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Poll: Newt Gingrich opens up nine-point lead after Union-Leader endorsement
The Hill ^ | 11/28/2011 | Justin Sink

Posted on 11/28/2011 9:43:17 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Newt Gingrich has opened a sizable lead over Mitt Romney in the first national poll in the GOP presidential race taken since the former Speaker of the House earned the key endorsement of the New Hampshire Union Leader, showing Gingrich with a nine-percentage point lead over the former Massachusetts governor.

The poll, conducted by Majority Opinion Research Sunday night, showed Gingrich leading the Republican field with 32 percent of support from those surveyed. Romney earned 23 percent, while Herman Cain rounded out the top three with 14 percent of the vote. Ron Paul led the remainder of the field with 6 percent.

Gingrich's lead has opened up as the former Speaker has rallied both older voters and independents. Thirty-nine percent of those 65 and older support Gingrich, versus 28 percent for Romney, while those in the 45-64 age range back the Speaker by a 37-19 percent margin. Those figures would tend to support the emerging theme that conservatives are rallying behind Gingrich as their preferred alternative. Gingrich and Romney are virtually tied among voters 18-44, who are more likely to hold liberal views.

But Gingrich is also rallying independents, garnering 32 percent of likely voters who do not affiliate with a party. Among independents, Romney actually trails Paul, who pulls 17 percent of the vote to Romney's 16 percent.

Further boosting the Gingrich campaign is the knowledge that much of Cain's support comes from Democrats that the polling firm believes will cross over to vote in open primaries. Cain was the choice of 36 percent of Democrats — more than double any other Republican nominee — suggesting that his poll numbers might be nationally inflated and that conservatives truly are coalescing around Gingrich

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: amnesty; cainesty; gingrich; heartless; illegals; inhumane; newt; poll
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1 posted on 11/28/2011 9:43:26 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Bottom line: let’s get Romney the hell out of the race, then decide on a nominee.

Newt may make that happen. Cain and Paul can help him.


2 posted on 11/28/2011 9:48:13 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: SeekAndFind

Good. Since my first choice, Ron Paul, probably can’t get elected it looks like Newt is the one to get behind.


3 posted on 11/28/2011 9:49:18 AM PST by circlecity
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To: SeekAndFind

This is a princess O dream come true . Another old, fat white guy to throw on the Barbie . Ah yes , the face of the Grand OLD Parry .


4 posted on 11/28/2011 9:49:43 AM PST by fantom (,)
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To: circlecity

Huh? You’d actually waste your vote on a advocate of mandatory health insurance (as of this year!), supporter of No Child Left Behind, the Prescription Drugs boondogle, global warming, etc. when you have a chance to vote for Ron Paul?


5 posted on 11/28/2011 9:52:08 AM PST by Captain Kirk
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To: SeekAndFind
Cain was the choice of 36 percent of Democrats — more than double any other Republican nominee — suggesting that his poll numbers might be nationally inflated and that conservatives truly are coalescing around Gingrich

All the more to vote for CAIN. He transcends political parties.

6 posted on 11/28/2011 10:01:44 AM PST by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord!)
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To: Captain Kirk

Don’t get me wrong, I will still support Paul in the primaries but I don’t think he can get the nomination. If he’s still around by the time of my state’s primary I’d be proud to vote for him but I don’t think he’s going to be there. If that’s the case, then yeah, I’ll support Newt.


7 posted on 11/28/2011 10:01:55 AM PST by circlecity
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To: circlecity

Yes, Newt is the one to get behind.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=_hd23sdf4CE


8 posted on 11/28/2011 10:02:09 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~.. Newt/Palin-Bolton-2012."got a lot swirling around in my head.")
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To: stars & stripes forever

Exactly. As far as the establishment GOP is concerned, Newt will serve their purposes just as well as Mitt.


9 posted on 11/28/2011 10:03:54 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Gator113
Yes, Newt is the one to get behind.

Sure is.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4NrECZ9a2U&sns=tw

10 posted on 11/28/2011 10:04:19 AM PST by South40 (NO TO RINOS! NO TO AMNESTY! NO TO NEWT!)
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To: fantom
Another old, fat white guy to throw on the Barbie . Ah yes , the face of the Grand OLD Parry

But John McCain did so well! /s

11 posted on 11/28/2011 10:05:37 AM PST by South40 (NO TO RINOS! NO TO AMNESTY! NO TO NEWT!)
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To: SeekAndFind

What’s the big deal about New Hampshire? Let’s see the polling for the rest of the country. Could it be that CAIN is leading the pack?


