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Why Does Rick Perry Think He Can Win South Carolina?
TPM ^ | January 5, 2012 | Evan McMorris-Santoro

Posted on 01/07/2012 1:40:13 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

After his embarrassing result in Iowa, Rick Perry seemed to get the message the polls have been sending him for months: Republican voters just aren’t that into him. On caucus night, said he’d go back to Texas and figure out what comes next.

But within hours, Perry was sprinting into South Carolina, to make at least one more stand.

Given that the TPM Poll Average shows Perry pulling just 4.8% support in the state, a clear question arises: What on earth is he thinking?

The answer is, team Perry really thinks they can make it happen in South Carolina. The campaign says it really is all-in in the Palmetto State.

“At the end of the day, Gov. Perry is the only Washington outsider in this race, and the only candidate proposing real, substantive conservative reforms that will overhaul Washington, get America working again, and reintroduce fiscal sanity,” spokesperson Liz Mair told me. “Those are key attributes that South Carolina voters care about, especially fiscal, social and Tea Party conservatives who make up a sizable chunk of the electorate in the Palmetto State.”

Perry, of course, has made government reform a huge part of his agenda. He wants a part time Congress, he wants to cut lawmakers’ salaries, he wants to eliminate departments. It’s the kind of thing that supporters say could really resonate in South Carolina.

Mitt Romney’s new surrogate, Sen. John McCain, has been making that case out a line against Rick Santorum in South Carolina, where he points out that unlike the state’s senators, Santorum was pretty friendly to earmarks.

“I think it’s wrong for America and so does Sen. DeMint and so does Sen. Lindsey Graham who have been staunch fighters against earmark and pork barrel spending,” McCain told the South Carolina crowd. “And I know you’re proud of that.”

Indeed, South Carolina Republicans have a long history of backing the kind of candidates who want to turn their government upside down. Gov. Mark Sanford (R), who was popular before he took that Appalachian Trail trip, once brought live piglets down to the state house to protest what he said was the porky ways of state lawmakers.

But if Perry really thinks he can ride this wave in South Carolina, that tactic hasn’t yet been evidenced yet. His first ad in the state is a retread of a bio spot [Values] from November that doesn’t even mention his government reform plan.

But it does mention something else Perry backers say plays well in South Carolina: his military background and Christianity. Unlike New Hampshire, where Molly Ball showed how hard it can be for a values candidate to make a connection, South Carolina is a land where mixing in some ol’ time religion into your stump speech is very much appreciated in a lot of places. In addition, the state is home to a lot of veterans and active-duty military. Perry is a vet himself, and can speak their language, too.

The combo went down very well for Perry in South Carolina in months past. In August, I spent a couple days following Perry around the state. He was so famous back then a guy literally stopped on his way to pick up his wife who was going into labor to have her talk to Perry on a cell phone.

So, Perry’s dialing up South Carolina voters again. And he’s betting the house that they’ll still enthusiastically pick up the call.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: conservatism; family; jobs; perry2012; robertritchie; singledigitperry; stalkinghorse
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To: John Valentine

Why don’t you simply admit that you are soft on illegals a’la Juan McCain and Jorge Bush? You’ll feel better.
A crime is a crime. If you wish to whitewash some of them, then at least have the balls to admit it.
As far as joining the military the requirements are U.S. citizenship or permanent legal resident with a green card. No illegals, and no aliens without a green card. You are aware of that, aren’t you? So, what were you saying about duplicitous?
Never stated anyone was a “career criminal”.


81 posted on 01/07/2012 6:33:02 AM PST by Scotsman will be Free (11C - Indirect fire, infantry - High angle hell - We will bring you, FIRE)
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To: JoeGar; altura
Santorum bashers haven't looked at his internal compass. He'd do the right thing.

That said; I'm shifting support to Perry. Rick, Newt, Mitt ...none of 'em would be likely to shake up Washington like Perry will attempt. He could get it done, too, if we send enough R-Senators to D.C. T-Partiers can mitigate Perry immigration leanings.

I like 'em all, I hate 'em all. Perry comes out on top, all things considered.(and I've been doin' lots of considerin')

82 posted on 01/07/2012 6:34:29 AM PST by chiller ( Elect another batch of TPartiers and it won't matter which R we elect. WE will lead.)
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To: txrangerette

They will profit from a criminal act. Your inability to see past your Perrybot blinders doesn’t change that fact.


83 posted on 01/07/2012 6:36:31 AM PST by Scotsman will be Free (11C - Indirect fire, infantry - High angle hell - We will bring you, FIRE)
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To: bigdirty

You forgot to add that Perry is gonna arrange to have mittens whacked so he can take over. Oh yeah, and you forgot that Perry is gonna sell Texas to the mexicans for 15 billion dollars. And, Perry joined the airforce so he wouldn’t get drafted into the infantry and sent to the eastern front. Let’s see, hmm, oh yeah, he made millions by buying shares in the company that made Gardasil. There, that should about cover it.


84 posted on 01/07/2012 6:41:13 AM PST by Scotsman will be Free (11C - Indirect fire, infantry - High angle hell - We will bring you, FIRE)
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Did You Know?

The Current FReepathon Pays For The Current Quarters Expenses?

Now That You Do, Donate And Keep FR Running


85 posted on 01/07/2012 6:48:44 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: Scotsman will be Free

They are adults, who do not receive the tuition rate.

