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Politics Versus Reality (Thomas Sowell)
Creators Syndicate ^ | July 5, 2011 | Thomas Sowell

Posted on 07/02/2011 12:41:22 PM PDT by jazusamo

 

It is hard to understand politics if you are hung up on reality. Politicians leave reality to others. What matters in politics is what you can get the voters to believe, whether it bears any resemblance to reality or not.

Not only among politicians, but also among much of the media, and even among some of the public, the quest is not for truth about reality but for talking points that fit a vision or advance an agenda. Some seem to see it as a personal contest about who is best at fencing with words.

The current controversy over whether to deal with our massive national debt by cutting spending, or whether instead to raise tax rates on "the rich," is a classic example of talking points versus reality.

Most of those who favor simply raising tax rates on "the rich" — or who say that we cannot afford to allow the Bush "tax cuts for the rich" to continue — show not the slightest interest in the history of what has actually happened when tax rates were raised to high levels on "the rich," as compared to what has actually happened when there have been "tax cuts for the rich."

As far as such people are concerned, those questions have already been settled by their talking points. Why confuse the issue by digging into empirical evidence about what has actually happened when one policy or the other was followed?

The political battles about whether to have high tax rates on people in high income brackets or to instead have "tax cuts for the rich" have been fought out in at least four different administrations in the 20th century — under Presidents Calvin Coolidge, John F. Kennedy, Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush.

The empirical facts are there, but they mean nothing if people don't look at them, and instead rely on talking points.

The first time this political battle was fought, during the Coolidge administration, the tax-cutters won. The data show that "the rich" supplied less tax revenue to the government when the top income tax rate was 73 percent in 1921 than they supplied after the income tax rate was reduced to 24 percent in 1925.

Because high tax rates can easily be avoided, both then and now, "the rich" were much less affected by high tax rates than was the economy and the people who were looking for jobs. After the Coolidge tax cuts, the increased economic activity led to unemployment rates that ranged from a high of 4.2 percent to a low of 1.8 percent.

But that is only a fact about reality — and, for many, reality has no such appeal as talking points.

The same preference for talking points, and the same lack of interest in digging into the facts about realities, prevails today in discussions of whether to have a government-controlled medical system.

Since there are various countries, such as Canada and Britain, that have the kind of government-controlled medical systems that some Americans advocate, you might think that there would be great interest in the quality of medical care in these countries.

The data are readily available as to how many weeks or months people have to wait to see a primary care physician in such countries, and how many additional weeks or months they have to wait after they are referred to a surgeon or other specialist. There are data on how often their governments allow patients to receive the latest pharmaceutical drugs, as compared to how often Americans use such advanced medications.

But supporters of government medical care show virtually no interest in such realities. Their big talking point is that the life expectancy in the United States is not as long as in those other countries. End of discussion, as far as they are concerned.

They have no interest in the reality that medical care has much less effect on death rates from homicide, obesity, and narcotics addiction than it has on death rates from cancer or other conditions that doctors can do something about. Americans survive various cancers better than people anywhere else. Americans also get to see doctors much sooner for medical treatment in general.

Talking points trump reality in political discussions of many other issues, from gun control to rent control. Reality simply does not have the pizzazz of clever talking points.



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: sowell; thomassowell

1 posted on 07/02/2011 12:41:23 PM PDT by jazusamo
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To: abigail2; Amalie; American Quilter; arthurus; awelliott; Bahbah; bamahead; Battle Axe; ...
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2 posted on 07/02/2011 12:45:02 PM PDT by jazusamo (His [Obama's] political base---the young, the left and the thoughtless: Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

As as result talking points will destroy us and reality will be ignored. Evil on the throne, decency and truth on the gallows.


3 posted on 07/02/2011 12:52:49 PM PDT by mulligan
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To: jazusamo

“It is hard to understand politics if you are hung up on reality. Politicians leave reality to others. What matters in politics is what you can get the voters to believe, whether it bears any resemblance to reality or not.”

