Posted on 01/17/2012 4:53:40 PM PST by Halfmanhalfamazing
We’ll see if a rough debate or a stumble in South Carolina derail the Romney train, but so far, he’s on path for a big, big win at the end of the month in Florida: Two weeks away from the Presidential Preference Primary, Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead over the Republican presidential pack in Florida, according to a Sunshine State News Poll of likely primary voters. Romney tops the poll, which was conducted by Harrisburg, Pa.-based Voter Survey Service (VSS), with 46 percent. Former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich places a distant second with 20 percent. Former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, who lost the Iowa caucus to Romney by eight votes, takes third with 12 percent.
Why? Newt has shown he is good in debates, and makes horrid tactical mistakes on the stump and over the airways. He has imploded since December, first because he refused to respond to the expected barrage of negative ads, and then when he used a disgusting lie-filled "documentary" about Mittens, which he now has told the producers to edit. If I were Perry or Santorum, I would expect to see Newt continue to make mistakes, and try and capitalize on them.
You do realize Santorum lived and breathed your state of Iowa for a full calendar year to get that result, right? It was NOT a surprise and nothing he can repeat in any other state.
He's fourth in the SC polls and third in the FL polls. He shot his proverbial wad in Iowa. Santorum's done.
Here is the tired old RINO inability to outwit and out think the Democrats.
We don’t know yet. They will either lose delegates or be Proportional last I heard.
During the scandal hype, the derailed Cain Train sucked up a lot of badly needed dollars that could've gone to one of the remaining non-Romneys. Maybe that was by design.
Everything from NRO should get an automatic Barf alert. They are nothing but RINO liberal rag, whose reputation has sadly fallen below that of even Time or Newsweak.
Good for you!
That would assure a Romeny-the-RINO Nomination, and The Messiah would have his second term.....
Didn’t say he will, but I do know his support swelled literally in the last week or so as Cain dropped and Gingrich deflated. Same could happen again, though this time it will likely be Gingrich as the recipient.
I'm done. It's time for Santorum to get out. And anybody who cares to look into my posting history(yes this is a challenge) Newt is my least favorite of the not-romneys. As it stands right now, I'd rather see Santorum as the nominee.I agree, Santorum doesn't have the organization going forward (no one does apart from Romney, and maybe Perry, and of course the RINO fanatics working for Paul), he made his move in Iowa, and it took everything he had in order to do it. Then the drive-by partisan media shills falsely accused him of a (pseudo-) racist comment that he didn't make.
Flawed logic to assume all the “non Romney” votes will go to Newt or Santorum if one were to get out. To me it seems as Bachman, Huntsman have gotten out, Romney’s leads is increasing.
And Newt or Romney or Paul are not getting out. I think these 5 go to the end. One might suspend late and throw their delegates to someone else to try and get a cabinet post or something.
I think if the old Newt that we saw in last nights debate had not gone AWOL the last several weeks, he would be “clinging” to a 26 point lead. Too little too late I’m afraid for Newt.
At this point all I can hope for is Romney picks one helluva running mate.
None of the candidates other than mitt and maybe Newt are spending a lot of time in FL. It’s a waste of resources; the state is very large, very expensive to run a race in, and with the state losing a big chunk of delegates for running an early primary, there just aren’t enough delegates to win to make it worth the bother. It’s also winner take all state so unless a candidate has a realistic shot at displacing romney, they’re better off running a token race there.
I see no reason to back a 26 point loser.
I’m sticking with Santorum. Newt’s no longer competitive. At least I can feel good about supporting someone who actually agrees with me.
They must teach math in Japan?
Which is why he beat Newt in NH.
Or is that because NH is so liberal that they would still support Santorum?
I’m just not seeing how Newt can beat Mitt. Just not seeing it. Maybe a month ago, but that was then, this is now.
No, just no.
You play to win the game.
When there is an active election going on, a game in play on the field, political/TV commentators in Japan a) do NOT have the audacity to say, and could probably be fired for saying: “this one will win, that one will win, or this one does not have a chance and will NOT be the nominee, etc.”—it is considered unprofessional journalistically and denies the voter his or her ultimate say; and b) all accredited ballot choices are afforded equal time, in debates and photo ops. You will not see, such as they do in the USA, doing a photo crop of just Mitt and Perry on the debate stage as they were doing before, literally cropping out all the others on the stage and saying “There was a GOP debate tonight”. They also put up charts showing exactly what delegates or support numbers they have in terms of head counts committed by LDP or DPJ members in various races. There is not a lot of heavy polling released before the elections. They just let a) the candidates speak directly without a lot of talking head interpretation and spin or spiking (blacking out) certain candidates; and b) don’t hype a lot of pre-election polls, but leave it to the voters on election day. That is the way it is here in Japan at least.
It is a serious breach of journalism. I have done my share of election reporting.
There’s a difference between reporting facts and speculating. The time for speculation and analysis is after. I’ve done analysis before, and it’s always the caveat showing that you are assuming X and Y is true. Which may or may not be the case.
But it’s been a long time since objectivity was a condition of reporting.
These delegates are not pledged delegates. Santorum has 7.
1144 is simple majority. Over 2000 delegates, however, are required for the nomination.
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