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Posted on 01/11/2012 8:47:11 PM PST by thouworm
The InsiderAdvantage poll of South Carolina likely Republican primary voters shows Newt Gingrich surging, coming within a statistical tie of Mitt Romney.
Romney 23%
Gingrich 21%
Santorum 14%
Paul 13%
Huntsman 7%
Perry 5%
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
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I think Steve Forbes convinced Perry to go on to SC, for the sake of trying to get traction for his flat tax plan.
But no one has talked major tax reform since Cain left the race.
It’s a shame.
If you’re thinking Santorum’s support would automatically go to Gingrich, I disagree.
I think that support would have gone to/stayed with Gingrich already if voters did not have such great reservations about the potential for Bad Newt to show up.
Santorum has benefitted from being the Not Romney AND the Not Gingrich candidate.
Wow, this sentence is chock-full of straw men.
Anyway.
Wow, this sentence is chock-full of straw men.
Anyway.
Wow, this sentence is chock-full of straw men.
Anyway.
“Newt is surging in SC!!! “
Yahooo!!! Maybe Newt can then send a message to mittens worded in the same fashion as the one mitt recently broadcast in which he implored everyone else to drop out and get behind the frontrunner(mitt) in order to present a united gop front.
I like a lot of what Newt stands for, but he seems to be a loose cannon and I dis-trust him.
I HATE Romney. He and his wife actually donated money to Planned Parenthood, and he included the organization in his socialized healthcare plan. Ron Paul: How can a lunatic find so much support?! Truly amazing. Santorum seems to be the one who has the right ideas and stays above the fray, and I’m leaning his way. Sadly, he’s boring.
Basically, we’re screwed. The GOP machine is manipulating the process to force Romney on us. Too bad this year’s election is so critical, otherwise it would be a good time to think about a strong third party. The GOP/RNC/RINO machine is NOT our friend!
I think Santorum’s support would go to Romney.
Santorum support will got to Gingrich, if it was going to go to Romney it would already have done so.. Romney has been at 30% or whatever it has been since day one.
You are right, folks going to Santorum are folks who may not like everything to do with Gingrich, but sure aren’t going to Romney, given a choice between the two, the overwhelming majority will return to Gingrich... which is where most of them came from in the first place. Already see it happening in SC.
Santorum basically is just the last guy standing for this boomlet ideological purity crowd to jump to, but they will soon see he’s not as pure as they want him to be, nor up to the task. Just as Bachman, Perry, and Cain before him. Santorum is at best a VP candidate, and given how hated he is in PA, that makes him actually being selected as one difficult, but ability wise, that’s where he is, he’s VP Tier at best, not big show tier, not even close.
If Santorums the nominee, Obama’s machine will run him over, and pull out a squeaker, but pull it out none the less. Santorum gets painted as unsafe/radical, you get a 3rd party to peel off a few percent and you get Obama II with a plurality.
“Perry 5% ..Just go already, you’re helping Willard stay in 1st. Period.”
Which is the most likely reason he’s still in.
Your theory is as plausible as mine. From what I see, though, Romney is daily becoming more palatable to many Not Romney voters and Gingrich is becoming increasingly unlikeable.
The more steam Romney picks up, the more likely it is, in my view, that many (not all) of the former Not Romney/Gingrich voters will go to Romney or cast a protest vote or sit this one out.
I just don’t see a path for Gingrich to win, or win back, many more votes at this time or with the tactics he has chosen, nor with the lay of the political landscape against him.
But one of is — maybe — is right! ;)
Frankly, and I said it then, much to the chagrin of many, that the Republican primaries were over, and Romney the nominee, the day Sarah Palin decided not to run.
And I don’t blame Sarah for that, I blame a media that spent MILLIONS to destroy her.
Well time will tell if either of us are. :)
Yep. I admit that I was completely wrong about Romney this time around. I said for months that I thought there was no way he would get the nomination because of the strength of the Tea Party movement.
I was wrong.
Then again, I also think the race would have been very different had Cain not dropped out when he did. Not saying he would have gotten the nomination. But his presence would have continued to put pressure on the field to talk about massive tax reform and freeing up the private sector.
Also I don’t think Gingrich would have ever in a million years surged the way he did if Cain’s departure had not created that opportunity for him.
And . . . here we are.
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