12 posted on 11/28/2011 10:09:53 AM PST by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord!)
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To: stars & stripes forever

The RealClearPolitics NATIONAL average of polls still has Gingrich ahead of everyone.

See here:

2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html


13 posted on 11/28/2011 10:15:03 AM PST by SeekAndFind (u)
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To: South40

http://theiowarepublican.com/2011/do-we-really-know-who-herman-cain-is/


14 posted on 11/28/2011 10:15:10 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~.. Newt/Palin-Bolton-2012."got a lot swirling around in my head.")
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To: stars & stripes forever

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Gingrich Romney Cain Perry Paul Bachmann Santorum Huntsman Spread
RCP Average 11/13 - 11/20 -- 23.8 21.3 15.5 8.0 8.0 4.8 2.3 2.3 Gingrich +2.5
CNN/Opinion Research 11/18 - 11/20 402 A 24 20 17 11 9 5 4 3 Gingrich +4
Quinnipiac 11/14 - 11/20 1039 RV 26 22 14 6 6 4 2 2 Gingrich +4
USA Today/Gallup 11/13 - 11/17 946 RV 22 21 16 8 9 4 1 1 Gingrich +1
FOX News 11/13 - 11/15 370 RV 23 22 15 7 8 6 2 3 Gingrich +1
CNN/Opinion Research 11/11 - 11/13 480 A 22 24 14 12 8 6 3 3 Romney +2
PPP (D) 11/10 - 11/13 576 RV 28 18 25 6 5 5 1 3 Gingrich +3
Pew Research 11/9 - 11/14 738 RV 16 23 22 8 8 5 2 1 Romney +1
McClatchy/Marist 11/8 - 11/10 347 RV 19 23 17 8 10 5 1 1 Romney +4
CBS News 11/6 - 11/10 382 RV 15 15 18 8 5 4 2 1 Cain +3
Politico/GWU/Battleground 11/6 - 11/9 436 RV 14 25 27 14 5 2 2 0 Cain +2
USA Today/Gallup 11/2 - 11/6 1054 A 12 21 21 11 8 3 2 1 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 11/2 - 11/5 248 RV 13 28 27 10 10 4 2 0 Romney +1
Rasmussen Reports 11/2 - 11/2 1000 LV 14 23 26 8 7 2 1 2 Cain +3
ABC News/Wash Post 10/31 - 11/3 438 RV 12 25 23 14 9 4 1 1 Romney +2
Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 869 RV 10 23 30 8 7 4 1 2 Cain +7
FOX News 10/23 - 10/25 328 RV 12 20 24 10 9 3 3 0 Cain +4
CBS News/NY Times 10/19 - 10/24 455 RV 10 21 25 6 8 2 1 1 Cain +4
CNN/Opinion Research 10/14 - 10/16 416 A 8 26 25 13 9 6 2 1 Romney +1
Associated Press/GfK 10/13 - 10/17 431 A 7 30 26 13 8 4 2 2 Romney +4
Rasmussen Reports 10/12 - 10/12 1000 LV 10 29 29 9 5 4 2 2 Tie
PPP (D) 10/7 - 10/10 484 RV 15 22 30 14 5 5 1 2 Cain +8
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 410 A 7 23 19 10 13 5 -- 2 Romney +4
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/6 - 10/10 336 RV 8 23 27 16 11 5 1 3 Cain +4
WP/Bloomberg/PSRAI 10/6 - 10/9 391 A 3 24 16 13 6 4 1 0 Romney +8
Gallup 10/3 - 10/7 1064 A 7 20 18 15 8 5 3 2 Romney +2
ABC News/Wash Post 9/29 - 10/2 RV 9 25 17 17 9 7 2 1 Romney +8
CBS News 9/28 - 10/2 324 RV 8 17 17 12 7 4 3 2 Tie
Quinnipiac 9/27 - 10/3 927 RV 8 22 17 14 6 3 3 1 Romney +5
Pew Research 9/22 - 10/4 876 RV 8 22 13 17 12 6 2 1 Romney +5
FOX News 9/25 - 9/27 363 RV 11 23 17 19 6 3 3 4 Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research 9/23 - 9/25 447 A 10 21 7 28 7 4 3 1 Perry +7
Rasmussen Reports 9/19 - 9/19 1000 LV 9 24 7 28 6 8 3 2 Perry +4
USA Today/Gallup 9/15 - 9/18 439 RV 5 24 5 31 13 5 2 1 Perry +7
McClatchy/Marist 9/13 - 9/14 317 RV 6 22 5 30 7 12 2 1 Perry +8
CBS News/NY Times 9/10 - 9/15 747 RV 7 16 5 23 5 7 1 1 Perry +7
Bloomberg 9/9 - 9/12 545 RV 4 22 4 26 8 9 2 1 Perry +4
CNN/Opinion Research 9/9 - 9/11 446 A 5 18 5 30 12 4 2 2 Perry +12
