Given the candidates, the state of the GOP, the take my ball and go home attitude if my guy doesn’t get the nod, I am predicting here and now an Obama victory in the range of 274-290 EVs. The GOP keeps the House but loses a third of the Tea Party freshmen, and they get to 49 in the Senate.
“Given the candidates, the state of the GOP, the take my ball and go home attitude if my guy doesn’t get the nod, I am predicting here and now an Obama victory in the range of 274-290 EVs. The GOP keeps the House but loses a third of the Tea Party freshmen, and they get to 49 in the Senate.”
The wild card is the independents. Most of the moderate/independents I know are talking about staying home. If they are motivated to break one way or the other, that would be a deciding factor.
I can’t imagine what would motivate them, I think they’ll stay home in large numbers, and your prediction will come to pass.
it all depends on what happens in the next year.. I hope Obama sinks further and loses, but if the economy makes some strides, who knows. I would gladly take a bad economy until then to de-elect the marxist in chief.