Posted on 10/26/2011 1:43:43 PM PDT by bimboeruption
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads in new CNN/Time polls of the first four states on the Republican presidential nominating calendar -- Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida -- though in Iowa and South Carolina, Herman Cain runs a close second.
Cain, the former CEO of Godfather's Pizza, runs second in each of the four states, and in three of the four states, Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, runs third.
Notably, the best that Texas Gov. Rick Perry can manage in any of the states is a tie for third.
Taken collectively, the polls show that -- despite Cain's slight lead over Romney in some recent national polling -- Romney has the advantage in the four states that will most determine the direction of the GOP nominating process:
-- In Iowa, which will hold its caucuses on Jan. 3, Romney leads Cain, 24 percent to 21 percent -- within the margin of error. Paul was third, at 12 percent, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Perry, who both earned 10 percent. Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., who edged Paul in August's Iowa straw poll, was at only six percent.
-- New Hampshire is expected to hold its first-in-the-nation primary on Jan. 10, and Romney has a strong lead in the poll, at 40 percent. Cain is at 13 percent, with Paul right behind him at 12 percent. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, whose campaign is predicated on a strong performance in the Granite State, is fourth at six percent, followed closely by Gingrich, at five percent. Perry is at just four percent.
-- The first-in-the-South primary will be held in South Carolina on Jan. 21, where Romney (25 percent) and Cain (23 percent) are now in a virtual tie. Paul is third at 12 percent, and Perry is at 11 percent, his strongest performance in the four polls.
-- Romney leads Cain in vote-rich Florida, which will hold its primary on Jan. 31, 30 percent to 18 percent. Gingrich and Perry tied for third with nine percent, and Paul was fifth at six percent.
All four polls were conducted Oct. 20-25 by ORC International. The respective sample sizes and margins of error are as follows:
-- Iowa: 405 registered Republicans; margin of error +/- 4.8 percent. -- New Hampshire: 400 registered Republicans or independents who voted in the 2008 Republican primary; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent. -- South Carolina: 400 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent. -- Florida: 401 registered Republicans; margin of error +/- 4.9 percent.
CNN and Time?
NOT very believable given their AGENDAE.
Very disappointing. Why do Iowa and New Hampshire, states that probably won’t go red anyway, get the right to set the tone of the Republican nomination? NO WONDER WE ALWAYS END UP WITH UNELECTABLE RINOS! Give the right of first refusal tostates that went red the last time!
I really, really hope Senator DeMint doesn't do that.
I like DeMint, but if he should endorse that slimebag liberal Romney again, I'm afraid I'd never be able to respect him anymore.
Romney will start to fall like a rock when Perry’s commercials hit the airways. He won’t be able to run from the liberal record and statements that will be played ad nauseum in which he backs gun control and abortion!!
I heard on Rush today that Perry is about to put ads up that hit Romney so hard that your TV will bleed.
I sure hope so, because someone needs to destroy Romney.
I don’t think it would help Perry, but if he destroys Romney, the way is clear for Cain to take it all.
Both DeMint and Palin are going to be reviewed for their actions prior to Iowa.
This lie push poll by CNN shows the depth of lies which the Establishment will go to ensure a RINO like Romney is the nominee.
DeMint and Palin see that unless the conservatives support one conservative Romney will win this with a combination of organization, money and liberal media BS.
DeMint and Palin need to step up and endorse a real conservative very soon...or I’m going to lose a lot of respect for them.
RCP Average for Iowa -—————————Cain +5.5
RCP Average for South Carolina -————Cain +5.7
CNN/Time poll? That has real credibility (sarc).
Absolutely. I would say the source of the poll (CNN/Time) negates any & all supposed results that they fabricated to begin with.
Personally, I think Palin already let it go too far. If she jumps on as a Johnny Come Lately she will have little credibility and little influence. She either should have run or endorsed a strong conservative. Fence sitting makes her just another ex-politician.
We still have a little while before the first primary.
I’m giving Palin a chance to do the right thing....if that slime ball Romney wins I’m going to have to blow up a doghouse or something.
Crap like this poll, edges me to the “I wont vote for Romney, despite Obama category”....
Cain is up big in Iowa and SC in the last few polls and all of a sudden Romney is now up.....it’s a massaged BS Poll...but they are trying to build up the “Romney is invincible” facade.
Uh huh... yeah... right.
In the last debate, Anderson Cooper cited a CNN polls showing Romney at 26% and Cain at 25% which was well within the margin of error. But yet, Anderson went making a statement that Romney was the “front runner” and ignoring Cain’s number at 25%.
Yes, CNN really wants Romney vs 0bama.
How does this jive with the other article:
GOP Primary Voters Get on the Cain Train (Fox Poll)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2798383/posts
(Haven’t had time to read either thread tonight, so maybe it’s been answered already.)
please try to do what you can to stop Mittster in one of the early states. Y’all don’t hafta live there to do some campaigning. Get imaginative.
I will stay engaged in the NH effort. As much as I can.
I think what is missing is who was polled. Only in New Hampshire, for part of it, did they look at who voted in the 2008 primary.
Likely primary voters and registered Republicans are two different groups.
Iowa: registered Republicans
New Hampshire: 400 registered Republicans or independents who voted in the 2008 Republican primary;
South Carolina: 400 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents
Florida: 401 registered Republicans
Palin’s GONE...There is no Palin.
Oh, I missed William Shatner beaming her up.
...and I was so looking forward to her RNC Convention speech.
I really don’t go by endorsements. Do you think that many people can’t make up their own mind and go by what someone says. Just curious. Thanks
Melissa
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.