PPP (D) 9/8 - 9/11 500 RV 10 18 8 31 11 9 2 2 Perry +13
ABC News/Wash Post 8/29 - 9/1 RV 4 23 3 29 8 6 2 1 Perry +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground 8/28 - 9/1 LV 5 17 4 36 10 10 5 1 Perry +19
FOX News 8/29 - 8/31 341 RV 3 18 4 26 7 4 3 1 Perry +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 8/27 - 8/31 RV 5 23 5 38 9 8 3 2 Perry +15
CNN/Opinion Research 8/24 - 8/25 467 A 6 14 2 27 6 9 1 1 Perry +13
Quinnipiac 8/16 - 8/27 1185 RV 3 18 5 24 9 10 1 1 Perry +6
PPP (D) 8/18 - 8/21 663 RV 7 17 7 27 6 10 3 2 Perry +10
Gallup 8/17 - 8/21 1040 A 3 14 4 25 11 7 3 1 Perry +11
Rasmussen Reports 8/15 - 8/15 1000 LV 5 18 6 29 9 13 1 1 Perry +11
FOX News 8/7 - 8/9 319 RV 6 21 5 13 6 7 2 2 Romney +8
USA Today/Gallup 8/4 - 8/7 487 A 7 24 4 17 14 13 1 2 Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research 8/5 - 8/7 449 A 5 17 4 15 12 7 2 4 Romney +2
McClatchy/Marist 8/2 - 8/4 301 RV 2 21 6 18 3 8 3 2 Romney +3
Rasmussen Reports 7/28 - 7/28 1000 LV 6 22 9 18 10 16 -- 2 Romney +4
Pew Research 7/20 - 7/24 546 RV 3 21 8 12 9 11 1 2 Romney +9
Gallup 7/20 - 7/24 1088 A 3 17 3 15 8 11 2 2 Romney +2
CNN/Opinion Research 7/18 - 7/20 455 A 4 16 6 14 8 12 2 1 Romney +2
FOX News 7/17 - 7/19 RV 4 17 5 14 9 10 2 -- Romney +3
PPP (D) 7/15 - 7/17 730 RV 6 20 10 11 9 16 -- 2 Romney +4
ABC News/Wash Post 7/14 - 7/17 RV 4 26 7 8 7 13 2 3 Romney +13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/14 - 7/17 RV 8 30 5 11 9 16 3 2 Romney +14
Quinnipiac 7/5 - 7/11 913 RV 5 25 6 10 5 14 1 1 Romney +11
FOX News 6/26 - 6/28 324 RV 3 18 5 13 7 11 2 3 Romney +5
McClatchy/Marist 6/15 - 6/23 308 RV 2 19 5 13 5 8 1 2 Romney +6
Rasmussen Reports 6/14 - 6/14 1000 LV 9 33 10 -- 7 19 6 2 Romney +14
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 6/9 - 6/13 RV 6 30 12 8 7 3 4 1 Romney +18
PPP (D) 6/9 - 6/12 544 RV 9 22 17 -- 7 8 -- 1 Romney +5
Gallup 6/8 - 6/11 851 RV 5 24 9 -- 7 5 6 1 Romney +15
FOX News 6/5 - 6/7 338 LV 7 23 7 -- 5 4 4 2 Romney +16
Reuters/Ipsos 6/3 - 6/6 621 A 4 18 6 5 8 5 -- 2 Romney +10
CNN/Opinion Research 6/3 - 6/7 433 A 10 24 10 -- 7 4 1 1 Romney +14
ABC News/Wash Post* 6/2 - 6/5 A 6 21 4 3 6 3 1 1 Romney +15
Quinnipiac 5/31 - 6/6 830 RV 8 25 9 -- 8 6 4 1 Romney +16
CNN/Opinion Research 5/24 - 5/26 473 A 8 15 10 -- 12 7 2 1 Romney +3
PPP (D) 5/23 - 5/25 574 RV 9 16 12 -- 9 9 -- 4 Romney +4
Gallup 5/20 - 5/24 971 A 9 17 8 -- 10 5 2 2 Romney +7
PPP (D) 5/5 - 5/8 610 RV 20 24 -- -- 12 8 -- -- Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research 4/29 - 5/1 475 A 10 13 -- -- 10 5 2 1 Romney +3
Quinnipiac 4/26 - 5/1 1408 RV 5 18 -- -- 5 4 1 1 Romney +13
FOX News 4/25 - 4/27 322 RV 7 19 4 -- 7 3 3 1 Romney +12
Rasmussen Reports 4/26 - 4/26 500 LV 9 17 -- -- 8 -- -- -- Romney +8
Gallup 4/15 - 4/20 1047 A 6 13 -- -- 6 4 2 1 Romney +7
ABC News/Wash Post** 4/14 - 4/17 A 2 16 -- 0 2 1 -- -- Romney +14
McClatchy/Marist 4/10 - 4/14 468 RV 4 18 2 -- 7 3 2 1 Romney +11
CNN/Opinion Research 4/9 - 4/10 385 A 11 11 -- -- 7 5 2 -- Tie
PPP (D) 4/7 - 4/10 400 RV 11 15 -- -- 5 4 -- -- Romney +4
FOX News 4/3 - 4/5 344 RV 7 14 2 -- 3 2 2 1 Romney +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 3/31 - 4/4 238 RV 11 21 -- -- -- 5 3 -- Romney +10
Gallup 3/18 - 3/22 1082 A 10 15 -- -- 6 5 2 2 Romney +5
CNN/Opinion Research 3/11 - 3/13 504 A 14 18 -- -- 8 -- 3 -- Romney +4
Pew Research 3/8 - 3/14 538 RV 11 21 -- -- 8 -- 2 -- Romney +10
PPP (D) 3/10 - 3/13 600 RV 14 17 -- -- 9 -- -- -- Romney +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 2/24 - 2/28 282 RV 13 21 -- -- 6 -- 2 1 Romney +8
