Thanks mandaladon.
Posted on 09/11/2011 5:04:05 PM PDT by mandaladon
New York’s 9th Congressional District isn’t the likeliest place for a national political referendum.
Vice President Al Gore won it with 67 percent of the vote in 2000, and Barack Obama carried it by 11 percentage points eight years later. It has been held by a string of high-profile Democrats — including Sen. Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) and the late Geraldine Ferraro — for decades. And yet, the special election set for Tuesday in the Brooklyn and Queens areas between state Assemblyman David Weprin (D) and businessman Bob Turner (R) — a race occasioned by the scandal and subsequent resignation of Rep. Anthony Weiner (D) — is surprisingly close, the result, many observers suggest, of the toxic national political environment and Obama’s low poll ratings.
“Obama wins no popularity contests here,” said Hank Sheinkopf, a Democratic consultant in New York.
In a Siena College poll released late last week, Turner held a six-point edge over Weprin. Obama’s approval rating stood at 43 percent, with 54 percent disapproving.
“Certainly Obama job approval in the 40s as opposed to 50s depresses the Democratic base,” said one Democratic consultant who is monitoring the race, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the election frankly. “And in a small-turnout electorate, this has consequences.”
Republicans — and even some Democrats — are painting the race as an Obama referendum. Ed Koch, a Democratic former mayor of New York, endorsed Turner and likened the impact of his possible victory to that of Republican Scott Brown in 2010 in the special Senate election in Massachusetts. A vote for Turner, Koch said, would “register a protest against the positions of President Obama and the Republican leadership on a number of key issues.”
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
NO Obummer fly in. What gives. He is such a great campaigner
The one in pants is Weprin, who apparently chose not to wear his yarmulke to the gay pride parade. Weprin voted for gay marriage, which might be what actually costs him this election in a heavily Catholic and religious Jewish constituency.
“Stiff Competition to Fill Wiener’s Seat”
LOL
Well I figured Weprin was the one with pants, but he might as well have been the “Devil with the blue dress on.”
The Democrats (DNC) have started running some heavy hitting, negative ads against Turner. I cannot believe anyone could take some of the garbage they are saying seriously, but it has apparently worked for them in the past, so they will keep it up. (Turner wants to take away your Social Security, etc., etc.,) I with the RNC would assist Turner and run some ads on his behalf.
If the dems lose this seat they will freak and start to seriously think about the current subtle chatter about dumping Obama. This is a deep deep blue seat that is close to flipping red.
I disagree that this lead is an indication that the dems are vulnerable although I believe they are. You would expect any Congressman who flops his weiner around would be in trouble in any election year.
guy on right waving the flag.
“This is a deep deep blue seat that is close to flipping red.”
More like light blue. Obama got 55% here, only 2 points higher than his nationwide percentage. It’s the most Republican CD in NYC excluding Staten Island.
Nice to see the media setting the table. Let’s see the victory for us first. I expect wholesale voter fraud.
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