MUCH better candidate than McCain, then and now.
Romney was not my favorite this time, but your complaints against him put you in the Obama camp.
You WANT Obama to win, don't you?
The anti-Christ is popular among the hell bound.
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