The classic example of the best way to write an essay. The opening paragraphs really grabs your attention. Plus, what he says is so very true. Politics and reality clash. People are so willing to believe anything, no matter how ridiculous.


4 posted on 07/02/2011 12:57:06 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: jazusamo

Please bump the Freepathon or click above and donate or become a monthly donor!

5 posted on 07/02/2011 1:20:16 PM PDT by jazusamo (His [Obama's] political base---the young, the left and the thoughtless: Thomas Sowell)
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To: mulligan

If the lib/progressives/rinos used facts & empirical data, and made logical decisions based on those facts, they would be conservatives.


6 posted on 07/02/2011 1:31:00 PM PDT by Thom Pain (Raising Tax RATES decreses the Tax REVENUES. Spread the word.)
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To: Thom Pain
Raising tax rates decreases the tax revenues. Spread the word.
Nice tagline (ignoring the typo), and appropriate to a Thomas Sowell thread.

A rate is a price, and a tax rate is a price on legitimacy. And just as the butcher, baker, and candlestick maker set rates but cannot set sales, the government can set tax rates but cannot set tax revenue - in all cases, higher rates reduce the quantity which is purchased. The butcher, baker, candlestick maker and the government all face the reality of diminishing returns as prices are raised. But the tyranny advocate (whose name is legion, even in America) is too besotted by the idea of government power to be able to accept the idea of intrinsic limits to all power.

Back when Arlen Spector was doing a sometimes-passable imitation of a Republican, he tried to force a tyranny advocate to admit that there was some tax rate at which revenue would be less than perfectly proportional to tax rate. He marched the witness up from a 5% (or so) rate all the way up to a 100% hypothetical rate, with the witness insisting at every step that revenue would go up in strict proportion to the rate. At that point Spector gave up in disgust.

In hindsight, the correct approach to such a witness would be to ask further, what the revenue would be if the tax rate were increased to 200%. Then, if the witness still adhered to the theory of perfect inelasticity of demand, he should have divided the national debt (times 100%) by the revenue the witness had claimed would be yielded by a 100% tax rate - obtaining the tax rate at which the national debt could be retired in a single year according to the theory of perfect inelasticity of demand. I have to think that that much extrapolation would make even the staunchest advocate of tyranny in America blanch.

And extrapolation - a notoriously unreliable mathematical procedure - is precisely what the theory of perfect inelasticity of demand is.

7 posted on 07/02/2011 3:00:29 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (DRAFT PALIN)
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To: jazusamo

Another EXCELLENT article by Thomas Sowell, Bump, and the first line is too funny and sadly too true.


8 posted on 07/02/2011 4:28:12 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion
The whole quote explains the tagline.

"Good intentions will always be pleaded for every assumption of authority. It is hardly too strong to say that the Constitution was made to guard the people against the dangers of good intentions. There are men in all ages who mean to govern well, but they mean to govern. They promise to be good masters, but they mean to be masters." – Daniel Webster

9 posted on 07/02/2011 4:35:07 PM PDT by Mrs. Don-o ("They promise to be good masters, but they mean to be masters." - Daniel Webster)
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To: Mrs. Don-o
"the Constitution was made to guard the people against the dangers of good intentions."
The Constitution is a summation of the lessons of history. "Liberals," besotted by "the fierce urgency of now," foolishly call tendentious news reports "the first draft of history" - and reject the prudent course of guiding the government's actions in light of the stable lessons embedded in the Constitution.
The things which make journalism tendentious being, primarily, the things which journalism does not report, journalism cannot serve as a first draft of unbiased history.

10 posted on 07/03/2011 9:40:02 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (DRAFT PALIN)
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To: jazusamo

Thanks for posting, jaz. Sowell is our armorer. A sixth grader can fully understand the truths Sowell writes, because he is so straight a source of truth. A mind ... to pass the column out as flyers.


11 posted on 07/04/2011 6:15:43 PM PDT by Finny ("Raise hell. Vote smart." -- Ted Nugent)
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