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Why Iran Should Get the Bomb
Foreign Affairs ^ | July/August 2012 | Kenneth N. Waltz

Posted on 06/27/2012 11:11:56 AM PDT by nickcarraway

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To: nickcarraway
A "neorealist" such as Waltz should know better than this:

Of course, it is easy to understand why Israel wants to remain the sole nuclear power in the region and why it is willing to use force to secure that status. In 1981, Israel bombed Iraq to prevent a challenge to its nuclear monopoly. It did the same to Syria in 2007 and is now considering similar action against Iran.

If it is easy to understand, it should be equally easy to state: Israel's desire for nuclear weapons may be described by two dates, and they are not 1981 and 2007, but 1967 and 1973. Israel needs an equalizer because she has faced more than existential threats but actual wars; Iran does not and has not.

Anyone using the phrase "would be" in international analysis is by definition speculating. Stating that a nation's arms "would be" safe because other nations' arms have been in the past led an awful lot of sober commentators to insist that Hitler was bluffing. The cost of that mistake is also "easy to understand".

41 posted on 06/27/2012 2:47:37 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: null and void; Lakeshark; Servant of the 9

I think Swervie had the trebuchet.


42 posted on 06/27/2012 3:01:07 PM PDT by Darksheare (You will never defeat Bok Choy!)
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To: Army Air Corps

Can easily get one’s self lost at that site.


43 posted on 06/27/2012 3:08:20 PM PDT by Darksheare (You will never defeat Bok Choy!)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks nickcarraway.


44 posted on 06/27/2012 3:09:09 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
Middle East and terrorism, occasional political and Jewish issues Ping List. High Volume

If you’d like to be on or off, please FR mail me.

..................

45 posted on 06/27/2012 3:25:22 PM PDT by SJackson (blow in a dogÂ’s face, he gets mad at you, take him on a car ride; he sticks his head out the window)
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To: SJackson
Why Iran Should Get the Bombed
46 posted on 06/27/2012 3:32:25 PM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills)
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To: nickcarraway

Well, we can drop a few off over there right away... :)


47 posted on 06/27/2012 3:35:11 PM PDT by GenXteacher (You have chosen dishonor to avoid war; you shall have war also.)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

Negative 200 IQ.

“Israel’s regional nuclear monopoly, which has proved remarkably durable for the past four decades, has long fueled instability in the Middle East. In no other region of the world does a lone, unchecked nuclear state exist. It is Israel’s nuclear arsenal, not Iran’s desire for one, that has contributed most to the current crisis. Power, after all, begs to be balanced. What is surprising about the Israeli case is that it has taken so long for a potential balancer to emerge.”

Maybe because Israel has never tested a nuclear bomb? Gosh. That’s why the ME is so f@#$ed up./s


48 posted on 06/27/2012 3:50:41 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (End the occupation. Annex today.)
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To: chrisser
Been a long time since I've seen something so breathtakingly stupid in print.

Well, this was published in "Foreign Affairs" magazine, so it shouldn't really be a big surprise.

Mark

49 posted on 06/27/2012 4:08:30 PM PDT by MarkL (Do I really look like a guy with a plan?)
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To: Darksheare

Tell me about it, amigo!


50 posted on 06/27/2012 5:41:17 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: Eleutheria5

Yeah, I was probably being generous to this numb-skull. He could have a series of strokes and be more intelligent than he is now.


51 posted on 06/27/2012 6:05:31 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: nickcarraway
If Iran goes nuclear, Israel and Iran will deter each other, as nuclear powers always have. There has never been a full-scale war between two nuclear-armed states.

Where do these authors come up with that crap?

There has never been a "a full-scale war between two" states of any kind.

For that matter if Iran does NOT go nuclear, there will never be a "a full-scale war between" Iran and Israel either.

52 posted on 07/03/2012 1:24:24 AM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge)
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