Santorum Retakes Lead in Michigan (Santorum 37%, Romney 35%)

datalounge.com ^ | 2/27/12 | staff

[TexasFreeper2009]

With a strong, successful push over the weekend to move conservatives, especially social conservatives, back to him, Rick Santorum has re-taken the lead in the latest Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service) Sunday night. The two front runners are still in a statistical dead heat, although Romney (35%) has lost his lead to Rick Santorum (37%) while Newt Gingrich (9%) and Ron Paul (8%) are locked in a battle for third place. Eleven percent remains undecided.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Woot!

[Joe the Pimpernel]

ABR.

[TexasFreeper2009]

here’s a link to the data

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_RosettaStone_MI_0227.pdf

[ConservativeDude]

photo finish

[TexasFreeper2009]

It’s looks like Romney’s mini-debate bump may be wearing off. PPP is going to release another poll tonight, I hope they show this last minute shift also. Momentum is everything.

I encourage any and all Newt supporters in Michigan to vote for Santorum to stick it to Romney!

[deport]

It appears to be very close based on these three polls from the same time period.

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Romney	Santorum	Paul	Gingrich	Spread
RCP Average	2/23 - 2/26	--	--	37.8	35.3	12.3	10.0	Romney +2.5
PPP (D)	2/26 - 2/26	421 LV	4.8	39	37	13	9	Romney +2
Mitchell/Rosetta Stone	2/26 - 2/26	858 LV	3.3	35	37	8	9	Santorum +2
WeAskAmerica	2/26 - 2/26	984 LV	3.1	37	33	18	13	Romney +4

[JLAGRAYFOX]

This is a sincere request to the good primary voters in the states of Michigan and Arizona. Mitt Romney is not the “One”!!! You are throwing away your vote, if you cast it for Mitt Romney. Romney is so out of touch with the common American, that he is actually much worse of a POTUS candidate then John “Obama is a good man) McCain ever was. Obama wants to run aginst Romney.

He prays every day that Romney gets the GOP nod!!! So.......at the end of the day, a vote for Romney is not only a wasted vote, it is a vote for four more years of Obama and the destruction of these United States of America!!! Vote for Santorum or Gingrich if you care about your country, America!!!

[cripplecreek]

Santorum editorial in Michigan Capitol Confidential today.

http://www.michigancapitolconfidential.com/16503

There’s one from the other guy there too.

[napscoordinator]

Yes! Thank God! Santorum must take Michigan and Arizona! If he does this, we might end up with a great candidate. Romney will be done if he loses these two states. He might stay in but it will be just to collect delegates in liberal states. I know some want to go to the convention without a winner but that makes me nervous. What guarantee is there that we would end up a conservative?

[American Constitutionalist]

Secretariat : " He's moving like a tremendous machine "

[TomGuy]

[JediJones]

I would probably vote for Santorum in Michigan only just to kill the Mittmentum. Since Romney will win Arizona, it’ll probably be best to “keep the race going” in Palin-speak by having a split decision on Tuesday. But we need to get back to Newt on Super Tuesday big time.

Here are how the candidates rack up in terms of ELECTABILITY compared to previous candidates, including Ds and Rs, judging how they appeal to their base and to moderates (obviously their appeal tends not to carry to the other party’s base):

Mitt Romney = Bob Dole, John McCain, John Kerry, Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, Walter Mondale (unlikable, stiff, elitist candidate)

Rick Santorum = Christine O’Donnell, Sharon Angle, Pat Robertson, Jesse Jackson, Pat Buchanan (alienating holy roller candidate)

Newt Gingrich = Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, JFK (articulate, inspiring “rock star” candidate)

[Dan.israel.2011]

I concur... I would add that with the vote being so close and Newt has ZERO chance of winning AZ or MI the Newt folks can help defeat Mittens by voting for Rick Santorum.

[Michigan Bowhunter]

Funny thing is over here on the West coast of Michigan in Ottawa county, my precinct seems to be covered in Santorum signs. People on my list who were supporting Newt have been asked to vote for Santorum (since newt isnt really campaigning here in Meechigan) and I have been hard pressed to find a Romney voter. Now, in the middle and Eastern side of the state, Romney has a MUCH stronger presence in the more liberal mid and Eastern parts of MI as well in places such as the I 94 corridor stretching from Detroit and passing through places such as Ann Arbor (pot smoking U of M dopeheads) Jackson (federal prison and union stronghold) Battle Creek (union stronghold) and Kalamazoo (one of the last places Elvis was sighted) From what I am hearing, Ron Paul will take several counties in the U.P. and Santorum will take the less populated counties in the upper lower peninsula and will have a stronger showing in the Western counties. Romney will probably win the state by about 3.5 to 4 points due to the entire Republican establishment being in the tank for him. He does have one hell of an organization on the ground....props to him for that. Sadly, he has purchased the organization. They are more organized like employees than enthusiastic gung ho volunteers.

[Theodore R.]

Newt has the real potential here to tip MI to Romney, but I think Romney would win MI anyway.

[Obadiah]

From an unmentionable "USA" paper today:

In the poll, Obama lags the two leading Republican rivals in the 12 states likely to determine the outcome of a close race in November:

•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum tops Obama 50%-45% in the swing states. Nationwide, Santorum's lead narrows to 49%-46%.

•Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney edges Obama 48%-46% in the swing states. Nationwide, they are tied at 47% each.

So nationally, Santorum beats Obama by 3 - right now - and he beats Obama by 5 points in swing states (you know, the states Obama must have).

Mitt beats Obama by 2 in swing states and he's even with Obama nationally. What are we to conclude by this?

The myth that Mitt is the only electable Republican is an Establishment ruse. Santorum can beat Obama, but then again, a ham sandwich will beat Obama.

[jacknhoo]

Thank you, Lord - prayers being answered!

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

I agree with your analogy. This fixation on a candidate who can only talk about moral specifics and has the outright belief that Government needs to be directly influenced by Christian Catholic doctrine, is almost scary.

Santorum sees his popularity as a mandate that his agenda is why he is leading. His arrogant,legalistic nature will only be intensified as he gains delegates. This man is potentially dangerous, who has proclaimed that he will govern from the religious pulpit.

The MSM will band together to stop Santorum, and the gullible, ignorant public will probably follow along. And one thing about Santorum, when he encounters severe opposition or gets caught in his frequent half-truths or outright lies, he gets angry and combative and I don't mean that in a classy, Statesman's sense.

By the time the MSM is done with him, he won't have too many fans left to overlook his many contradictions. Crossing over, just for the sole purpose to keep Romney from winning, is a Trojan Horse, counter psychology move by Santorum worshipers, to trick Newt supporters into giving the momentum to Santorum for Super Tuesday. That's all it is, and it will later doom Newt. I refuse to fall for it.

[Darren McCarty]

Steve Mitchell polls are usually pretty good. I don’t know if Santorum will hang on here or not with the nasty robocalls and negative ads going 10-1 against him, but he still has a chance. It will come down to turnout. He has my vote.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Here are Santorums polls in every state so far and the results: Iowa – polls 16% result 24% (underpolled 8 points) New Hampshire – polls 11% Result 9% South Carolina – polls 11% Results 17% (underpolled 6 points) Florida – polls 13% results 13% Nevada – polls 8% results 10% – (underpolled 2) Colorado – polls 27% results 40% – (underpolled 13%) Maine – polls 2% results 18% – (underpolled 16%) Minnesota – polls 33% result 45% – (underpolled 12%) Missouri – polls 45% result 55% – (underpolled 10%) combine this with Newt supporters crossing over to vote Santorum to help stick it to Romney and ... Santorum might just pull this off!