Posted on 12/29/2011 6:22:38 PM PST by TBBT
Rick Perry’s presidential campaign released a tough new ad Thursday targeting Rick Santorum and his history of supporting earmarks in Congress. Why is Perry attacking a candidate who has been mired in single digits in Iowa despite living there for most of the past several months?
Simple, Santorum is surging. A CNN poll of registered Iowa Republicans released Wednesday puts Santorum in third place with 16 percent of the vote – his highest share yet. It’s not an outlier. In fact, data from Perry’s internal daily tracking polling shows that the Santorum surge is real and that he has the potential to continue gaining in the days before voters gather for the caucuses next Tuesday.
The polling was described to TWS by a strategist for a rival campaign and confirmed by a source familiar with the numbers. The four important takeaways from Perry’s polling: Mitt Romney is “pulling away” from a group of four second-tier candidates bunched together behind him; Ron Paul’s numbers have dropped steadily in the aftermath of the attention given his troubling newsletters; Santorum’s rise has coincided with the erosion of support for Newt Gingrich; and Michele Bachmann is in danger of becoming a non-factor in the race.
Almost all of this is good news for Mitt Romney, who announced in recent days a busy schedule of Iowa campaigning and whose campaign let it be known that he would remain overnight in Iowa after the caucuses – both indications that the Romney camp is increasingly confident of a win in Iowa next week. And Romney, in an appearance in Iowa on Thursday, said only a win in Iowa would constitute a real victory.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
You don’t understand. In the fantasy world in which TBBT resides, only Newt Gingrich can stop Mitt Romney. People who votes for anyone other than Newt are actually voting for Romney.
Never mind that Newt is falling like a rock in the polls or there are dozens of steamer trunks (not baggage) that have yet to be opened. Newt is the one. LOL!
Don’t waste your time.
Of course, these polls are designed to push or denigrate certain candidates. As the actual date approaches, pollsters have to use more realistic numbers to maintain credibility. Too bad money foolishly follows polls.
This is what happens when people become infatuated with “debate prowess” and not principles.
Well, then, can you at least describe exactly what and who constitute this ‘us’ you belong to?
Santorum is a Catholic.
January
? - Iowa 28 delegates
? - New Hampshire 12
Newt - South Carolina 25
Newt - Florida 50
February
Newt - Nevada 28
Newt - Maine 24
? - Colorado 36
? - Minnesota 40
Newt - Arizona 29
Newt - Michigan 30
March
Newt - Washington 43
Newt - Alaska 27
Newt - Georgia 76
Newt - Idaho 32
RINO - Mass 41
Newt - North Dakota 28
Newt - Ohio 66
Newt - Oklahoma 43
Newt - Tennessee 58
? - Vermont 17
Newt - Virginia 50
Newt - Wyoming 29
Newt - Kansas 40
Newt - Alabama 50
? - Hawaii 20
Newt - Mississippi 40
Newt - Missouri 52
? - Illinois 69
Newt - Louisiana 46
April
Newt - Maryland 37
Newt or Perry - Texas 155
? - Wash D.C. 19
Newt - Wisconsin 42
? - Connecticut 28
? - Delaware 17
? - New York 95
Newt - Pennsylvania 72
? - Rhode Island 19
May
Newt - Indiana 46
Newt - North Carolina 55
Newt - West Virginia 31
Newt - Nebraska 35
Newt - Oregon 29
Newt - Arkansas 36
Newt - Kentucky 45
June
? - California 172
Newt - Montana 26
Newt - New Jersey 50
Newt - New Mexico 23
Newt - South Dakota 28
RINO - Utah 40
People like and trust Newt. Go Newt!
I'll do it for TBBT. "Us" means principled conservatives. For RINOS, it's a death null. They no their candidate can't win over the principled crowd so the attacks begin.
“Evangelicals are going to screw us.”
How so? They have a strategy of spreading their votes around. Give everybody some support.
When the votes show it, I’ll believe it. Until then, I’ll vote principles first. I can always vote RINO and take a bath when I have to do it later.
I like your spirit...
But I’m a realist... A 4th place finish for Newt in Iowa is going to do some damage. It’s possible it might shake out his way. But odds will become much worse.
You think the establishment/media’s effort to shove Romney down our throats has been intense so far, wait til Romney comes in 1st or 2nd in Iowa.
Santourm won’t have a prayer...
No, apparently TBBT’s ‘us’ = fiscon + milcon - socon.
My ‘us’ is all three.
Maybe :-)
Uh, no, NOT maybe.
Three legs.
I hear you and get what you’re saying, but isn’t it also fair to blame the candidates themselves?
All of theem have had ample opportunity to make their case. All of them have had big leads at one time. And none of them have been able to hold it.
I mean, you can’t blame Santorum’s recent surge for the fact that Perry once led by like 20 pts in IA and is now on the verge of being a non-factor. You can’t blame Santorum or the evangelicals for the fact that Newt only recently had a big lead and saw it frittered all away.
The fact is none of them have been able to close the deal.
I also blame some of the evangelical leaders and other elected officials. If someone like Vander Plaats and the others had endorsed Newt a few weeks ago maybe he’s still on top and doing much better. If Steve King endorsed someone, or Branstad, maybe that helps. Same with Huckabee. Or Demint. Maybe if Rush had endorsed someone. But none of them did. They all hung back and let Romney run right through. but at the end of the day, isn’t up to one of the candidates to just make their case and close the deal? Always be closing.
It’s disappointing that none of the field was able to grab the brass ring.
Who knows, maybe it’s not too late for someone else.
Santorum is not national material; like him or not.
No I don’t have a problem with evangelicals. I’m not one of them, but I don’t have a problem with them.
However, based on all the evidence so far, Santorum’s surge is coming from evangelicals. That surge is quite possibly going to give it to Romney in Iowa. If Romney wins Iowa he’ll be hard to beat.
So when I say “us” - when the result ends up being Romney as the nominee - that “us” means the country.
Of course. I know, but for TBBT, he tries to gnaw off the third leg. LOL!
Iowa has a population of .... 3,007,856. Total. Nothing wrong with it, but Iowa and purple state is not a true Conservative state.
If any Liberal media hack attempts to frame Iowa as the leading indicator of what Conservatives want, they are liars. Iowa ranks number 30 out of 50 in regards to it's population.
Top Ten States by Population
1, California ( who cares, blue state)
2. Texas (Newt might win Texas or place a strong 2nd)
3. New York ( who cares, blue state)
4. Florida - NEWT will win
5. Illinois (who cares, blue state)
6. Pennsylvania - Newt will win
7. Ohio - Newt will win
8 Michigan - Newt will win or place strong 2nd
9 Georgia - Newt will win
10. North Carolina - Newt will win
Iowa has lost it's cache. Their population is not a necessarily a barometer of true RED / CONSERVATIVE states which is what matters.
Go Newt!!!
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