Posted on 03/17/2011 6:56:17 PM PDT by Chattering Class of 58
A former United States Geological Survey scientist says a major quake on the West Coast is imminent.
Jim Berkland predicts earthquakes…accurately.
Never heard of him? Perhaps you should—especially if you live on or near the West Coast of the United States, or know someone that does.
Anyone with an average 80 percent success rate predicting earthquakes should command attention, and lately Berkland has been in the limelight of the national media.
"The people that say you cannot predict earthquakes, they don't know what they are talking about," Berkland told the Santa Cruz Sentinel during a 2009 interview.
Appearing on late night radio shows for many years, since the great quake and tsunami that struck northeastern Japan the retired geologist has been finding his booking calendar full. His unpronounceable and difficult-to-spell website, syzygyjob.com, has crashed several times after his latest appearances on FOXNews with Neil Cavuto and the popular talk radio host Michael Savage's show.
While Berkland has scored many direct hits with earthquake predictions—they fall within his self-described "seismec window"—his greatest claim to fame was his accurate prediction of the powerful 1989 temblor that rocked San Fransisco four days before it occurred.
Now the earthquake prognosticator admits he's worried about the prospects of a strong quake hitting the West Coast of the US sometime during March 2011, particularly around March 19th.
The "ring of fire" that encircles the Pacific rim includes the region from Alaska south to South America. During the past several years earthquake and volcanic activity has been on the upswing all along the rim except on the northeastern perimeter.
(Excerpt) Read more at setyoufreenews.com ...
Wouldn’t 100 km or even 10 km
make a plausible difference in a fault stressed ‘just right’ at ‘just the right’ time?
Looks like the naysayers were out early on this one.
Thx.
Gojira is due...he will eat the zombies.
“The truth is a beautiful and terrible thing, and should therefore be treated with great caution.” ~ Albus Dumbledor
What’s your assessment of his success %% after following him for many years?
Though they may come with built-in slaps.
Is Berkland from Berkeley, by any chance? Figures!
No guts, no glory.
Tomorrow's another day...
};^P>
I HEART predictions. Can we go back to last December and analyze the predictions made here, in the tabloids, as well as in the respectable MSM outlets? How come we never do that?
Hmmmmmmmmmm
Have always figured folks bodies were the one thing they had a right to have a say over.
Well, I wish I could say that the only reason I’m interested is on a theoretical basis, but since I live fairly close to Mt. Rainier and right on top of Cascadia, my interest is a little selfish for my own butts sake!
Theories about tidal influences might have some bearing. And we have all heard the anecdotal stuff about animals acting up.
Geology is still an evolving science. It wasn’t until very recently, last six months or so, that they actually started admitting there was some “connectedness” that they had never acknowledged before. Specifically they were talking about the Yellowstone region being connected to the Cascadia volcano complex.
The whole “I predict...” is one thing. But when it crosses over to “I predict...” and send me ten dollars for my DVD then it stretches into a different thing in my mind.
One thing I would like to note is that I’m personally surprised there has not been another large (>8.0) in the same region as last weeks quake.
But things are still rockin and rollin over there!
tap for tomorrow.
Particularly around some kinds of superiors.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hG87v9-ROfw
March 9, 2011 warning ... you can ping the other deniers and have at it - for my part I’m skeptical but willing to entertain new ideas and concepts ... ;-)
Very low tides and good weather this weekend in the Pac NW.
I’m predicting clam die offs at my local clam flats and a draft micro brew at the local pub after the die off.
We’ll all soon know how Berkland’s predictions come out too.
Oh! I didn't know about that!
I know the geological knowledge is still evolving but I tend to look at it as an engineering problem - the analysis of a thin shell structure (earth's crust) that is very non-homogenous subjected to rotational and gravitational forces. Too much force and stuff breaks, but where and when?
Best of luck to you out there.
The good news is that your house should probably be okay.
Well I’ve had ummm call them discussions with Strat about these things. He is very, very educated and up on the subject.
My thing is that the whole mess is really based more on some type of chaos theory than any type of linear prediction model.
And because of that I tend to not pay attention to any models that say “Well, historically we have one 5.0 quake here every 300 years”
Long term, that model kinda works, I mean you can go down and look at the San Andreas fault and literally see where a road that went across the fault year after year gets displaced a couple centimeters.
But precisely because I believe in a chaos model, then things like subtle changes in tidal influences, the electrodynamic properties of the strata (remember piezoelectricity?), all these what might be thought of as non-geologic effects may come into play.
So I try to keep an open mind. Thats all.
Interesting, my cat was really active AFTER the quake the next morning. He ran around and landed on my lap way more than normal. I settled him down and he was OK but it was strange.
Watching him now he’s just fine so I don’t think they sense anything that’s coming, at least this one. I’ll watch real close over the next few days.
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