With 2.68% of the precincts reporting:
JANICE HAHN (D) 21,365 54.24%
CRAIG HUEY (R) 18,025 45.76%
One can only hope, but this is CA.
This is going to be a tough one to pull off with no third party candidate to take from the Dem. We should have put up a Communist Party USA candidate to take a third of the votes from Hahn.
I don’t think enough people in that district have had enough of the dimoKKKRATS yet. Janice Hahn has a lot of name recognition. This would be a big upset if Craig was to win.
If the Dems don’t win, they will just “find” some lost ballot boxes on the Indian reservation.
As I posted on another thread, I found this piece of info: “A poll conducted by the Daily Kos and Services Employees International Union shortly before the July 2011 election had Hahn in the lead over Huey by 8 points, (52 percent to 44 percent) with 4 percent undecided.
If Hahn can on muster and 8 point lead in a a Daily Kos/SEIU poll, I think Hahn has a shot
I wonder if the vote so far is the mail-in balloting counted earlier. According to the website there’s 267 precincts with 342,000 voters registered. Yet with 2.68% of precincts reported they have about 12% of registered voters already voting.
I’d take a baseline of the 3,340 difference in favor of the Dem, figure that was the early vote, and watch the difference for a while. Maybe Republicans are more energized and will do more same-day voting?
Of course, everything I’m speculating on above could be wrong.
I have zero expectations for any election in NY or CA anymore. Both are lost causes. If we somehow grabbed this seat, it would be an impressive feat because voters in these two states continue to be in ostrich mode. Even states like Wisconsin, Michigan and PA have made near 180s in the past year. Hell, Massachusetts replaced Kennedy with a Republican. Still, CA and NY love their libs.
bump for later here on the east coast....
half hour later, the LA County Clerk’s site still shows only 2.68 reporting. grrrrrrrrrrr.
BMP for later read and use the link to find out the results...
For the record:
JANICE HAHN DEM 22,736 54.08
CRAIG HUEY REP 19,303 45.92
TOTAL PRECINCTS 261 PRECINCTS REPORTING 27 10.34%
REGISTRATION 342,492
Hahn is a Moron, but it really doesn't matter.
When it comes to Democrat Voters, you really can't fix stupid.
BTW - I have no illusions regarding the 2012 Presidential Election. Obama winning reelection wouldn't surprise me at all. This Country is full or uninformed Sheeple.
There were 76,221 voters or 22% turn out total.
Almost 67,000 voted Republican in the district back in November 2010, more than enough to have put Huey over the top but they just didn't show up despite a month to cast their ballots.
If there's a positive take away, the margin was only 9% which seems low given the registration advantage, name recognition, financial backing, union support, family dynasty, voting patterns and other factors all in Hahn's favor.
Good for Craig Huey. Shame on no-show GOP voters! Shame on those who voted to expand the Hahn dynasty into Congress directly or by apathetic acquiescence.
The district has gone Dem 3 to 1, or better, in recent cycles.
As of Date: 07/12/2011 Time: 23:31 Votes Percent
US REPRESENTATIVE 36 DIST TERM ENDS 01/03/13
JANICE HAHN DEM 41,585 54.56
CRAIG HUEY REP 34,636 45.44
TOTAL PRECINCTS 261 PRECINCTS REPORTING 261 100.00
REGISTRATION 342,492