FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.
Posted on 02/25/2012 4:04:30 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
In 2012, a dozen states will decide whether President Obama is elected to a second term. The PurplePoll focuses exclusively on the Purple Electorate - likely voters only in these swing states. Updated regularly throughout the 2012 election cycle, the PurplePoll will follow leading political indicators and track new issues as they emerge.
President Obama currently holds leads against the two top candidates in the GOP field. He leads Mitt Romney by 4 points (47% to 43%) and leads Rick Santorum by 2 points (46% to 44%). President Obama’s performance against Romney has been consistent since December, with leads ranging from 2 to 4 points. These results may bring into question Mitt Romney’s continued claim of electability. Since September, we have tested President Obama against Rick Perry, Jeb Bush, Newt Gingrich, and now Rick Santorum. Of all of these candidates, Rick Santorum is the only one to outperform Romney (albeit by a small margin) against President Obama in Purple America. Additionally, among independents, Romney trails by 3 points, while Santorum leads President Obama by 2 points (44% to 42%).
A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.
A majority (53%) of Purple state voters believe that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee, while just 21% believe that the campaign is strengthening the nominee. Republicans are also concerned about the impact that the campaign is having on their candidates, with 44% believing that the campaign is weakening the eventual nominee (32% strengthening). The campaign’s impact on Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has been palpable: today, just 27% have a favorable view of him, while 57% have an unfavorable view. In the first PurplePoll in September of last year, 32% had a favorable view (39% unfavorable). In other words, over the course of the campaign, Romney’s favorables in Purple states have declined by 5 points, while his unfavorables have increased by 18 points – a net decline of 23 points.
Among voters overall, Rick Santorum is currently better liked than Romney: 38% hold a favorable view, and 43% have an unfavorable view. Among Republican voters, the results are dramatic: Santorum is much better liked (58%/24%) than is Romney (42%/41%). At the same time, President Obama has net negative job ratings: 44% approve, and 50% disapprove. While the President’s approval ratings have drifted upward this year, a 44% approval rating is dangerously low for a president seeking re-election. He has worse ratings among independents (39%/52%) than the Purple electorate as a whole. Additionally, there is an education gap: among those with a college degree or higher, 48% approve and 48% disapprove. Among those without a college degree, 42% approve and 51% disapprove.
Ping!
Santorum has a 48-43 lead (outside the MOE) over Obama at this point in the Rust Belt states of Ohio, PA and N.H. If he wins those, Obama is toast.
Mitten’s favorable/unfavorables are in the toilet, 27-57, lower than any frontrunner at this point in the history of presidential politics.
FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.
How is obama leading anyone? What is wrong with people? Where is Paul Revere? WAKE UP FOR GOD’S SAKE. Before it’s too late!!!
Little Rickie’s supporters are so delusional. They need to dig out any ‘poll’ under the carpet to prove little Rickie won’t be crushed in a blowout fashion by OB.
How could he even be leading the guy walking behind the elephants in the circus shoveling sh##????????
It amazes me how Obama can be getting such ratings.
They have to be polling the food stamp rolls.
Hard to tell but it appears “little” Rickie is either 6’2” or 6’4” and Newt is 5’10”. Just a fun fact. Might want to call him “big” Rickie. Actually if you ever run into him, you might not want to call him anything.
The noob troll only feigns support for Gingrich. His first two posts were pro-Romney, he got called out and he changed tactics.
He’s a Romneybot who posts exclusively about “little Ricky” now. Pathetic, lying fraud.
I wish we all could play like grown ups.
Thanks, I hadn’t noticed his arrival seems to have coincided with the primary season. Still, seems like I keep seeing this “little” adjective which doesn’t jibe. If you’re going to insult somebody, at least try to base it in reality.
The only proper way to address a candidate is by his last name only with no adjectives, an a Mr. or Mrs if you’re feeling strunk or white.
Well, except mittens. And Rom Paul. I can make exceptions for these.
It’s not because of little Rickie’s height. It’s his whining manner that is so ridiculous.
Not nearly as ridiculous as you pretending to be anything but a Romneybot, you witless fraud.
That’s a pretty weak showing for an incumbent.
Little implies whiny. Got it. Knew that would expand my mind.
I CALL BULLSHIT!
My kid's Iguana, Bob, could be running for the (R) party right now and would be well ahead of the purple lipped bastard.
So now to do justice to Newt I have to type Gingrich all the time? Oh man. I guess I better not whine, or someone will call me little.
Nothing but the truth I see :^)
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