Posted on 05/22/2011 7:40:48 PM PDT by LdSentinal
Raleigh, N.C. – Democrat Kathy Hochul continues to appear poised for an upset victory in Tuesday's special election for Congress in New York's 26th Congressional District. She is polling at 42% to 36% for Republican nominee Jane Corwin and 13% for Tea Party candidate Jack Davis.
Since a PPP poll of the race two weeks ago Hochul has gained 7 points of support and Corwin has gained 5 while Davis has dropped by 11. It appears that Hochul has done a good job of staying above the fray as the campaign has taken on an increasingly negative tenor in its final days. Hochul's favorability is a +14 spread at 51/37, up 8 points from the previous poll when it was +6 at 46/40. Corwin meanwhile has seen a 15 decline in her net favorability. She was already unpopular at -3 (39/42) on our previous poll but that is now much worse at -18 (34/52). Davis has seen the biggest decline in his image though. Voters were evenly split 43/43 in their assessments of him two weeks ago. Now his favorability spread is a horrid -39 with only 23% of voters rating him positively and 62% with a negative opinion.
There's still reason though to think Corwin could pull this race out. By a 41-39 margin voters in the district would like their new member of Congress to caucus with the Republicans rather than the Democrats in the House. Those planning to vote for Davis hold that sentiment by an even wider margin at 48-20. Davis' support has been plummeting and if that trend continues and conservatives who don't really like Corwin hold their nose and end up voting for her anyway she still has a chance to win a narrow victory.
It looks as though there are other problems as well.
Is it too late to get Paladino on the ballot as a socialist candidate?
Hope we can save the seat.
I prefer Texas law on special elections. This would be heading for a runoff if it were in Texas rather than New York.
Why peddle a DemoRAT Propaganda poll ???
PPP is a DNC push poll operation !
What are you trying to do here ????
the 13% candidate should pull out and endorse the republican.
a win is a win and the democrats will use it.
The Siena Poll released yesterday also showed the Democrat winning.
THis poll is pure BS, this district is 70 % gop /30 % rat.
PPP is a Democrat party push polling operation !
There's no reason for him to pull out as he's playing spoiler.
Trojan horse ping.
Actually, the district is only 41% Republican/35% Democrat according to voter registration statistics.
make sure everyone you know who lives in NY26 gets out and votes for Corwin on Tuesday and prove PPP wrong.
THe Siena poll group is another far left polling group and less accurate than these Dem clowns.
The voting district is onlyb 30 % Dem??
You actually believe in this awful economy that 10 % of the GOP will vote for the Rats ?
Do actually fall for these Dem operative push polls ????
Answer the question
Why do you PEDDLE PPP propganda polls here without warning everyone its a Dem party run push poll group ??????
This is a Demo RAT operation !
Internal GOP polls also show the Democrat leading.
why do you promote defeat here ????
what internal polls ????
I read the tea party polling figures there are inflated and no one is fooled by Davis !
Internal polls according to Politico.
That candidate would endorse the rat
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