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ARG FL Poll (Romney 41%, Gingrich 34%)
American Research Group ^ | January 25, 2012

Posted on 01/25/2012 11:43:33 AM PST by Utmost Certainty

Mitt Romney has maintained his lead in the Florida Republican presidential primary. Romney leads with 41%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 34%, Rick Santorum with 9%, and Ron Paul with 7%.

In a similar survey conducted January 13-15, 2012, Romney was at 42% and Gingrich was at 25%.

A total of 17% of Republican primary voters say that they have already voted by absentee ballot or in early voting. Of this group of voters, Romney leads with 51%, followed by Gingrich with 39%, Paul with 6%, and Santorum with 4%. Among the 83% of the remaining likely Republican primary voters, Romney leads with 39%, followed by Gingrich with 33%, Santorum with 10%, and Paul with 7%.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: florida; polls; primaries
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1 posted on 01/25/2012 11:43:37 AM PST by Utmost Certainty
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To: Utmost Certainty

Uh oh, where did that 6 - 8 pt. lead go. Please no Romney, PLEASE


2 posted on 01/25/2012 11:46:54 AM PST by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Outlier or ARG has caught a trend early. Too soon to tell which it is.


3 posted on 01/25/2012 11:50:02 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: Utmost Certainty

This poll seems like an aberration.


4 posted on 01/25/2012 11:50:52 AM PST by RoosterRedux (Newt: "Why vote for the guy who lost to the guy who lost to Obama?")
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To: Utmost Certainty

Most of The Polls I saw showed Romney leading Gingrich in South Carolina as late as last Saturday morning...


5 posted on 01/25/2012 11:51:13 AM PST by WayneS (Comments now include 25% MORE sarcasm for no additional charge...)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Republican presidential candidate and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich speaks during a campaign event billed as a Latin American Policy Speech at Florida International University on January 25, 2012 in Miami, Florida.

6 posted on 01/25/2012 11:53:09 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (NEWT GINGRICH 2012)
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To: RoosterRedux

If by aberration you mean BS, then I agree.


7 posted on 01/25/2012 11:53:34 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: Utmost Certainty

I think the difference is between voters and likely voters, where Newt holds the lead.


8 posted on 01/25/2012 11:53:45 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Good. Newt is surging. Just like S.C.


9 posted on 01/25/2012 11:54:41 AM PST by ILS21R (Never give up.)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Ras had newt up by nine yesterday, and other polls had newt in the lead, and there is no reason why mitt would be surging, this polls seems very fishy.


10 posted on 01/25/2012 11:55:46 AM PST by HerrBlucher (.)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
Outlier or ARG has caught a trend early. Too soon to tell which it is.
Same thought here. This poll totally contradicts the Rasmussen, PPP, IA, and Quinnipiac polls. The FL Chamber of Commerce (who?) has it tied up. So either this poll is an outlier or as you said it's an early predictor of coming bad news.
11 posted on 01/25/2012 11:56:25 AM PST by TBBT
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
Outlier or ARG has caught a trend early. Too soon to tell which it is.
Same thought here. This poll totally contradicts the Rasmussen, PPP, IA, and Quinnipiac polls. The FL Chamber of Commerce (who?) has it tied up. So either this poll is an outlier or as you said it's an early predictor of coming bad news.
12 posted on 01/25/2012 11:56:39 AM PST by TBBT
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To: GoCards

Am I the only one that thinks Santorum is running for Romney’s VP slot ???


13 posted on 01/25/2012 11:57:39 AM PST by 11th_VA (Keep your laws OFF my light bulbs !)
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To: Utmost Certainty

What is up with Drudge? Did it get hijacked by the Romney team.

Man. Talk about one sided.


14 posted on 01/25/2012 11:58:17 AM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else.)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Its one of those slow on the uptick polls that while showing trending Newts way, will likely show a big swing if they do another.

From the looks of the article, they dont poll very frequently. The only other one was in early Jan. So likely they did this starting before SC.


15 posted on 01/25/2012 12:00:47 PM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: TBBT

Newt fans better pray that Newt has a good debate tomorrow night....


16 posted on 01/25/2012 12:00:47 PM PST by TBBT
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To: Utmost Certainty
Gingrich leads with 47% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 34% and Santorum with 8%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 47%, followed by Gingrich with 22%, Santorum with 10%, and Paul with 9%.

I don't see where ARG shows us the actual weighted, breakdown numbers in this poll.

17 posted on 01/25/2012 12:01:18 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Utmost Certainty

This is poopy.


18 posted on 01/25/2012 12:07:54 PM PST by pallis
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To: Utmost Certainty

Romney has been bombarding Florida with negative media for weeks. He is being blasted from all quarters, HARD.

Newt is just now hitting the air.

Never underestimate the power of the media.


19 posted on 01/25/2012 12:12:08 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: TBBT

ARG is the least accurate of pollsters...

That said, Romney has been carpet-bombing Florida with Negative media, and Newt just went up on the air.


20 posted on 01/25/2012 12:14:11 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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