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In Florida, Romney Clings to a 26-Point Lead, (Poll alleges)
NRO ^ | January 17th | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 01/17/2012 4:53:40 PM PST by Halfmanhalfamazing

We’ll see if a rough debate or a stumble in South Carolina derail the Romney train, but so far, he’s on path for a big, big win at the end of the month in Florida: Two weeks away from the Presidential Preference Primary, Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead over the Republican presidential pack in Florida, according to a Sunshine State News Poll of likely primary voters. Romney tops the poll, which was conducted by Harrisburg, Pa.-based Voter Survey Service (VSS), with 46 percent. Former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich places a distant second with 20 percent. Former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, who lost the Iowa caucus to Romney by eight votes, takes third with 12 percent.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bspoll; florida; iowa; mittromney; newtgingrich; notromney; pennsylvania; pollsmeansquat; ricksantorum; romney; santorum; southcarolina
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To: traditional1
RIGHT NOW, Santorum and Perry need to throw their support to Newt

Why? Newt has shown he is good in debates, and makes horrid tactical mistakes on the stump and over the airways. He has imploded since December, first because he refused to respond to the expected barrage of negative ads, and then when he used a disgusting lie-filled "documentary" about Mittens, which he now has told the producers to edit. If I were Perry or Santorum, I would expect to see Newt continue to make mistakes, and try and capitalize on them.

21 posted on 01/17/2012 5:26:58 PM PST by montag813
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To: Free Vulcan; All
Even so, after Santorum coming from nowhere to more-or-less win here, I don’t believe the polls except the one election nite.

You do realize Santorum lived and breathed your state of Iowa for a full calendar year to get that result, right? It was NOT a surprise and nothing he can repeat in any other state.

He's fourth in the SC polls and third in the FL polls. He shot his proverbial wad in Iowa. Santorum's done.

22 posted on 01/17/2012 5:37:43 PM PST by newzjunkey (Imbecilic early voters doom us all.)
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing
Seeing the video on Jimmy Kimmel of Romney, Haley, and McCain, flanked by "Romney" signs, with Romney's sidekick, McCain, proudly stating that, "President Obama. . . will turn this country around. . . ." says all that needs to be said here. Suddenly, Haley and Romney (as well as others) reached in to correct the gaffe, but not until it was apparent that we will see that clip over and over again in videos for Obama in the Fall.

Here is the tired old RINO inability to outwit and out think the Democrats.

23 posted on 01/17/2012 5:38:25 PM PST by loveliberty2
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation

We don’t know yet. They will either lose delegates or be Proportional last I heard.


24 posted on 01/17/2012 5:45:41 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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25 posted on 01/17/2012 5:47:59 PM PST by RedMDer (Forward With Confidence!)
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To: maryz; All
That's absolutely so. Romney's campaign is flush with cash. Other than Ron Paul, his challengers either had little money to start with (Newt, Santorum) or funding dried up months ago (Perry).

During the scandal hype, the derailed Cain Train sucked up a lot of badly needed dollars that could've gone to one of the remaining non-Romneys. Maybe that was by design.

26 posted on 01/17/2012 5:48:42 PM PST by newzjunkey (Imbecilic early voters doom us all.)
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing

Everything from NRO should get an automatic Barf alert. They are nothing but RINO liberal rag, whose reputation has sadly fallen below that of even Time or Newsweak.


27 posted on 01/17/2012 5:50:39 PM PST by vmivol00
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To: montag813
"If I were Perry or Santorum, I would expect to see Newt continue to make mistakes"

Good for you!

That would assure a Romeny-the-RINO Nomination, and The Messiah would have his second term.....

28 posted on 01/17/2012 5:58:59 PM PST by traditional1 (Free speech for me.....not for thee)
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To: newzjunkey

Didn’t say he will, but I do know his support swelled literally in the last week or so as Cain dropped and Gingrich deflated. Same could happen again, though this time it will likely be Gingrich as the recipient.


29 posted on 01/17/2012 6:00:55 PM PST by Free Vulcan (Election 2012 - America stands or falls. No more excuses. Get involved.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks Halfmanhalfamazing.
I'm done. It's time for Santorum to get out. And anybody who cares to look into my posting history(yes this is a challenge) Newt is my least favorite of the not-romneys. As it stands right now, I'd rather see Santorum as the nominee.
I agree, Santorum doesn't have the organization going forward (no one does apart from Romney, and maybe Perry, and of course the RINO fanatics working for Paul), he made his move in Iowa, and it took everything he had in order to do it. Then the drive-by partisan media shills falsely accused him of a (pseudo-) racist comment that he didn't make.

