Posted on 10/26/2011 10:45:28 AM PDT by TheBigB
Despite an upside down approval rating, President Barack Obama leads the Republican frontrunners in the crucial swing state of Ohio.
According to a Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday, Ohioans would choose Obama over leading Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney by 45 percent to 41 percent, and has a wider lead over candidates Herman Cain and Rick Perry. He leads Perry by an 11-point margin (47 percent to 36 percent) and Cain by 8 points (47 percent to 39 percent).
Obama has widened his lead over Romney and Perry since last month, and this is the first time Quinnipiac has pitted him against Cain. In September, Obama had a narrow 3-point lead over Perry, which he has now tripled. Last month, he and Romney were statistically tied, 44 percent to 42 percent, but the president has edged forward since.
These gains come in spite of Obama’s underwater job approval rating in the state, with just 43 percent saying they approve of his job performance and 51 percent saying they disapprove. He is particular unpopular among independents, 55 percent of whom disapprove of his performance while just 35 percent approve.
Romney is the Republican candidate who appears to have most successfully wooed that important demographic, and they break for him 43 percent to 36 percent when he is pitted against Obama. If Cain is the nominee, independents are split between him and the president, with 40 percent going to each. Perry, however, holds little appeal for independent voters. Independents choose Obama over him 40 percent to 35 percent.
Among Republicans, Cain is the favorite for the nomination, getting 28 percent of the vote, followed by Romney who gets 23 percent. Perry’s fortunes, on the other hand have fallen and he now sits at 4 percent, down from 20 percent last month. Cain has seen the opposite progression, jumping 21 points in the state since last month. Meanwhile, Romney has remained constant. Ron Paul holds third place in the state with 8 percent, closely followed by Newt Gingrich with 7 percent.
Cain, who was written off by many as a flash in the pan, has nonetheless maintained his standing in recent polls. Public Policy Polling found him leading the field in Wisconsin, and narrowly trailing Romney in Nevada. A New York Times/CBS poll released Wednesday found him leading nationally.
The Quinnipiac poll is based on a survey of 1,668 Ohio voters from October 17 to October 23, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points. The sample of Republican primary voters included 542 voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points
Half of the public doesn’t know enough about the GOP candidates to have an opinion about them. This kind of poll is useful only to see how close Obummer can get to 50.
I’ll see if I can find more. :^)
Anyone energizing the taxpayers? There are very few auto, steel, and rubber union workers left in Ohio. Most union members are white collar government workers.
2. Horse touting is not news.
Push Poll on the basis of policy and Philosophy to educate the populace.
Then our Republican candidates need to get out front and starting beating this stuff down. No more silly fist fights on TV, no more answers to “gotcha” questions. No more arguing AGAINST each other. Time to UNITE.
Time to EDUCATE this dumbed down country on the principles of a free marketing system and the ills of cowtowing to unions ...(see exhibit A: Greece.)
If Obama loses the Presidency...perhaps he can go to Ohio and become their Governor.
Ohio deserves everything they get.
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican........26%
Democrat...........33
Independent......33
Other...................4
DK/NA.................3
Women..............53%
Men...................47
FWIW.
As a former buckeye, I tend to agrtee with you as
I know Toledo (hometown) and Unions...I have voted
for President since 1948.....Truman, yes. since that
time, Kennedy, rest Republicans. I actually think that
the best candidate to beat “Randy Rhetoric” would be
Cain....at least he would get portion of the black vote...
ps: been in Caliornia since WW2. Obama will BS huis way,
Tea Party backing(r’S) my slow him down..hopefully. jk
Did you read what top Dem strategist James Carville said today? He seems awfully worried. And now with Dems joined at the hip with Occupy Wall Street, they are becoming even more radicalized than ever. This won’t sit well in Middle America.
I don’t buy it. I believe Ohio is going to be fought over, but will ultimately go GOP by several percentage points. We’ll see. Depends on the GOP candidate for sure, but I personally believe, that short of some unbelievable occurance between now and then, that a strong GOP candidate is going to have a good shot at a landslide.
At least I pray GOd and will work my heart out that it is so.
lies. Obama will lose all 50 states. He won’t even win his home state....because Kenya is not a state, yet.
Ohio is a 50 - 50 state. Oddly enough 50% of Americans don’t pay federal income taxes. Coincidence?
So that poll is giving dims a 7 point lead and a 6 point lead in women?
And O still doesn’t hit 50 in a purple state? He’s in trouble.
I don't believe it will be a "walk in the park", but I believe that any GOP nominee will carry Ohio, and by several points. This poll has always shown very poor performance in polling Ohio, and the sampling in this poll is way out of whack compared to actual turnout in 2010.
In addition, the last election was such a wipeout for the Dems that there are no Democrats in statewide offices, and their numbers in the General Assembly have left them powerless. Are we to believe than an electorate that turned out so many Democrats will do an about-face and reelect an unpopular Obama?
I'm not overconfident, but I am confident.
I think we all agree that the Treason Media will pull out every stop to confuse and demoralize the anti-Obama opposition. Stunts such as this “poll” will be typical. You know where you undersample Republicans and pretend the results are definitive and the truth.
In REALITY it lies constantly. Using a sample of less than 32.5% Republicans in a Republican dominated state is standard operating procedure. Apparently the pollster thinks we are too stoopid to be able to see through their attempts at deception. Add about 17.5% percent to the Republican totals to get a true view of the voter feelings, in other words a GOP landslide.
I don’t think anyone thinks the GOP will get a walk in the park.
Of course Hussein doesn’t think he’ll get one either. Voter fraud and class warfare will have to be ramped up big time. He is going to give up on the white vote and probably the elderly, too.
The GOP will have a flawed candidate. But the Demonrats will have Hussein. And Hussein, as Americans have started to realize en masse, sucks.
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