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The Map: The Crystal Ball’s First 2011 Take on 2012’s Electoral College
U. of VA Center for Politics: Sabato's Crystal Ball ^
| 04/22/2011
| Larry Sabato
Posted on 04/22/2011 6:20:41 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Sabato is an idiot!
I have absolutely no respect for the man or his left leaning politics!
2
posted on
04/22/2011 6:25:40 AM PDT
by
freejohn
To: SeekAndFind
Sabato has apparently been asleep during the past year or so.
It’s as if the 2010 election never happened.
3
posted on
04/22/2011 6:28:27 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Palin '12... Accept No Other)
To: freejohn
I agree! The fact that he is correct most of the time is infuriating!
To: SeekAndFind
In some of the earliest GOP 'straw' polls, Other was getting 80%.
5
posted on
04/22/2011 6:29:46 AM PDT
by
TomGuy
To: SubMareener
Yeah, at this point last election he had the Dems holding the House. What Tea Party?
Pray for America
6
posted on
04/22/2011 6:32:08 AM PDT
by
bray
(Hey Oboehner stop crying and start fighting?)
To: SeekAndFind
I hope Obama thinks Texas and Florida are in play and ends up sinking a ton of money and resources there.
7
posted on
04/22/2011 6:32:56 AM PDT
by
AU72
To: SeekAndFind
With gasoline headed for $6 a gallon, and food prices looking like gold futures, and the Middle East looking like Southeast Asia circa 1960, these numbers and all their blather mean nothing.................
8
posted on
04/22/2011 6:32:56 AM PDT
by
Red Badger
(Mitt Romney: The Harold Stassen of the 21st century........)
To: SubMareener
The fact that he is correct most of the time is infuriating!
He was predicting the Dems holding onto the House less than two months before the election(trying to play the part of propagandist). And only switched his prediction as it got closer... so he wouldn't look foolish. They all do this.
9
posted on
04/22/2011 6:33:49 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Palin '12... Accept No Other)
To: nhwingut
I see it the same way every election cycle. Everything will go back to 2000. Which means, Ohio, Florida. The biggest change will be Wisconsin.
Votes will still be fraudulent in Philly and St. Louis.
10
posted on
04/22/2011 6:41:04 AM PDT
by
EQAndyBuzz
(Who is John Galt?)
To: SeekAndFind
The author ignores recent polling data that puts Florida as a GOP likely.
He also ignores the recent voting results in Wisconsin that would make it a toss-up state.
I believe PA and OH are also leaning GOP
And $4 gas doesn’t help Obama either.
11
posted on
04/22/2011 6:41:26 AM PDT
by
kidd
To: SeekAndFind
While I don’t agree with this map. One thing is for sure, every presidential election will be down to the wire like in 2000, simply because 40% of the population of this country are living off of the government.
12
posted on
04/22/2011 6:44:04 AM PDT
by
BobinIL
To: kidd
PA will never go for the GOP, they can manufacture votes in Philly till they get the numbers they need. WI is a tossup now.IN and FL are likely GOP and OH will be the state that makes or breaks the election.
13
posted on
04/22/2011 6:48:39 AM PDT
by
BobinIL
To: kidd
He also ignores ( in his own state) how “far right” VA went in the last gov race, including our beloved AG, Cuchinelli, who is putting the screws to Obummercare...
As others have stated, Sabato is playing to the lefties until the writing is on the wall...
and he gets PAID by the VA tax payers to do it...
To: SeekAndFind
The story of the 2012 election is going to be how blacks stayed home in droves. Obama has become an embarrassment to them; they won't vote for a Republican but there will not be the enthusiasm there was in '08, IMHO. Leftist media will have yet another opportunity to employ the word "unexpected".
Sabato's work here is predicated largely on the 2008 turnout, and if I'm right it is completely nullified by lack of black turnout alone, not to mention the tea party factor.
15
posted on
04/22/2011 6:53:13 AM PDT
by
wayoverontheright
(The Democratic Party is trying to end "the private sector as we know it".)
To: AU72
He's be counting on two factions in Florida and Texas:
1. Hispanics
2. Fraud
16
posted on
04/22/2011 7:01:44 AM PDT
by
The Sons of Liberty
(Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
To: freejohn
Sabato lives in a time warp. He has no clue what is about to happen in 2012.
17
posted on
04/22/2011 7:52:33 AM PDT
by
Georgia Girl 2
(The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
To: kidd; SortaBichy
And $4 gas doesnt help Obama either.
Yep - that's the elephant in the room; the media can ignore it, but on our weekly trips to the gas station, I hear a whole lotta "FUBO" coming from my fellow filler-uppers.
18
posted on
04/22/2011 7:55:41 AM PDT
by
ErnBatavia
(It's not the Obama Administration....it's the "Obama Regime".)
To: ErnBatavia
Would be better if anti-Obama sticker were next to every gas pump.
To: SeekAndFind
NH & ME will be in the R column!! ME is starting to look at the RATS as PESTS!! NH is going to get back to their LIBERTARIAN THINKING. CT, MA, RI and \/T will be in the MARXIST COLUMN.
20
posted on
04/22/2011 8:08:08 AM PDT
by
ExCTCitizen
(Wanted a keyboard with a working '\/' key!!)
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