The children who receive the tuition rate did not commit a criminal act.

I have impeccable facts and logic.

Doesn’t have anything to do with who I support.

I would hold the same view, regardless.

Your comment is insulting.

What else is new?


86 posted on 01/07/2012 6:59:17 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: Apollo5600
With Bachmann out, conservatives will hopefully give Perry another look. He’s the only candidate who doesn’t look and act like a plastic ken-doll.

As a Perry supporter, I'll concede that if he does poorly in South Carolina, it'll probably be time to throw in the towel.

At that point, it will be less about the candidate himself and more about what brand of "conservatism" the voters want. I'm beginning to feel that many so-called "conservatives" in this country are social conservatives who like their Big Government.

87 posted on 01/07/2012 7:08:17 AM PST by Drew68
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; jonrick46; deepbluesea; TexMom7; potlatch; SunkenCiv; wolfcreek; BuckeyeTexan; ...
Perry Ping....

IF you'd rather NOT be pinged FReepmail me.

IF you'd like to be added FReepmail me. Thanks.

*****************************************************************************************************************************************************


88 posted on 01/07/2012 7:24:33 AM PST by shield (Rev 2:9 Woe unto those who say they are Judahites and are not, but are of the syna GOG ue of Satan.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

He’s got to go after Obama tonight with hard numbers if he wants to stay in.

How mnay jobs did Obama lose and how many did TX create?

How many businesses went under with Obama and how many started in TX?

How many are leaving U.S. due to regulation/tax burdens and how many are flocking to TX?

That’s what people want to hear. How are they going to fix this?


89 posted on 01/07/2012 7:24:50 AM PST by Kenny
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To: gemoftheocean

At least TX is flush enough to create programs like the tuition assistance. Bet MA couldn’t swing it and I know PA couldn’t because I live here.


90 posted on 01/07/2012 7:28:47 AM PST by Kenny
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To: Chasaway

Remember this!


91 posted on 01/07/2012 7:29:45 AM PST by Chasaway (Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?)
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To: Darkwolf377
Rick Santorum: The 10th Amendment Does Not Mean What It Says
92 posted on 01/07/2012 7:30:53 AM PST by shield (Rev 2:9 Woe unto those who say they are Judahites and are not, but are of the syna GOG ue of Satan.)
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To: gemoftheocean

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2829760/posts


93 posted on 01/07/2012 7:32:38 AM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: tsowellfan
Just this week a couple of friends who support Romney told me they hope Perry will stay in. They see him as a spoiler that will only help Romney win.

They think that because that's been the hype. Truth is momentum is a whole different animal this year and I'm not so sure Romney would take it even if he won NH & SC. The people are finally understanding they are allowed to change their mind before the actual election.

94 posted on 01/07/2012 7:34:05 AM PST by Kenny
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To: ziravan

It’s Santorum or Romney. That’s the choices left to us.


God help us all if that’s all we have to deal with. I’m not sure who will be the one to rise to the top but I don’t see Santorum as that person. He’d be about as inspiring as McCain was in 08 but with less history.

Agree with your ‘Romney is no choice at all’ statement.


95 posted on 01/07/2012 7:35:43 AM PST by deport
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To: Reagan69
That’s what I’m worried about. I think he wants to help Romney

LOL...No wonder you do NOT support Perry. You must not be following what either candidate stands for. You know oil and water don't mix.

96 posted on 01/07/2012 7:39:57 AM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: Kenny
The people are finally understanding they are allowed to change their mind before the actual election.

And...many have not even made up their minds yet.

97 posted on 01/07/2012 7:42:30 AM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: ravenwolf; gemoftheocean
I don,t know the facts but i would bet it has a few important details left out.


One important fact/detail is that this was legislation passed almost unanimously by the Texas legislature in 2001 by a vote of 177 - 4. Thus it was the will of the people of Texas via their elected body. And another fact/detail that some seem to forget is ... “State's Rights”.

98 posted on 01/07/2012 7:47:51 AM PST by deport
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To: Apollo5600

You say mocking Perry is absurd, which is true. But then you go on to mock and insult Santorum ad nauseum. Your deep analysis has really been a helpful contribution to the discussion. /sarc


99 posted on 01/07/2012 7:55:48 AM PST by EDINVA
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; Apollo5600; Darkwolf377; ziravan; Berlin_Freeper; johnthebaptistmoore; tanuki; ...

Rick Perry was a C-130 pilot. Idiots cannot be rated multi-engine. Period.

So sick of this “Bush is an idiot” and “Perry is an idiot” because they talk funny.

Damn! Perry’s dad farmed cotton. You don’t run tractors and harvesters for a lifetime without losing limbs or life if you’re an idiot. Tractors flip over on people every day. He’s an avid marksman and hunter. He never shot his foot off or anything (like shooting a reporter in the face...well,)

Santorum is a friggin LAWYER. His dad was a psychologist. Newt’s a friggin PERFESSER. Romeny’s dad was another damn POLITICIAN. Romney and Newt were draft dodgers.

I mean, come. on. folks!? I admit that the entire GOP roster is lame, but for Pete’s sake, at least Perry is a real man. Someone I wouldn’t be afraid to hand a nailgun to or a circular saw building a house....the rest aren’t competent to hang curtains much less command the most powerful (but shrinking) armed forces this world has ever known.


100 posted on 01/07/2012 8:18:48 AM PST by sam_paine (X .................................)
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