Obama would easily win Nevada again...except against Romney

Public Policy Polling ^ | 01/07/2011 | Tom Jensen

[speciallybland]

Barack Obama would easily take Nevada if he had to stand for reelection today...unless the Republicans nominated Mitt Romney. Obama has early double digit advantages against Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, and Sarah Palin in the state but has just a single point edge over Romney.

Nevada is one of the few swing states we've polled in the last couple months where more voters approve (50%) than disapprove (46%) of Obama. Like everywhere else in the country Democrats are largely happy with him and Republicans are most unhappy- what sets apart his numbers in Nevada is his popularity with independents, 55% of whom approve of him with 41% disapproving.

Independents in the state may like Obama but they like Romney even more, giving him a 58/28 favorability rating. That's quite a contrast to how they feel about other the leading Republican contenders in the state. Huckabee's favorability with them is 38/50, Palin's is 28/61, and Gingrich actually occupies the basement in this state at 26/65.

Obama's lead over Romney is 47/46. That goes up to 10 points over Huckabee at 50/40, 11 over Gingrich at 51/40, and 13 over Palin at 52/39. Independents explain most of the difference between how Romney does compared to the rest of the Republicans here as well. Obama dominates most of the Republican field with them- a 22 point lead over Palin, a 23 point one over Huckabee, and a 27 point one over Gingrich. But Romney actually has an 11 point lead over Obama with them and that's the reason he's running neck and neck overall.

Of the battleground states where we've polled 2012 so far, Nevada has the biggest disparity in the GOP's chances of winning depending on who their nominee is. The only other state where there was greater than a 5 point difference between how one Republican did and the rest of them was Michigan, where Romney came to within 4 points of Obama with Huckabee the next closest at 12 points.

Given the direction the state is headed in, it may be a long time before a Republican wins Nevada in a race that's competitive nationally- it may go red only in instances where it's a GOP landslide across the country. The Senate race this year showed that Republicans have to be very careful about who they nominate if they want to win in Nevada and recent history doesn't suggest that's something they're particularly inclined to do.

[KamperKen]

"As we witnessed in November, never underestimate the stupidity of the voters of Nevada."

Nevada was stolen. The voters are a little less stupid than they seem.

[TribalPrincess2U]

liberals = li....ars. It’s in the blood and missing brain cells.

They’re not satisfied to stay on their own lib sites.
Of course we have infiltrators pretending to be Romy fans.

[reaganaut]

And so why do we get blamed for it?

Because we defend our faith? I wish there was a lot more of that on here from people who claim to be Christians rather than this lib crap of ‘can’t we all just get along’?

I am a conservative, but I am a Christian FIRST and I am not going to stand by while people are dragged to Hell by a fraud.

[SENTINEL]

"I’m certainly not pro-Mormon. And maybe I need a tin-foil hat... But I am starting to wonder if the left is deliberately creating mayhem at FR by posting articles/opinions about Mormons knowing that it will create divisiveness amongst conservative FRiends."

The left is messing with FR here, but it's actually THROUGH many of the mormon posters that this is happening. Mormons in Nevada re-elected Reid at the last second, and don't even get me started on RINO Romney. The Salt Lake lds church headquarters has just announced the Utah will be a "sanctuary state".

In the exact same way liberals have infiltrated the Republican party to destroy conservatism by RINOISM, Mormons are trying to infiltrate Christianity to destroy it !

LDS "prophets" Thomas Monson and Dallin Oaks with Reid and Obama

[RaceBannon]

Hmm, not too bad a question, however...

I am one of the first to raise questions about the Mormon religion and whether it has it’s origin in the Bible or in the mind of Joseph Smith. I have been mostly silent for reasons I wont disclose here, lets just say, I should shut up for a while longer. But, it was surely NOT the left who started those threads at first in the last 10 years.

One other thing: Romney should BE the left’s candidate. I am from New England, and we all proudly watched Mitt debate Ted kennedy back then and were sucker punched when Romney came out for abortion and other leftist causes, and at least he was intellectually honest and did it BEFORE the election instead of AFTER the election like COINO Scott Brown. (COnservative In Name Only)

The Left should consider Romney their favorite republican, right after John Foster McCain.

[Revelation 911]

seriously?

[Elsie]

I wish there was a lot more of that on here from people who claim to be Christians rather than this lib crap of ‘can’t we all just get along’?

[Elsie]

Oh! Did I forget to say "AMEN!!" ?

[Elsie]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wFQUOxcYmLY&feature=related

[Elsie]

I wish there was a lot more of that on here from people who claim to be Christians rather than this lib crap of ‘can’t we all just get along’?

[reaganaut]

lol. Thanks brother.

[Elsie]

bttt

[Osage Orange]

ROFLOL!!!

You win!!