Posted on 02/25/2012 4:04:30 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
In 2012, a dozen states will decide whether President Obama is elected to a second term. The PurplePoll focuses exclusively on the Purple Electorate - likely voters only in these swing states. Updated regularly throughout the 2012 election cycle, the PurplePoll will follow leading political indicators and track new issues as they emerge.
President Obama currently holds leads against the two top candidates in the GOP field. He leads Mitt Romney by 4 points (47% to 43%) and leads Rick Santorum by 2 points (46% to 44%). President Obama’s performance against Romney has been consistent since December, with leads ranging from 2 to 4 points. These results may bring into question Mitt Romney’s continued claim of electability. Since September, we have tested President Obama against Rick Perry, Jeb Bush, Newt Gingrich, and now Rick Santorum. Of all of these candidates, Rick Santorum is the only one to outperform Romney (albeit by a small margin) against President Obama in Purple America. Additionally, among independents, Romney trails by 3 points, while Santorum leads President Obama by 2 points (44% to 42%).
A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.
A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.
Among voters overall, Rick Santorum is currently better liked than Romney: 38% hold a favorable view, and 43% have an unfavorable view. Among Republican voters, the results are dramatic: Santorum is much better liked (58%/24%) than is Romney (42%/41%). At the same time, President Obama has net negative job ratings: 44% approve, and 50% disapprove. While the President’s approval ratings have drifted upward this year, a 44% approval rating is dangerously low for a president seeking re-election. He has worse ratings among independents (39%/52%) than the Purple electorate as a whole. Additionally, there is an education gap: among those with a college degree or higher, 48% approve and 48% disapprove. Among those without a college degree, 42% approve and 51% disapprove.
Nuttin' honey...
IB4TZ
Looks like I need to update my standard Zot post.
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Sung to the tune of “Oh! Susanna, don’t you cry for me.” “
.... “Oh, no Bama, please don’t lie to me... for I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.”
I come from Minnesota with my laptop on my knee; | I’m goin’ to Free Republic my true love for to see. | It rained all night the day you left, | the weather it was dry; | The sun so hot you froze to death, | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I come from Minnesota, with my laptop on my knee.
I had a dream the other night, | When everything was still; | I thought I saw Obama dear, | A-coming for The Hill. | The smearing lie was in Duluth, | The croc tear in his eye, | Said I, I’m coming for the truth | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic, | with my laptop on my knee.
I fight in my pajamas, | It’s plain for all to see. | I aim to be the next Buckhead; | The media all hate me. | I fell in love with Sarah | When my sister bit a moose. | The Guvnor’s family ate it up | And then they set it loose. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic, | with my laptop on my knee.
She loves her sons, she likes her guns, | and Triggernometry. | The media will jump the shark | When she makes history. | Well, JimRob knows she’ll pave the trolls | So controversially, | And Berg will knock Obama down | With friends of Hillary. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you lie to me; | I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.
I soon will be in Hawaii, | And then I’ll look all ‘round, | And when I find his birth record, | I’ll fall upon the ground. | But if I do not find it, | This Freeper’ll surely die, | And when I’m dead and buried, | Obama don’t you lie. | | Oh! No Bama, don’t you cry for me; | I’m off to Free Republic with a laptop on my knee.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2073903/posts?page=30#30
Little Rickie’s supporters are so delusional. They need to dig out any ‘poll’ under the carpet to prove little Rickie won’t be crushed in a blowout fashion by OB.
Why does it sound like you hope this happens? Your enthusiasm for Santorum to go down is not right. Something stinks in lilyfreeper land. I support Santorum, but if Newt ends up having the nomination, I will pray and pray HARD that he wins the election. You are completely the opposite where it would bring you joy to see Santorum lose. Something is not right.
This clearly shows that the canard “Santorum won’t fly with the independents” is just a load of hogwash.
Santorum is the most electable Republican candidate, and clearly should be the nominee. He is not perfect, just better than the rest of the field. I’m sure he’ll listen to the great cry for liberty coming from all thinking Americans right now.
Go Rick!!!
“It’s not because of little Rickie’s height. It’s his whining manner that is so ridiculous.”
That’s very funny, because you’re the most whiny, ridiculous and obnoxious poster I’ve seen in quite some time... ;-)
Who do you support newbie?
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