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Six Reasons the Supercommittee Will Succeed
Real Clear Politics ^ | 09/03/2011 | Paul Weinstein

Posted on 09/04/2011 4:13:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Whatever you think of Standard and Poor’s decision to downgrade America’s credit, their justification was fairly plain. Political gridlock has managed to scuttle several successive efforts to get a handle on the federal debt. And few, if anyone, is sanguine that the new “supercommittee” in Congress will have any better luck.

But a closer look reveals that, despite the nation’s pessimism, there are several reasons to believe that the 12-member supercommittee may be able to implement a plan that sets the nation back on track. The setup has been rigged to force a deal. So, in an age where “shorting” the market has become a sort of dirty word, the smart money may be in betting that Washington will enact a responsible comprehensive budget framework by the end of the year

First, the dynamics of the committee itself suggest that that building sufficient support in the room will be that much more palatable. Negotiators need only corral seven of the twelve members (50 percent plus one) to send any deal straight to the floor of both houses of Congress. By comparison, the Bowles-Simpson Fiscal Commission was required to receive a full 77 percent, and managed only 61. In essence, the fact that a decision by any single member could boost any proposal past the required threshold will compel every member of the commission to negotiate in a serious manner. That diminishes the likelihood that political shenanigans will scuttle this deal like they have undermined previous negotiations.

Second, the supercommittee doesn’t have to start from scratch. Several proposals already developed–the Fiscal Commission, the Gang of Six, the Rivlin-Domenici plan, and the Obama-Boehner discussions—have already outlined the parameters of what might be in a grand bargain. As a result, most members of the supercommittee understand where the tradeoffs can be made.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: budget; catfoodcommittee; debt; jointcommittee; politboro; supercommittee; supercongress
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1 posted on 09/04/2011 4:13:31 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

In other words, we are fraked and will be beyond fraked when they are finished, Mr. Weinstein?


2 posted on 09/04/2011 4:14:47 PM PDT by cranked
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To: SeekAndFind

believe that when i see it.


3 posted on 09/04/2011 4:19:28 PM PDT by ken21 (ruling class dem + rino progressives -- destroying america for 150 years.)
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To: ken21

How odd. Your comment ended up as a ping to me. I wonder how that happened, lol!


4 posted on 09/04/2011 4:21:19 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Run, Sarah, Run! Please!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Unconstitutional.


5 posted on 09/04/2011 4:23:38 PM PDT by crz
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To: SeekAndFind

a) a decision by any single member could boost any proposal past the required threshold
b) [therefore compelling] every member of the commission to negotiate in a serious manner.
c) That diminishes the likelihood that political shenanigans will scuttle this deal

Sorry; c does not follow from b, and b does not follow from a.


6 posted on 09/04/2011 4:23:40 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Trust in God, but row away from the rocks!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Political gridlock has managed to scuttle several successive efforts to get a handle on the federal debt.

Utter nonsense. The Dems had the Presidency and both houses, and would not even pass a budget. It is not political gridlock that is preventing getting a handle on the debt, it is the MSM blasting the Republicans anytime they try to do so.

7 posted on 09/04/2011 4:24:16 PM PDT by marktwain (In an age of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.)
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To: miss marmelstein; ken21

>> I wonder how that happened

bcc (”blind carbon ping”)


8 posted on 09/04/2011 4:25:08 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Trust in God, but row away from the rocks!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Unconstitutional assembly, thought up by an illegal president.
9 posted on 09/04/2011 4:26:53 PM PDT by BarbM (Portuguese Dog--Kenyan president)
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To: BarbM

YOU ARE RIGHT ON!

Here is what it violates;

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.

I set my congressman right smack on his ass about this. I asked. “Congressman, who do we redress our grievances to and since you are our voice and represent us in congress, who do we petition since no bill coming from that committee can be amended?” “So therefore, you voted to take away our rights to petition to amend and redress of grievances.”

He had no answer.


10 posted on 09/04/2011 4:32:08 PM PDT by crz
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To: BarbM

They created an Oligarchy..not that we didnt have one before...


11 posted on 09/04/2011 4:33:53 PM PDT by crz
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To: miss marmelstein

‘puter ricochet.


12 posted on 09/04/2011 4:37:02 PM PDT by ken21 (ruling class dem + rino progressives -- destroying america for 150 years.)
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To: crz

Unconstitutional.


And delusional.


13 posted on 09/04/2011 4:39:11 PM PDT by patriot preacher
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To: patriot preacher

I Love these Friday Silliness threads!


14 posted on 09/04/2011 4:50:43 PM PDT by Thom Pain (OMG ABO)
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To: SeekAndFind

Succeed at what? Mothballing 3 Aircraft Carriers and reducing the Army/Marines by 100K men? Gutting the military retirement system and screwing those recently retired? These are going to be some “interesting times” and not in a good way either.


15 posted on 09/04/2011 4:53:23 PM PDT by MSF BU (YR'S Please Support our troops: JOIN THEM!)
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To: SeekAndFind

There should be no supercommittee. Congress simply lacks the nads and the integrity to make the right and hard decisions. It’s not constitutional and sets a bad precedent.


16 posted on 09/04/2011 4:54:13 PM PDT by lurk
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To: SeekAndFind
So, in an age where “shorting” the market has become a sort of dirty word, the smart money may be in betting that Washington will enact a responsible comprehensive budget framework by the end of the year.

Translation: Taxes out the wazoo, and not one cent of spending cuts.

Other than imaginary spending cuts fifty years from now.

17 posted on 09/04/2011 5:01:11 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Palin is coming, and the Tea Party is coming with her.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The 'supercommittee' is unconstitutional.

It is a disgrace that the GOP agreed to it.

18 posted on 09/04/2011 5:11:14 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: lurk

Perfectly Constitutional. Article I, Section 5 allows Congress to make whatever rules they please for conducting business. As long as they hold a vote at the end of it all, it’s legal. But that doesn’t make it a good idea.


19 posted on 09/04/2011 5:17:04 PM PDT by Mountain Troll (My investment plan - Canned food and shotguns)
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To: SeekAndFind
For it to "succeed" it would have to cut Entitlements and Welfare.

Call me what that happens.


20 posted on 09/04/2011 5:32:01 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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