Gallup 2/18 - 2/20 1326 RV 9 16 -- -- 5 4 2 1 Romney +7
Newsweek/Daily Beast 2/12 - 2/15 LV 7 19 -- -- -- -- -- 1 Romney +12
PPP (D) 2/11 - 2/13 400 RV 12 17 -- -- 8 -- -- -- Romney +5
CNN/Opinion Research 1/21 - 1/23 479 A 10 18 -- -- 7 -- 1 -- Romney +8
Rasmussen Reports 1/18 - 1/18 1000 LV 11 24 -- -- 4 -- -- -- Romney +13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 1/13 - 1/17 1000 A 10 19 -- -- 8 -- 3 -- Romney +9
PPP (D) 1/14 - 1/16 515 RV 11 14 -- -- 7 -- -- -- Romney +3
ABC News/Wash Post 1/13 - 1/16 425 A 9 17 -- 3 -- -- 1 1 Romney +8
Clarus Research 12/10 - 12/16 365 RV 10 19 -- -- 4 -- -- -- Romney +9
PPP (D) 11/19 - 11/21 400 RV 19 18 -- -- 5 -- -- -- Gingrich +1
McClatchy/Marist 11/15 - 11/18 337 RV 10 20 -- 5 -- -- -- -- Romney +10
Gallup 11/13 - 11/14 925 A 13 19 -- -- 6 -- 1 -- Romney +6
Quinnipiac 11/8 - 11/15 RV 15 18 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +3
Rasmussen Reports 11/1 - 11/1 1000 LV 13 20 -- -- 5 -- -- -- Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research 10/27 - 10/30 500 A 12 20 -- -- 7 -- 2 -- Romney +8
Gallup 9/25 - 9/26 906 A 9 19 -- -- 7 -- 2 -- Romney +10
McClatchy/Marist 9/14 - 9/16 369 RV 16 25 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +9
PPP (D) 9/10 - 9/13 419 RV 18 22 -- -- 6 -- -- -- Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research 8/6 - 8/10 494 A 15 21 -- -- 10 -- 2 -- Romney +6
PPP (D) 8/6 - 8/9 400 RV 21 22 -- -- 4 -- -- -- Romney +1
Clarus Research 7/26 - 7/27 374 RV 14 26 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +12
Time 7/12 - 7/13 260 A 12 18 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +6
PPP (D) 7/9 - 7/12 400 RV 23 19 -- -- 7 -- -- -- Gingrich +4
PPP (D) 6/4 - 6/7 401 RV 15 25 -- -- 6 -- -- -- Romney +10
PPP (D) 5/7 - 5/9 539 RV 21 23 -- -- 8 -- -- -- Romney +2
PPP (D) 4/9 - 4/11 400 RV -- 33 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +33
CNN/Opinion Research 4/9 - 4/11 498 A 14 20 -- -- 8 -- 3 -- Romney +6
CNN/Opinion Research 3/19 - 3/21 498 A 8 22 -- -- 8 -- 5 -- Romney +14
Clarus Research 3/17 - 3/20 415 RV 13 29 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +16
PPP (D) 3/12 - 3/14 614 RV -- 28 -- -- 11 -- -- -- Romney +17
Gallup 2/1 - 2/3 490 RV 3 14 -- -- 2 -- -- -- Romney +11
ABC News/Wash Post 11/19 - 11/23 804 A 2 9 -- -- 1 -- -- -- Romney +7
CNN/Opinion Research 10/16 - 10/18 462 A -- 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +21
Rasmussen Reports 10/15 - 10/15 750 LV 14 24 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +10
Clarus Research 8/14 - 8/18 353 LV 15 30 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +15
Marist 8/3 - 8/6 310 RV 10 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +11
FOX News 7/21 - 7/22 303 RV 9 22 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +13
ABC News/Wash Post 7/15 - 7/18 A 10 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +11
Gallup 7/10 - 7/12 455 A 14 26 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +12
Rasmussen Reports 7/6 - 7/6 750 LV 14 25 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +11
CNN/Opinion Research 5/14 - 5/17 448 A 13 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +8
FOX News 5/12 - 5/13 274 RV 14 18 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research 2/18 - 2/19 429 A -- 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +21
Rasmussen Reports 11/5 - 11/5 1000 LV -- 11 -- -- -- -- -- -- Romney +11