Santorum carried out the nuclear option on the possibility of being on Romney's short list for running mates; none of the current rivals for the nomination have a chance at that. That's too bad, because having Santorum for VP sounds better than having him as a failed would-be nominee.


30 posted on 01/17/2012 6:02:45 PM PST by SunkenCiv (FReep this FReepathon!)
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing

Flawed logic to assume all the “non Romney” votes will go to Newt or Santorum if one were to get out. To me it seems as Bachman, Huntsman have gotten out, Romney’s leads is increasing.

And Newt or Romney or Paul are not getting out. I think these 5 go to the end. One might suspend late and throw their delegates to someone else to try and get a cabinet post or something.


31 posted on 01/17/2012 6:08:44 PM PST by gswilder
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing

I think if the old Newt that we saw in last nights debate had not gone AWOL the last several weeks, he would be “clinging” to a 26 point lead. Too little too late I’m afraid for Newt.

At this point all I can hope for is Romney picks one helluva running mate.


32 posted on 01/17/2012 6:12:53 PM PST by NavyCanDo
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing

None of the candidates other than mitt and maybe Newt are spending a lot of time in FL. It’s a waste of resources; the state is very large, very expensive to run a race in, and with the state losing a big chunk of delegates for running an early primary, there just aren’t enough delegates to win to make it worth the bother. It’s also winner take all state so unless a candidate has a realistic shot at displacing romney, they’re better off running a token race there.


33 posted on 01/17/2012 6:35:44 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (The party of Liberty - The GOP. Join today!!)
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To: Halfmanhalfamazing

I see no reason to back a 26 point loser.

I’m sticking with Santorum. Newt’s no longer competitive. At least I can feel good about supporting someone who actually agrees with me.


34 posted on 01/17/2012 6:36:05 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: AmericanInTokyo

They must teach math in Japan?


35 posted on 01/17/2012 6:37:20 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: newzjunkey

Which is why he beat Newt in NH.

Or is that because NH is so liberal that they would still support Santorum?

I’m just not seeing how Newt can beat Mitt. Just not seeing it. Maybe a month ago, but that was then, this is now.


36 posted on 01/17/2012 6:38:54 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: SunkenCiv

No, just no.

You play to win the game.


37 posted on 01/17/2012 6:40:19 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: BenKenobi

When there is an active election going on, a game in play on the field, political/TV commentators in Japan a) do NOT have the audacity to say, and could probably be fired for saying: “this one will win, that one will win, or this one does not have a chance and will NOT be the nominee, etc.”—it is considered unprofessional journalistically and denies the voter his or her ultimate say; and b) all accredited ballot choices are afforded equal time, in debates and photo ops. You will not see, such as they do in the USA, doing a photo crop of just Mitt and Perry on the debate stage as they were doing before, literally cropping out all the others on the stage and saying “There was a GOP debate tonight”. They also put up charts showing exactly what delegates or support numbers they have in terms of head counts committed by LDP or DPJ members in various races. There is not a lot of heavy polling released before the elections. They just let a) the candidates speak directly without a lot of talking head interpretation and spin or spiking (blacking out) certain candidates; and b) don’t hype a lot of pre-election polls, but leave it to the voters on election day. That is the way it is here in Japan at least.


38 posted on 01/17/2012 6:46:54 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (The top leading CONSERVATIVE as of today in terms of 2012 GOP convention delegates, is RICK SANTORUM)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

It is a serious breach of journalism. I have done my share of election reporting.

There’s a difference between reporting facts and speculating. The time for speculation and analysis is after. I’ve done analysis before, and it’s always the caveat showing that you are assuming X and Y is true. Which may or may not be the case.

But it’s been a long time since objectivity was a condition of reporting.


39 posted on 01/17/2012 6:50:31 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: AmericanInTokyo

These delegates are not pledged delegates. Santorum has 7.
1144 is simple majority. Over 2000 delegates, however, are required for the nomination.


40 posted on 01/17/2012 7:14:42 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012/ Ron Paul is already Third Party, inside OUR Party.)
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