Posted on 08/12/2011 6:49:45 PM PDT by PMAS
Obama's Approval Rating Plummets in New York By Caitlin Huey-Burns - August 12, 2011
President Obama's approval rating has taken a sharp dive in the Democratic stronghold of New York, according to a new survey released Friday.
A Quinnipiac University poll found 49 percent of voters disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, while 45 percent approve, marking the first time the president's approval numbers have been under water in a Quinnipiac poll taken in the Empire State. Obama has seen his numbers drop sharply since a June Quinnipiac survey in which 57 percent approved of his performance and 38 percent did not.
The poll's director, Maurice Carroll, said in a statement that the congressional drama over raising the nation's debt ceiling "devastated President Barack Obama's numbers even in true blue New York."
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I will say this, I hardly know any Obama supporters here in NY, meaning anyone who thinks he is doing a good job at this point, even friends and co- workers who don’t follow politics at all have woken up.
No saying he will lose NY, but it is possible.
If New York gets called for the Republican candidate on election night, it's time to start popping the champagne corks.
Obama’s policies (also supported by Schumer) have been devastating to the financial services industry, which is primarily based in NYC. You really wonder why the NYers have continued to support either of those guys.
No one is talking landslide or even that zerO will lose NY - it is just an indicator that his approval ratings are dropping everywhere and are probably lower than the nationwide polls are suggesting.
But if he only wins NY by 52%, it will be all over before nightfall out west.
No one is talking landslide or even that zerO will lose NY - it is just an indicator that his approval ratings are dropping everywhere and are probably lower than the nationwide polls are suggesting.
But if he only wins NY by 52%, it will be all over before nightfall out west.
Dems are finally beginning to realize that Obama is an empty suit.
Too many Union members in NY and too many libs, not to mention most of the republican candidates are weak and go along to get along with the rats.
Wasn't it the same way in 1980 and 1984 when Ronald Reagan won New York?
He’ll win New York. The Empire State hasn’t gone to the GOP since 1984.
The polls are deceptive. He beats a generic Republican candidate. Obama can still carry New York and California. It doesn’t matter if the economy is in the tank.
This is great news. But his numbers should really be down at about 20% nationally. Unfortunately, many of the American people still haven’t woken up.
2. Demographics in the state have changed considerably. In addition to immigration, the state once had a significant population of culturally conservative Democrats who voted for Reagan in protest against what their party had become on issues like bussing and criminal justice. Most of these folks are now pushing up daisies six feet under, and failed to pass on their values/outlook to their children.
3. Upstate had bled population, and the suburbs have trended Dem since the 90s. Even if we were able to win Suffolk (where Bush received 49% in 2004, losing to Kerry by only a few thousand votes), it still couldn't overcome the margins for Obama in the city.
In order for a Republican to win statewide, they must post high victory margins in the suburbs (a tough task for anyone to the right of Pataki) and post a respectable losing margin in the city. This is how Nixon and Reagan did it, but that was another place and time. Chance of a GOP pickup is highly unlikely.
2. Demographics in the state have changed considerably. In addition to immigration, the state once had a significant population of culturally conservative Democrats who voted for Reagan in protest against what their party had become on issues like bussing and criminal justice. Most of these folks are now pushing up daisies six feet under, and failed to pass on their values/outlook to their children.
3. Upstate had bled population, and the suburbs have trended Dem since the 90s. Even if we were able to win Suffolk (where Bush received 49% in 2004, losing to Kerry by only a few thousand votes), it still couldn't overcome the margins for Obama in the city.
In order for a Republican to win statewide, they must post high victory margins in the suburbs (a tough task for anyone to the right of Pataki) and post a respectable losing margin in the city. This is how Nixon and Reagan did it, but that was another place and time. Chance of a GOP pickup is highly unlikely.
- “If obuma loses New York state, the only states he wins are New Hampshire, Lichenstein and France.”
What? Aren’t you confused with Vermont? Why do you say New Hampshire? Bush won NH in 2000 and barely lost it to local boy Kerry in 2004. And OK, they’re a bit pre-disposed to somewhat local boy Romney. But we’ve had Republican Senators there for years - Gregg, Sununu, Ayotte, etc...
Of all the northeast/mid-atlantic states, NH is the most favorable to the GOP, very competitive for us. If Obama loses any northeast states in 2012, I would put my money on NH being the most likely.
Not sure why you would equate NH with the Obama-loving French...
“Aren’t you confused with Vermont?”
Yep.
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