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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Free Vulcan
Just listening to Rush's show from today, and love what he called the Iowa Caucus: “A glorified straw poll.”

The winner of this Caucus does NOT mean they'll be the nominee. No disrespect to my Iowa FReepers, but Iowa needs to get over itself.

441 posted on 01/03/2012 6:20:49 PM PST by Artcore
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To: Rational Thought

Hmmmm...ya think she wants to run as his Veep?


442 posted on 01/03/2012 6:21:18 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: katiedidit1

“Would LOVE to see all freepers boycott Faux news.”

Yep. Watch C-Span.


443 posted on 01/03/2012 6:21:35 PM PST by Goldie Lurks (professional moonbat catcher)
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To: RitaOK

Oh, but how can you live without the slimy wisdom of Bill Kristol or law-school dropout Kirsten Powers?

FNC is sometimes better when you hit mute, put on some Pink Floyd, and just see how well Dark Side of the Moon syncs with what’s going on the screen...


444 posted on 01/03/2012 6:21:35 PM PST by bigbob
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To: BenKenobi
>> But what do I know? I’m just a disfunctional young’un.<<

Remember that it was you who said so. I’ll just remember it.

445 posted on 01/03/2012 6:21:54 PM PST by CynicalBear
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To: katiedidit1

Oops, I was confusing you with RitaOK. Sorry about that.


446 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:17 PM PST by Tramonto (Draft Palin)
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To: parksstp
"How does crap like this happen?"

Open registration.

447 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:18 PM PST by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: not2worry

Yep;

Occupy’s Iowa options: Ron Paul or Uncommitted
http://www.salon.com/2012/01/02/occupys_iowa_options_ron_paul_or_uncommitted/singleton/

“Our goal has been to sign people up to go to the Democratic caucuses as uncommitted delegates that are pushing to get our troops out of Afghanistan within 12 months of Obama’s reelection and for Medicare for all during his second term.”

...And then there’s the Occupy Wall Street supporters who want to vote for Ron Paul.


448 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:23 PM PST by Son House (The Economic Boom Heard Around The World => TEA Party 2012)
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To: ducttape45

Loved it during the debates when Newt nailed her on the judges. I do think she was stunned


449 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:37 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: Rational Thought

I hope she drops out tomorrow, but I doubt it.
LOL@ her endorsing Romney. We will all laugh!


450 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:46 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: onyx

Romney may be a fraud, and I believe Santorum could beat him one-on-one, but the other candidates s are sticking around until they nominate Mittens. They will make GHWB and Dole very satisfied.


451 posted on 01/03/2012 6:22:52 PM PST by Theodore R. (I'll still vote for Santorum if he is on the April 3 ballot.)
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To: Free Vulcan; All

Perry just won his first county, Clayton County, a river county on the far northeast end of the state. Low turnout but it’s a win nonetheless.

Clayton
See All ›
Candidate Votes %
Perry 20 27%
Romney 17 23%
Paul 16 22%
Santorum 13 18%
Bachmann 5 7%
Gingrich 4 6%


452 posted on 01/03/2012 6:23:08 PM PST by darrellmaurina
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To: TitansAFC

I’m watching CNN, can’t stomach FOX anymore.


453 posted on 01/03/2012 6:23:30 PM PST by alicewonders ((GO PERRY!))
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15% Reporting

Candidate    Votes   % 
 Paul        3,581 24% 
 Romney      3,466 24% 
 Santorum    3,442 24% 
 Gingrich    1,956 14% 
 Perry       1,439 10% 
 Bachmann      929 7% 
 Huntsman       92 <1% 
 Cain            4 <1% 

 
 

454 posted on 01/03/2012 6:23:42 PM PST by deport
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To: Free Vulcan
Well that totally sucked.

Reporting from our local Precinct D54 (Davenport - Scott County):

Paul 26
Santorum 17
Romney 15
Gingrich 5
Huntsman 3
Bachmann 2
Perry 1

Excuse me while I go puke.

455 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:01 PM PST by 2111USMC (Not a hard man to track. Leaves dead men wherever he goes.)
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To: manc

The breakdown in Iowa is clear: 58 percent of under 30 voters went for Paul, 15 percent for Romney, and 10 percent for Santorum in Iowa.

What does that tell you? Iowa is one of the most socially conservative states in the nation. The people who are saying that Paul is “nuts” are overwhelmingly over the age of 45.

Truth be told, every single time Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum talk about bombing Iran, they are the ones who sound nuts to Gen X’ers and Millennials.

So nuts that many of these people voted for Obama in 2008 (or sat out the election) for no other reason than opposition John McCain and the Iraq War.

Most young people don’t think a gazillion dollars should be squandered on a neocon pipe dream like bringing “dumocracy” or “women’s rights” to Iraq and Iran.


456 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:04 PM PST by WilliamHouston
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To: WilliamHouston
I've been around since the 60’s and then some. Been to Woodstock, been to the Army. College kids were liberal then, they’re liberal now. Some fashion themselves libertarians but most are simply liberal and the social liberal in the race is Paul which is why he does well in the college towns in Iowa. Not 1 in 20 college kids will ever lace on a combat boot and absent a draft could give two shits about the rest of us who did or those who will.
457 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:08 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: onyx

She is flat broke. If she stays in...she will have to go into personal debt. Her ad comparing herself to Margaret Thatcher was inane


458 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:14 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: darrellmaurina

YEAH!


459 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:19 PM PST by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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It looks like it will be a terrific night for the “Not Mitt” movement. If Romney had scored a convincing win in Iowa, he could have clinched the deal with a convincing win in New Hampshire. Looks like the big stories tomorrow will be Paul and Santorum. That takes at least one day away from Romney and he only has 7 to go before his assured win. Then he has to go to the South and try to make his sale there amongst a winnowed field.


460 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:22 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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