That could have an affect
??? Most likely the wrong affect. Think Perot who made it possible for Clinton to slip in there with 39%. That would be enough to put Obama back in office if the vote is split.
Third party is the last resort and we are far away from that with only 3 states in.
I must have not made my point very well... I was suggesting that the THREAT of a true Tea Party Conservative, big named person,running as a indy, would prompt people to reconsider voting for Romney.
If detectability in their minds is the reason they are voting Romney? Then they better re think because POPULAR TEA PARTY PERSON (fill in the blank) is promising to run as a independent if Romney is the nominee.
Under that threat, Romney is not very electable, as you say the vote is split.
But beside that...How do we know if Romney elected is better than Obama? If Romney wins the WH he will not owe Social Conservatives Tea Party folks anything, it will be moderates that elected him.
What reason would there be for him to appoint anything but moderate liberal judges to the Supreme Court?
If he wins the WH, his best chance of being re elected might just be to go with his Mass liberal agenda.
If Romney wins, the Tea Party will have failed