15 posted on 11/28/2011 10:18:11 AM PST by SeekAndFind (u)
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To: SeekAndFind

Former front runners had their chances and blew it.


16 posted on 11/28/2011 10:19:10 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (For years the Left protested "the occupation of Iraq"- now they want to "Occupy" all across the US)
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To: SeekAndFind

wouldn’t it seem that if he is supported by UNIONS, then he has made a deal with the devil and we don’t want him?

I’m just saying.

Can’t forget him in the gloBULL warming ad with Pelosi, speaking of deals with the devil.


17 posted on 11/28/2011 10:21:00 AM PST by a real Sheila (golden retrievers rule!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Newt Gingrich has opened a sizable lead over Mitt Romney in the first national poll in the GOP presidential race taken since the former Speaker of the House earned the key endorsement of the New Hampshire Union Leader, showing Gingrich with a nine-percentage point lead over the former Massachusetts governor.

It is worth noting that this poll is AFTER Newt made that "huge" mistake vis a vis immigration policy in the debates. I think the lesson here is that there are no perfect candidates and the GOP is finally wising up to that fact. If you add that to the other obvious "fact" that 75% of the GOP voters are not going to support Romney in the primaries then you are led to Newt whether you like on not.

Any many here do not. But I personally don't see this changing. I think it is Newt vs. Mitt with Herman Cain as the only viable spoiler.

18 posted on 11/28/2011 10:22:39 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: cotton1706

“Bottom line: let’s get Romney the hell out of the race, then decide on a nominee.”

Great idea. However, it’s been said that Romney is funded to go the distance if he chooses to. Who drops out first?
Bachman is likely in debt. Santorum survives only by debate invitations. After South Carolina the stage will be set probably. A scary time it is, between now and Feb. 1st.


19 posted on 11/28/2011 10:26:42 AM PST by RitaOK (Rasmussen- the polling standard for accuracy.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Poll is bogus, millions of people were traveling Sunday night. So it was nothing more than a push poll.


20 posted on 11/28/2011 10:31:27 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and his fellow supporters.)
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