Posted on 07/30/2012 1:11:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
A Public Policy Polling poll released Sunday evening reports Ted Cruz has a 52 percent to 42 percent advantage over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst on the eve of Tuesday’s Texas GOP Senate runoff.
From PPP’s analysis:
Cruz's victory is driven by 4 things: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters, a generational divide within the Texas Republican ranks, and the lack of regard the party base currently holds for Rick Perry.
Cruz is ahead by a whooping 75-22 margin with Tea Party voters, more than making up for a 56-39 deficit to Dewhurst with voters who don't consider themselves members of that movement. There has been too much of a tendency to ascribe any Republican primary upset over the last few years to Tea Party voters, but this is one case where it's well justified.
Cruz has a 63-33 advantage with voters who describe themselves as 'very excited' about voting in Tuesday's runoff election. He also has a 49-45 advantage with those describing themselves as 'somewhat excited.' The only reason this race is even remotely competitive is Dewhurst's 59-31 lead with voter who say they're 'not that excited' about voting. It's an open question whether those folks will really show up and if they don't it's possible Cruz could end up winning by closer t0 20 points.
The greater excitement among Cruz voters can also be measured by their eagerness to get out and cast their ballots during the early voting period. Cruz leads 55-40 among those who say they've already voted, so Dewhurst will likely need a huge advantage among election day voters to overcome the deficit. But Cruz has a 49-44 lead with those who have yet to vote too.
POLITICO’s Dave Catanese, reporting from Texas, also notes.....
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
My prayers are with Texas TEA. I just read an article that urges democrats to crossover and vote for dewhurst. Lord love a duck!
This might be a great day for TEA.
Already voted early for Cruz. Couldn’t wait.
Thank you for the heads-up and link.
The Left is calling on Democrats to cross over and vote for Dewhurst!?
I guess they’ll really have to beat the bushes for those Dems who didn’t vote in the primary (and in July 31 run-off those will be scarce).
It is my understanding that a voter can’t cross over to vote for a different party than what they voted in the primary (and visa versa).
But TURNOUT is the key!!! And the bigger the turnout the bigger the message to the GOP-e!
Her support for Cruz is helping to make his GOP-e bud Dewhurst go down in flames, nyuck nyuck!
At least that's what I heard this weekend.
Just sayin.
We really need to load up the congress and senate with Tea Party conservatives to keep him in line and show the talking heads we are still alive. Otherwise, they will be crowing that Romney is a staunch conservative and that would make us some sort of two headed monsters that no one should pay attention to.
I believe to vote in the runoff you would have had to vote in the Republican primary.
Absolutely correct. The more conservatives in Congress the more they’ll have to compromise toward our direction. Every bill in the new Congress needs to be amended to include laws for liberty.
22% of TEA Party voters support Dewhurst?
I’m voting for Cruz tomorrow but can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow. I really haven’t been keeping up with any of the other races?
If you voted Rat in the first round you will not be allowed to vote in the GOP runoff.
“ABILENE, Texas - You might be asking about the process involved in a run-off election?
We checked with Taylor County’s Election Office and here are the facts:
- Voting in a run-off is open to anyone, even if you didn’t vote in the primary election.
- If you voted in the primary you must vote in the same party run-off.”.....
.......”If you didn’t vote in the May 29 Primary Election you can still vote in the Runoff Election. If you voted in the Primary you have to vote in the same Party’s Primary.
If you can’t find your 2012-13 voter registration card (it is yellow), you can still vote, just bring your Texas driver’s license or photo ID.”.....
If you are in Senate district 25, you definitely want to vote for Donna Campbell.
Poll responders aren’t always smart or truthful.
If you're in TX25, vote for Wes Riddle for Congress. The Riddle/Garrison race is a Cruz/Dewhurst race in miniature. Garrison is another GOP insider who thinks it should be his turn at the trough. Riddle is the real deal Constitutional patriot.
Go Cruz!
“Cruz’s victory is driven by ...: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters,...” It must have killed them to write this. :-)
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