If you add from the bottom up for Obama or the top down for Romney, the one state they both need is New Hampshire to cross the 270 electoral vote finish line. Obama doesn't need a single state above it. Romney doesn't need a single state below it.
Of course, if the election is a blow-out either way, nobody will need New Hampshire either way. But if it is as razor-thin as some expect, New Hampshire's four electoral votes is the difference between victory and defeat.
Well, how does NH look?
The ‘RATS have already signed up “thousands” of “lawyers” to fight against the voters. I expect Roberts and Barry’s “Supreme Court” to decide this one. Ain’t lookin’ good for our side.
Solid work, Vigilanteman.
Thanks.
Michigan should be in the list.
How about NC, they went Obama last time, should go back to the GOP.
soetoro makes donor calls from air force one [desperate!]...
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/30/exclusive-president-obama-asks-campaign-donors-to-send-him-more-money.html
It is not going to be even close.
Florida/Ohio will go GOP before Virginia. Huge influx of New Englanders in Northern VA is changing the state. It went easily for Obama in 08 and I’d only imagine the problem has gotten worse since then.
We just got Voter ID up here, and a student ID cannot be used. Cutting out the college students and voters busing in from MA should tip it to Romney.
You don't want us deciding anything.
Even with a milk dud like Romney.....The Marxist Muslim America Hating Faggot illegal alien will be lucky to take his ‘home’ state of Hawaii.
This is going to be a landslide for Romney.
No.
Unfortunately, I think you can completely remove PA from the list; it’s full of liberals.
“If you add from the bottom up for Obama or the top down for Romney, the one state they both need is New Hampshire to cross the 270 electoral vote finish line. Obama doesn’t need a single state above it. Romney doesn’t need a single state below it.”
Nice work, but I predicted as much months ago:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2872829/posts?page=50#50
New Hampshire may indeed play a pivotal role this time around, as may Nebraska and/or Maine. The reason for the latter is because both NE and ME are “split states”, that do not assign electors by “winner take all”. I’m guessing that Obama will win ME in its entirety, but that NE may “split”, giving Obama 1 electoral vote and giving Romney the rest. If so, it could throw the election into the House. Or perhaps it will be ME that splits, giving Romney one or two votes extra...
One thing of which I’m absolutely certain: this is NOT going to be “a landslide” for Romney. He will either win with a small but respectable margin, or, it will be as squeaky a squeaker as was 2000.
Prediction:
The era of “landslides”, at least conservative ones, is over for a while. For the next couple of decades, the trend will be towards close, bitter contests. In order to have “landslides”, you need a large enough cohort of voters willing to join together to create one. The only demographic group capable of producing such numbers are the Euro-Americans, and they have been shrinking as an overall percentage of the population for some time now. Couple this with the reality that the Euro-Americans are bitterly divided amongst themselves politically, and also that their “middle” is shrinking as the left and right become more polarized. This makes it challenging for Republicans to persuade a sufficient number of “the white middle” to come to their side to achieve a “landslide win”. It’s all they can do just to win, period.
It’s a matter of changing demographics, as much as anything else.
The demographic “America” that gave landslide victories to Ronald Reagan simply doesn’t exist any more. It won’t be coming back.
I’d enjoy being proven wrong come November, but that’s the way I see it….
There is also a remote chance of a 269-269 tie in the Electoral College. In which case, the likely Republican congress would pick the winner (there might even be a two party split between the President and Vice-president, something not seen since the 19th century).
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My bumpersticker probably reads.... We’re Screwed 2012
A great thread by viglanteman who wrote:
Feel free to debate the order of the 9 toss-ups, but I consider it pretty solid based on statewide polls and demographic changes, especially a surge in the illegal alien friendly Hispanic demographic in Colorado and Nevada since 2008.
If you add from the bottom up for Obama or the top down for Romney, the one state they both need is New Hampshire to cross the 270 electoral vote finish line. Obama doesn't need a single state above it. Romney doesn't need a single state below it.
Of course, if the election is a blow-out either way, nobody will need New Hampshire either way. But if it is as razor-thin as some expect, New Hampshire's four electoral votes is the difference between victory and defeat.
We need more of electoral rational analysis and less rhetoric on these threads.
Again, thank you, vigilanteman.