I wonder if the vote so far is the mail-in balloting counted earlier. According to the website there’s 267 precincts with 342,000 voters registered. Yet with 2.68% of precincts reported they have about 12% of registered voters already voting.
I’d take a baseline of the 3,340 difference in favor of the Dem, figure that was the early vote, and watch the difference for a while. Maybe Republicans are more energized and will do more same-day voting?
Of course, everything I’m speculating on above could be wrong.
Would the mail in be pro-rat?