I think it probably will be over on Super Tuesday. It usually is. Last time I thought it could go to the convention, didn’t happen.
Candidates just don’t win states cause they are from neighboring states. Last time McCain won every state that borders Massachusetts, not Romney.
I know you support him but Roemer’s campaign barley exists. It barley exists by his own choice not to raise money. He hasn’t been on a ballot in Louisiana since 1995. He’s not going to win Louisiana. He’s not gonna be a factor in Louisiana or in any other state, he’ll be lucky to get on the ballots. I think he’s off his rocker defending the occupy wall street movement. He’s seems to just be running as a protest against special interest money in politics.
Santorum’s campaign has gone nowhere, he can’t win West Virginia. A poll a couple months ago had him polling 12% in his own state of Pennsylvania.
Huntsman won’t even win Utah, Romney will.
The latest poll in Texas has Cain ahead of Perry in that state.
As for this straw poll? Well, I need the $5 so I won’t be voting in it. I’d probably go ahead and vote in it if my financial situation was better. Ultimately the results probably won’t matter that much.
As it stands now, Huntsman won't win Utah (and probably STILL wouldn't win even if he had ACTUAL supporters instead of the 1% he's polling). Roemer isn't doing any better in Louisiana than he is anywhere else in the country. He may have been elected Governor there once, over 20 years ago, but the last time he was on the ballot he managed to lose to David Duke so it's not surprising he doesn't have much pull left in his home state. Perry has fallen to around 5th place now (although it's could be said he's in a 3-way tie for 4th with Bachmann and Ron Paul). If the election was held today, he'd probably lose Texas. Of course, he could still recover enough to eek out a win there by the time his state votes, but Perry's past campaigns have shown the only reason he's a "proven winner" in Texas was because he was fortunate enough to have opponents even worse than him. (too bad the Perrybots are in a state of denial about this and can't figure out why their guy is tanking in their home state) Even with the weak field we have now, Texas voters have better options than Perry and are responding accordingly.
Bachmann won't win Minnesota (although if delegates are appointed by district, I'm pretty sure she'll win her own CD), and Santorum won't win Pennsylvania.
I actually HOPE I'm wrong on the latter two -- Santorum is a good guy and I hate that he's embarrassing himself with a Presidential run (he's actually managed to become my number #2 choice, simply because everyone decent dropped out or didn't run), and Bachmann had real potential until the Perry distraction sucked all the air out of the room for a month.
Anything can happen when the actual primaries start... too bad the freepers who were convinced it was a "two way race" between Fred and Rudy, and Fred Thompson was a shoo-in in for conservatives in '08 didn't learn their lesson and belived it was a "two way race" this time around between Romney and Perry for 2012, and that Perry had conservative voters in the bag. Maybe the third time around they'll finally figure out that early polls held monthes before the primaries mean nothing. One can hope. But I agree that Super Tuesday will pretty much finish off the primary and other 30+ states will be left to cast token protest votes for candidates that dropped out.
USconservative also makes a good point that in Illinois, pretty much whatever the Chicago machine wants will decide what direction the state as a whole goes. These Perrybots who keep yapping about "states rights" and "liberty for Americans" don't have a clue what it's like in the other 49. In Illinois, the only thing "empowering" state government does is give Chicago more opportunity for corruption and nepotism. The ironic thing is Obama and the rest of the Chicago machine RATs were no different than Perry when they were in state government and the GOP ran the federal government. They were all for "standing up to the feds" back then and thumbing their nose as national authorities. Strange how the Perrybots seem to have forgotten that little historical fact and insist RAT politicians at the state level believe in being meekly subservient to the feds. Maybe they missed all those resolutions by wacky state and local RAT goverments to spend zillions on embroynic stem cell research, enact gay marriage, passing "anti-war" resolutions and urging Congress to impeach Bush for "war crimes"? I sure haven't forgotten.