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Doomed German Satellite to Fall to Earth This Weekend
Space.com ^ | 10-21-2011 | Denise Chow

Posted on 10/21/2011 12:50:44 PM PDT by Red Badger

A defunct German satellite is expected to fall to Earth this weekend, with experts predicting that up to 30 big pieces of the junked spacecraft could hit the planet. But exactly when and where the satellite will fall remains a mystery.

The 2.7-ton Roentgen Satellite, or ROSAT, will likely plummet to Earth on Saturday or Sunday (Oct. 22 or 23), according to the latest update from the German Aerospace Center.

"Currently, the re-entry date can only be calculated to within plus/minus one day," agency officials said in a statement. "This time slot of uncertainty will be reduced as the date of re-entry approaches. However, even one day before re-entry, the estimate will only be accurate to within plus/minus five hours."

ROSAT weighs about 5,348 pounds (2,426 kilograms) and launched into orbit in June 1990 as part of a joint mission by Germany, the United States and the United Kingdom. In 1998, the satellite's star tracker failed, which caused its X-ray sensors to point directly at the sun. This permanently damaged the spacecraft, and ROSAT was officially decommissioned in February 1999. [Photos of Doomed ROSAT Satellite]

The falling German satellite's impending plunge through the atmosphere comes about a month after an old NASA climate satellite also fell uncontrolled to Earth, in what was a much publicized event. The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) splashed into the Pacific Ocean, well away from the North American coastline, on Sept. 24.

The ROSAT spacecraft is smaller than the UARS satellite, which was about the size of a school bus and weighed about 6 1/2 tons. Still, German space officials expect ROSAT to drop debris along a 50-mile (80-km) stretch of the Earth's surface.

The satellite's orbit reaches from the latitudes of 53 degrees north and south, which means ROSAT could fall anywhere in an area stretching from Canada to South America. While officials have stated that there is a 1-in-2,000 chance that a piece of ROSAT could strike someone somewhere on Earth, the odds of any debris landing in a densely populated area are remote.

Germany's X-ray ROSAT observatory is expected to break up as it falls to Earth, but some large pieces are expected to survive the intense heat of re-entry. Up to 30 pieces of debris, totaling 1.9 tons (1.7 metric tons), could reach the Earth's surface, German aerospace officials said. These fragments will likely be pieces of the satellite's heat resistant mirrors and ceramic parts.

Mission controllers are actively tracking the satellite as its orbit gradually decays, but officials will not be able to make more precise determinations of when and where the satellite will fall until a few hours before ROSAT impacts the Earth.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Germany; Technical
KEYWORDS: debris; germansatellite; germany; reentry; rosat; satellite; satellitejunk; spacejunk; xrayobservatory
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To: Red Badger

You are talking about Don Lafontaine.

I like comedian Pablo Francisco’s imitation of him in Little Totilla Boy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y9pAv-z2ens

Then put both of them and comedian Frank Caliendo together and its even better!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdKc-detk7c


61 posted on 10/22/2011 6:36:01 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Evil Slayer

62 posted on 10/22/2011 6:39:19 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Red Badger; Charles Henrickson; martin_fierro

Ich bin ein Burnupper


63 posted on 10/22/2011 7:06:40 AM PDT by mikrofon (Ich bin ein Tagliner)
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To: Red Badger

http://wimp.com/nasasatellite/


64 posted on 10/22/2011 7:20:21 AM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Evil Slayer

65 posted on 10/22/2011 7:51:48 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Amberdawn; dfwgator; lbryce
I hope it hits the EU headquarters...

Pretty much the same thing as hitting Mecca.

66 posted on 10/22/2011 8:14:27 AM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: GeronL
For those who still remember the 50s-60s family bomb shelters, here's one. And it's ROSAT proof too. :-)


67 posted on 10/22/2011 8:28:27 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Does this mean it is more likely to hit the US?


68 posted on 10/22/2011 11:19:24 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: Evil Slayer

So is NASA following this re-entry crash or are they too busy sitting in Obama rubber rooms? I couldn’t find any info on NASA’s website.


69 posted on 10/22/2011 11:40:46 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: Evil Slayer

That is the size of new apartments in the future Soviet America.


70 posted on 10/22/2011 12:48:05 PM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Happiness)
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To: penelopesire

No, because the chance of being hit (1 in 2,000) during the specified forecast remains the same. It’ll cover all of the continents. Just keep an eye out for the future predictions as they come available. As the window narrows they’ll be able to pinpoint the time a little more accurately. Whether anyone sees it re-enter the atmosphere is another story.


71 posted on 10/22/2011 12:59:51 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Thanks for answering my post. I just noticed that DFW(where we live) is right under one of the ground tracks. We were right under Columbia when it broke apart and heard sonic booms as it re-entered. My husband and I were having coffee and a few minutes after we heard the booms, it broke on the news that it had blown up.

I did find this nifty little tracker just now:

http://www.n2yo.com/

It’s near Cuba right now.


72 posted on 10/22/2011 1:10:39 PM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: Red Badger

It’s taken over 70 years but Germany may finally be able to physically attack the USA.


73 posted on 10/22/2011 1:13:03 PM PDT by Rebelbase (Cain/Rubio?)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Actually..that was the wrong satellite.Here is the tracker for ROsat:

http://www.n2yo.com/?s=20638

It is passing near Hawaii now.


74 posted on 10/22/2011 1:17:21 PM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: penelopesire


Updated with newer data point derived from German radar. Looks like perigee is reaching down to 103 miles in altitude.

According to USSTRATCOM re-entry is going to be south of Chongking, China which is coming up pretty quick at 7:04PM PDT. I believe it is quite populated in that area.
http://www.spaceflight101.com/rosat-impact-prediction.html

Twitter users are reporting from various places they aren't getting any visuals on it so it is possible it is already down.

ROSAT Twitter feed

Google site on ROSAT
75 posted on 10/22/2011 6:54:06 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

According to the ROSAT Twitter feed the perigee altitude is down to 87 miles with re-entry usually around 76.

“...orbit 87.31 minutes 139.6 x 141.9 km”

Maybe the next pass?


76 posted on 10/22/2011 7:10:11 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Anoter Twitter feed
http://twitter.com/#!/search?q=%23ROSAT
say it was seen in Thailand on this pass before going over China.


77 posted on 10/22/2011 7:13:12 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

I had been watching off and on yesterday and kinda thought it would be today by the stats that the stupid google track was giving. I researched a little and knew it was the 75 mile mark when it would start breaking up and never saw the stats go below 100 miles. Then fell asleep on the couch and missed the whole thing....lol!


78 posted on 10/23/2011 5:26:53 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: penelopesire; Jack Hydrazine
ROSAT-LATEST NEWS
79 posted on 10/23/2011 5:44:19 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Jack Hydrazine
ROSAT-ORBIT VIEWS

Click your refresh key to update views.

80 posted on 10/23/2011 5:51:44 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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