http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html
According to The NYTimes website, 1143 delegates remain in the upcoming primaries. Basically, we are at the half-way point.
Romney has 684, needs 460 more
Santorum has 270
Gingrich has 136, would need 1008 more
Paul has 52
1144 needed to win
I don’t know where NYTimes gets 1,143. Add up the remaining states on their list and it totals 986. So Romney needs to lose about half of the upcoming delegates to be denied the nomination
Add in “defecting” delegates and a challenge to the AZ and FL winner-take-all rules and he can lose some more.
Newt probably can’t win the nomination outright, but Romney is a far length from doing it himself, which means this could easily become a floor fight at the convention if people keep voting for Newt and don’t let Romney get to #1 in most of the upcoming states.
Are those numbers calculated using the proportional delegates as required by law?
What was done with Missouri’s delegates?